Good Tuesday, folks. We have showers and thunderstorms to start the day, but better weather rolls in from west to east this afternoon. This leads us into another surge of summer temps in the lead up to Kentucky Derby Weekend. It’s a weekend with a storm or two around.

Heavy rain is accompanying the showers and thunderstorms this morning, especially across central and eastern Kentucky. Local 1″-2″ of rain will be possible before the rain tapers from west to east. Only a scattered shower or storm will be hanging on across the east this afternoon.

Here are your radars to follow today’s showers and storms…

Afternoon temps reach the 70-75 degree range across the central and east with low 80s in the west.

Those 80s then sweep eastward on Wednesday with the chance for mid to upper 80s showing up for Thursday. That’s ahead of a cold front dropping in from the northwest, triggering showers and thunderstorms for Kentucky Oaks Day. Much of these should push out by Derby Day, but some low-level moisture may fire up an isolated shower or storm in the east…

Temps are likely in the 70s for both Oaks Day and Derby Day.

The models aren’t as cool with the pattern for early next week as they show the warm temps putting up a fight. That fight then leads to additional waves of showers and thunderstorms starting late Sunday and going through much of next week…

The various ensembles are now picking up on this “fight” and showing a stormy first half of May with the potential for quite a bit of rain…

The EURO Weeklies are showing a rather stormy pattern through May into the start of June…

The Control Run of the Euro Weeklies are even wetter…

Make it a terrific Tuesday and take care.