Good Monday to one and all. The first full week of March is upon us and , in typical March fashion, has a wide variety of weather to throw our way. We have a mid week storm that will bring us rain and snow and that will be followed by a nice mild up by the end of the week into the weekend.
Skies will be partly sunny today as afternoon clouds roll in. Temps will hit the upper 30s to low 40s for most of the area. Those clouds are ahead of our next storm that works in for Tuesday. The lead low will work into the Ohio Valley and weaken as another low develops to our southeast.
The NAM has a good handle on this…
What does it mean for us? Rain develops Tuesday as the low works across the state. It pushes to our northeast and allows much colder air to filter in, changing the rain to snow late in the day into the evening hours. We will have to watch for a period of wraparound snow moving in from the north Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. The models often struggle with placement and intensity of this type of snow band.
Snow showers and flurries would then slowly wind down during the day as a cold wind blows.
Milder air looks to push in by the end of the week into next weekend. Is that the 60s I see?
I like the looks of that, but will believe it when I see it. The bad news is that it won’t last very long as a cold front moves in early next week. That will bring a return of colder than normal temps and the possibility of more wintry stuff.
Have a great Monday and take care.
Snow, snow go away! I’m all for some good snowfall normally, but since we’ve had another pitiful snow-less winter AND it’s now March, I am BEYOND ready for Spring! I am definitely looking forward to the warm temps this weekend! Thanks for the update, Chris! THINK SPRING!! 🙂
I was willing to give this storm a chance,all the elements seem to be in place. It is time to move on the lion could not produce. At least between the 40 degree & rain events we will have some mild days. This is totally a pathetic climate.
Reverse psychology Chris?
Don’t bother! It won’t work – I’ve tried it!
Whether you want the swath to go to the northwest or NOT, it still will .
RIP Old Man Winter. You were weak and frail with a little trouble with cold and snow showers at best. After last year we gave you another chance but failed the test. Now won’t you lay down and for 8 more months take to rest. Now its time for warm weather to attest. BBQ, Hammocks, Shorts surely I jest. But until this weekend Ill stay nice and warm in my nest.
Blah, blah & more misses in KY!
I think at this point, we’re all NUMB and just don’t care.
Chris, Scott Co. TN has a winter storm watch for Tuesday night, right below us, does that mean we still have a chance?
Southwestern Virginia also…
The usual suspects have a decent shot of a brief interlude of snow followed by a quick melt: North and especially far east Kentucky.
Meh…
Both clear and concise.
Annoying and cliched too.
Meh!
Looks as though several northern counties in Tennessee (directly across the border from me) and all counties in SW Virginia are under a winter storm warning. Looks like the East Tennessee NWS in Morristown is putting more potential into this than others.
Mainly high elevation areas.
Morristown NWS is saying Bell Co should also be included in the Winter Storm Watch.
I guess i know where i will be traveling to this week
This looks like another icing around the edges storm, mainly a mountain storm, a little sugar coating at the tail end for north central KY, I hope this weekend warmup last and the 40 degree rain takes a hike for next week?
Here’s hoping that Richmond Virginia gets some. They’ve been talking about this for over a WEEK now. There’s even 100% for snow on Wednesday starting on Tuesday with a rain/sleet/snow mixture. The thing is that no 2 stations can even come close as to the amount that we’re to get. Some say 2-4, others say 3-7. We’ve had a few dustings this winter to my dismay. I too have almost given up on seeing any significant snow this season; however I am a bit excited about this week. Here’s hoping we all see some snow then hoping for 3 full months of Spring! (Not 3 weeks of Spring then 100 degree temperatures).
Confused. So we finally get this blocking we have been needing all winter and the storm is still too far north. What good was the block for??? A few dustings over the last few days?
blocking is not as strong now, as it was over the last 4 days…
So basically when the block was strong enough we didn’t get a system to come along during the right time? That was are window if opportunity I guess and now it’s shut until next year. Bring on the drought conditions
The one time we got a system to take a favorable track for snow around here this winter, the cold air wasn’t in place…result: the traditional 33 degree rain…go figure, right?
Weird, 43 degrees, sun is out and its sleeting at the same time here in Somerset!
hey weather alerts coming out left and right for Tues night/Wed morning; Accuweather saying 1 – 3 inch for Somerset/London/Corbin … nobody else giving any kind of accumulations yet.
ha,ha remember the source
Inaccurate weather forecasting service.
The only thing about them that bothers me, is that whenever they have the “swath” highlighted over Kentucky, 100% of the time, and this is no exaggeration….100% of the time, it gets shifted somewhere else, like Virginia, or Indiana/Ohio. Why does Kentucky get to be in the bullseye at the beginning—every.single.time?
Who IS the most accurate weather service, organization, or individual? Sincere question.
Accuracy on that question is purely subjective. You’re not going to get a factual answer. Ironically, besides Chris here, in my opinion, the NWS is the most accurate with their forecasts, because they forecast uneventful weather conditions—much like what we have here.
Now, I don’t wish harm on anyone, seriously—but I can’t even remember how long it’s been since a storm has came along in winter and we’ve been able to say, “man, that was exciting!”
Sorry for the diatribe; just getting ready to move to another state where snow is more in the weather vernacular.
you honestly think he’s accurate … what has he been accurate about this winter ? i’m not saying anything bad about him but all I’ve heard is next week and then it comes and poof, nothing. I don’t know about the whole state, but for SE KY Accuweather has been as close as anyone this winter
Yeah, and so long as climate change is real, when they forecast less than an inch for central KY, they will be accurate until the end of time….:)
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/jkl/?n=winter_overview_sps
NWS Paducah is giving nothing for us it seems. Their discussion says north of here. Looking forward to the warmer weather this weekend and to Chris’ thoughts later.
Well, where I live, we’ve had power outages and television/cable/internet outages, and I don’t think these were weather-related. So, with that being said….when is a good storm going to come along and do it? Five hours of no power is not something we had trouble dealing with, nor the TV/Cable. So what’s it gonna be maw nature? Gonna wimp out on us again?
And when I say storm, I dont mean “ice storm” or “thunderstorm.”
Well, Southern Indiana including Seymour area is beign forecasted with 3-5″ of snow Tuesday -Wed AM. Yet, LMK who forecasts southern indiana closer to river says less than 1 inch. NWS Indy is usually the more conservative one. Im thinking LMK jumps on board soon
Winter storm watches in Indiana. WSW in Tennessee. WSW in Virginia. WSW in West Virginia, WSW in Ohio. Guess who is surrounded by all those states, but has no current WSW posted? The dome lives. Bring Spring.
Tennessee is due to high elevation areas, but still kind of hard to deny the awesome power of the dome, fence, wall… whatever it is.
People laughed and ridiculed me for years about the dome. Well, they still laugh and ridicule me, but for different reasons. 🙂
So the power of the dome is “awesome,” huh? I think it’s more like “ungodly.”
Just imagine how much free time Chris could have had if he had taped his forecasts this winter LoL rain followed by wrap around snow may see 1-3 at the most in Central and Eastern KY 😉
Maybe that’s an idea he can use for next winter.
It’s going on 60 in western KY already. Nevermind the end of the week. At this rate, it might crack 80 in Paducah before morning!