Good Friday to one and all. Our string of awesome weather days is coming to a quick end out there today as Old Man Winter fights his way back into Kentucky. A light snowfall pushes eastward across many areas this evening.
Light rain and light snow move into western Kentucky late this afternoon then expands in coverage and intensity as it moves east this evening. All of this is north of a low pressure tracking across Tennessee through tonight.
The prime time for our light snowfall is from roughly 6pm through midnight.
The southern third of the state stays mainly rain with a little bit of snow to end. Areas north of that may start as a brief period of rain before snow takes over and becomes the predominant precipitation type. The greatest threat for snow appears to be setting up along and north of the Interstate 64 corridor and along and northeast of the Mountain Parkway.
All of this is reflected in the Updated Call For Snowfall…
Slick roads will be possible this evening into the overnight as temps crash through the 20s.
The trend on the models is generally pretty much in line with the latest snow map I have out…
Northwest winds will spit out a few flurries and snow showers across the east early Saturday.
Frigid wind chills push in quickly behind the departing snow tonight and could reach 10 degrees by Saturday morning. Wind chills may not get out of the teens during the day. The GFS wind chill forecast from 7am-7pm Saturday handles this well…
Those numbers drop even more from 7pm Saturday through 7am Sunday…
Single digit wind chills are showing up during this time.
Temps begin to climb starting Sunday afternoon and reach the 50s ahead into the first half of the new week. Another storm system moves in Thursday with a blast of cold and winter weather possible behind it…
These deep troughs are indeed coming into the east, but they just don’t want to stick around very long.
I will have updates coming your way later today. Until then, here are your friendly Kentucky weather radars to track the rain and snow in from the west…
Enjoy your Friday and take care.
Thanks Chris. Doesn’t look much different than what the last wave produce. I bet the mountainous areas will see the most accumulations in the state. We can view this on the weather cams tomorrow.
Have a great day !
Would highly caution folks with the EPS Weekly right now. It has had a bad cold bias for a lot of winter and it’s doing it again.
While more prone to run-to-run swings, in general the CFS has been locked onto the warm idea and the GEFS is also warm.
Thanks, Chris
FWIW, he appears to be correct. The cold so far is not as bad expected by the models, but key being, “so far”.
He’s not saying anything Chris doesn’t. He serves no purpose.
Dash I want a forecast, not a fantasy. I’m still waiting on your prediction of a cold second half of February to come true.
Uncanny how the outlooks have more of KY on them and then slowly shift otherwise. At least we got more than last winter. It will be interesting if CB sees the same chances of cold and snow he expected, or are we shifting to Team Spring. I prefer the latter.
More than likely we will continue with this seesaw effect we have seen all winter. Warm pulses switching to cold pulses.
EPO dominantly pos. rest of Feb.
Going back neg. in March.
I think we haven’t seen our last chances for snowfall.
The ‘southeast ridge ‘ destroys the winter weather seasons here in Kentucky, and the ridge has been unusually strong this winter. I’ve always notice that in positive Pacific El Nino that the ridge is weaker and allows weather systems to move in the normal southwest to northeast direction. This years El Nino is operating in the negative causing a more zonal and split flow in our atmosphere.
To make weather simple, if the PDO is positive, El Nino will impact our area of the country with a colder and snowier winter. If the PDO is negative, La Nina will impact our area of the country with a milder winter. I’m going by my theory to forecast each season for now on.
Schroeder what do you think it will take to break that ridge? I hope we have one more chance for snow in March.
The southeast ridge won’t break down until we see a change to the positive in the Pacific. It has been trending towards positive last month, but not enough to make the change in the weather pattern we have.
I would say I stay mostly rain with a little snow on the backside but you never know. I would not want to forecast for Ky.