Good Thursday evening my fellow weather weenies. March weather is back today and will carry us into Friday before we begin to switch it up a bit. The bigger switch will come for the middle and end of next week as another arctic blast dives in.
We head well into the 50s and close to 60 on Friday. Winds will also be rather gusty and stir memories of March. A cold front will then dip in here from the northwest on Saturday with a few clouds and cooler air. Temps should come back down into the 40s and there could be a sprinkle or light shower.
I am still watching the potential for a wave of low pressure to develop along the stalled front. This could throw some cold showers in here for Sunday and Monday. The NAM simulated radar is really ramping up the threat…
A big cutoff low will spin across Texas into early next week and then head our way by Wednesday. That will bring heavy rain to our region as arctic air sweeps in behind the storm. There are various possibilities for the end of next week in terms of phasing and we will have to see how that plays out. But, I wouldn’t be surprised to see another big cutoff low across the Ohio Valley by the end of the week. That may make for some interesting weather.
The GFS Ensembles are even deeper with the trough today than they were last night…
The European Ensembles are pretty excited, too.
B to the RRRRRR! 
That’s, AT LEAST, a widespread snow shower and squall producer for Thursday and Friday.
Have a great evening and take care.
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Bring the white stuff!
Did someone mention ice rolo..This is 384hrs out so you know it fantancy but this is a setup for a bigtime ice maker..
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/GemPakTier/MagGemPakImages/gfs/18/gfs_namer_384_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif
Ooh la la! I hope it brings some snow, and I don’t care if it’s a skiff, a dusting, an ankle-biter, or a huge, heavy blanket of snow 8 inches deep! Whatever it is, I’ll take it!
Ky would probably see a cold rain but look how close to ky..
http://img12.imageshack.us/img12/9558/usacfrzrsfc372q.gif
Ho-hum cold and dry, warm and wet…where have we seen this before? Winter sux here.
I do not need a model to tell me how the weather is going to formulate next week. A cold rain follow by a brief snow shower. The next day a few snow flurries. And even if the models are correct the majority of central Ky will see probably a half inch of snow.
Snow showers/squalls dumped 3″ of snow on my yard last time so bring it on! Still have some in the shady spots today!
Looks Like In The Long Range The SSW Event Will Led To What Could Be A Greenland Block That Is Showing On The Models.
Seems this system has more chances for ice, rather than big snow. Then again, CB is not implying a big snow with this system and has been very professional and careful in his wording.
If squalls again, it will probably not be a consistent, widespread snow and will resemble Swiss cheese like the last event. Light snow and squalls, or an ice event.. I choose the former 🙂
Regardless, we know the drill if KY is the fence. We need it to be our friends to the south.
Correct. there is a threat for light freezing rain with the disturbances ahead of the main low early next week. Both the NAM and ECMWF are keeping low level cold locked in during the morning hours of Sunday and even into Wednesday. Would not be surprised if some light sleet or freezing rain occured in some areas ealry next week. Likely correct on the squalls as well not even sure it will be as much as last time.
ECMWF weekly forecast paints a much different tune for the later half of the month. I’d rather see cold and snow but we’re in blowtorch mode by month’s end if the EURO weekly forecast is right with cold dumping into the west. Though there is support to back up the thought it will get colder the SSW mentioned above, taking AO on the GFS etc. However the – PNA has me thinking the southeast ridge won’t be going away anytime soon though I don’t think to the extreme of the ECMWF weeklies.
Not sure it can be much lower, considering our one and only event so far was not even a dusting in north Madison.
I am more inclined to think it will get warmer, but since already called for a wimpy winter for snow, I am biased….
Though it seems I am a downer, only going by the info available. Seems me being optimistic when not much to be in that frame would be me lying.
My guess is next week is more mix and will adhere to our 33/32 rule. Be nice to bust out of the rut, but not seeing it happen. For the optimistic folks here, I hope we DO bust out of the rut 🙂
mitch you just keep giving us snow lover bad news and to think i used to love to read your comments lol
I’m hoping for snow!!! Bought two new sleds so bring it on!!!
You wasted your money……