Good Wednesday everyone and welcome to the middle of the work week. It’s a short week for many folks out there as we are sandwiched between Christmas and New Year’s. The weather looks to finish up the year on a calm note around here. Old Man Winter looks to wait until the clock strikes 2012 to shake things up a bit.
Today’s weather will feature a morning flurry that will be followed by some afternoon sunshine. High temps should be in the 30s east and 40s west.
A system will pass us by to the north on Thursday and this will allow for a breezy and milder day with readings well into the 40s to near 50.
Another system works across the Ohio Valley Friday night into early Saturday. This may get close enough to crank out a rain or snow shower before quickly moving on. This will leave us with a nice New Year’s Eve and Day as we await what looks to be a big plunge of cold air and possible snow early next week.
The pattern will feature an arctic cold front moving into town Late New Year’s Day into early Monday. This will have some very cold temps behind it and will likely have some snow. Will it have a wave of low pressure along it or will it fire up a big east coast storm? Both are possibilities at this point… but we are days away from knowing if that will happen.
The cold looks fairly certain, at this point.
European Model
Canadian Model
I will update things later today, so be sure to check back. Have a wonderful Wednesday and take care.
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deep trough, good start if we are looking for accumulating snow
One thing is for certain! If we don’t get some critter killing cold in here soon, the buggies are gonna be of the hook this Spring! Thirty-two degrees and not a trace of liquid (frozen or otherwise) @ Avenue of Champions & Rose Street, Lexington, KY.
“off” the hook… not “of” the hook, as in of the Captain Hook family… apologies. Have an awesome day!
Looks like last night run of the Euro shows the trough farther East..I would think if anything develops it would probably go out to sea…Might be a better setup for western ky if a storm comes out of the Rockies…Maybe some of the experts can comment on last nights Run…Would like too know if my thinking is right or wrong..
I would not worry about last nights run, as the new Euro rum will be out in a few hours.
This is getting depressing….that is all!
folkd it alway6s a weeki out, cold and or prcip. look like some 30s high by next week upper 10s low 20s lows, NORMAL asically.
little rain possible with some mix as well.
bring on SPRING!! there ROLO the REDNECK said it. I have give up on any suprise winter weather. we got what we got and nothing changing anytime soon.
song of day
OLD COUNTRY by MARK CHESNUTT
it is only Dec. Let’s give winter a chance of late arrival!
Late arrival? Goodness gracious! We are midway through the first quarter with plenty of time left in the game! I think…to say last December spoiled us would be an understatement. I still can’t wrap my head around the winter predictions that so many made with mets ‘assuming’ the NAO/AO would be like last year. I think it’s better to expect a below par winter and than be pleasantly surprised (last year) than the exact opposite (this year). My predictions lined up with CB and I think he’s doing a great job! To the ‘cowards’ who just recently shifted their entire forecast, I hope next week pans out and it gets SUPER COLD and SNOWY. 😀
I really wish some old school country would come to town lol!
We’ve got snow on the ridges above 2000 to 2500 feet this morning. The roadways in the passes at Pine Mountain and Pound/Jenkins Mountain were slushy. That’s plenty enough for me!
It was still raining at my house at 1 am. So if it snowed at all here I gave up on it ! I sure hope something BIG is brewing snow-wise or I’m gonna be ready for spring as well!! All this sloppy/rainy/muddy mess is quit annoying!
Goodness! That 12z GFS is lookin’ nasty in a good way for cold lovers!
Well, it certainly backs up the other models chris posted. And it’s good to finally see some consistency in the modeling. This is perfect timing. My thoughts from November are still looking great.
UK’s football schedule just released…
We’re @ Mizzou on October the 27th! Fun, fun.
not to be a downer but has history not shown that to be in the gfs’s bullseye more than 2 days out means its a kiss of death?
Yeah, you had some good calls back on your 11/29 blog. The whole ‘bottling up’ effect with cold air…sure seems that eventually the dam has to burst at some point, even if it’s short-lived. I’m likin’ the way January is shaping up right now! Perfect timing since, like I said earlier, so many mets have changed their winter outlooks.
Seems Cats football fans should savor memories of the previous bowls. Though low level, better than nothing, but with two good football schools now in conference, KY loses at least one cupcake from this point on on their schedule. KY made the bowls mainly by one game.
I appreciate you folks and your meteorological knowledge, but if we had a dollar for every system that either looked good and bombed, or mostly passed central KY by in nearly 1.5 decades, we would have enough money to buy a snow machine 😉
I know certain ones will jump all over me for saying this but the GFS may be onto something instead of being on something…Ok, this big trough the other models are showing may not actually materialize or it may. Still, if the GFS ‘no big trough’ idea works out or not, it does show the blocking pattern that we’ve been waiting for.
The NAO looks to retreat to negative territory. Blocking should begin to set up after Jan 3-4, possible below normal readings after this despite ‘professionals’ outlooks.
The cold may not be long-lived, but the window will be open for a ‘big’ storm, and we’re not talking weenie amounts either.
If the blocking pattern that is forecast to set up can strengthen, and sometimes one just cannot see how that will play out, we could be looking at winter’s finest hour.
Ok, pep talk’s over…go back to whatever you were doing or thinking….
So theres not gonna be a storm early next week just cold
i;d rather the mild winter with one massive snow like 1997-1998
So did the storm for early next week disappear? because all everyone is talking about is the cold. If this storm can disappear this fast, think of how much time next weekend’s storm has to vanish. 😉 lol
I didn’t disappear….it’s still on!
Lol tyler is it really still on? If so, when?
Yes, what he said. Give us some good info. on what the models are saying for the possible storm next week please! All Chris’s tweet said was about the cold…worries me.
the cold is the piece of the puzzle we have been missing! based on Chris’s tweet, he seems pretty confident it will be cold. That’s a great start. Now it is time to sit back and watch the models flop around like fish out of water.lol
Next week looks Bone Dry and cold……Thats the way it looks to me anyways…I guess our best option would be for some type of system diving in from the north…If anything develops in the SW plains or Gulf it would probably stay too far south and then head out to sea..Could be wrong so maybe someone could explain our best case scenario on where the moisture should come from..
man us here in SEKY didn’t see any snow once again. 70’s are approaching very soon. No winter folks sorry.
Look for temps to be warmer than forecasted the next few days. BG even has a good shot at 60 Friday. Way to warm for any snow from these clippers. Next week cool shot should be a few days maybe some lake effect snow showers and upslope. The 1931-32 lack fo snow record should still stand for Lexington ( 2.1 inches of snow fell that winter) as we hit the midpoint of meteorological winter and warm air again floods the region for week 2 in Jan.
Its hilarious to read people thinking we will have a ‘few cold days’ here and there and its never gonna stay any colder than 50’s or 60’s for most of the winter.
These same people will need a few prozac when reality sets in. lol. 😉
Ouch
Even if it does get cold, why will this be any different from previous systems where most of the moisture goes bye bye when it does get cold?
The 33/32 law for central KY Winter systems has yet to be breached in a loooong time.
Well that certainly dismisses all hope i had for next week and for winter to truly get started. So much for that
I think the latter half of that entry was a bit too harsh…can’t argue with the first half.
Well the euro did take the storm out to sea!! but it’s a week away and it’s going to flop back and forth!! one thing is for certain is the euro has never given up on the cold, as chris said the GFS joined the camp today!!
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