Good Saturday, everyone. We’ve made it to the weekend and the final day of September. We are sending the 9th month out on a warmer than normal note and this pattern carries over into the fist few days of October. Beyond that, things take on a much different look and feel.

Highs today range from the upper 70s east to the middle 80s west. Some early morning fog will be noted before a mix of sun and fair weather clouds take over.

Highs from Sunday through Wednesday are generally in the 80-85 degree range for many with the numbers in the west going above and beyond from time to time. Skies are dry during this time, as well.

The pattern flips late next week as a powerful fall cold front sweeps in here later Thursday and Friday. That’s likely to bring more showers and some thunderstorms our way as it’s behind pushed by a huge trough digging into the region…

That’s a really chilly setup for next weekend and early the following week. It’s one that, with overnight clear skies, can bring our first frost threat of the season.

That trough likely lifts out, but the Ensembles are trying to go toward additional troughs in the east into the middle of the month…

GFS ENSEMBLES

CANADIAN ENSEMBLES

If we look deeper into October and the start of November via the EURO Weeklies, we find the look of troughs in the east with a ridge in the west…

The Control Run of the EURO Weeklies is even more emphatic on blocking and a deep eastern US trough…

How about we get something like that this winter?

Have a great Saturday and take care.