Good Friday to one and all. We have a break in the wet pattern out there today, but it’s only a break. More in the way of heavy rain rolls in for Saturday and there’s the chance for this rain to end as a bit of snow Sunday and Sunday night.
Let’s begin with today and look ahead.
Clouds are pretty thick across the region with a chillier wind blowing behind the departing low pressure. Highs are mainly in the 40s with some 50s lingering in the southeast and east. There’s also the chance for some drizzle and misty showers to show up on our regional radars…
The next low pressure then rides in here Saturday with another inch or so of rain possible across the central and eastern parts of the state. As this low wraps up to our northeast, colder winds come in from the northwest for Sunday. That means the chance for some wet snows to show up in the central and east.
The NAM is the most robust with this possibility…
That’s probably a little overdone as I’m not expecting much more than a bit of a mix to show up.
The next system in the form of a clipper drops in behind this on Tuesday and Wednesday, bringing the chance for rain and snow…
The pattern continues to progress into one that really enhances the blocking in the high latitudes, leading to deep troughs swinging across the country. The operational models like the GFS are going straight toward what we’ve been talking about…
The EURO Weeklies have not budged on this look…
This blocking with this pattern really gets established in the middle of February and likely goes through early March.
The control run of the EURO Weeklies still have the look of a harsh late winter period…
I will have updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.
Thanks Chris. With the first wave of rain plus the second wave, amounted to about 2.00 inches of much needed rain here in Maple. Hoping the third wave will add another inch or so this weekend. This mild period may last longer than expected from what I’ve read on the NWS discussion. Very simular pattern to what we experience in December 2023. In the past I’ve seen many winters where it warms up drastically after an Arctic air invasion only to return in early March. Most memorable was March 1960. It snowed almost two feet with temperatures well below zero after the snow storm. Spring was very stormy that year in south central Indiana.
No signs of true cold on the model data out through the start of the second week of February.
Winter isn’t over (watch for the second half of Feb), but as I’ve been talking about it will take time to erode this mild Pacific air
Chris has you beaten by miles. Give up already.
I agree.
This stupid computer I have. I agree with Dash and I wish Jeff Hamlin would please stop with the insults towards Dash.
I’m not insulting him, just stating facts.
Jeff, you could have just said that you agree with Chris and not belittle this Gentleman. Dash has been correct this winter with his forecast. I think that he should be rewarded with kind words.
He’s been doing nothing more than trying to upstage Chris and in fact has been wrong many times.
Dash is just adding more information to the blog. He is not trying to override Chris’s information. Chris is right and so is Dash with their predictions.
Have great day Jeff !