Good Thursday evening everyone. The latest computer forecast models are trending toward the more wintry solution for parts of eastern Kentucky we have been hinting at for several days.
The European Model has been the leader in forecasting low pressure to form across the south and then ride up the east coast Friday into Saturday. The American Models had been lost in the woods until today and now both are showing exactly what the European Model is forecasting.
This means rains will develop across Tennessee later tonight and work northeast into southern and eastern Kentucky on Friday. Check out just how similar the GFS and European Models are…
GFS
EUROPEAN
That is a cold rain increasing across southern and eastern Kentucky on Friday. Some of those light rains could sneak into the bluegrass region.
As this low pressure deepens across the Carolinas Friday night and Saturday… colder air will be drawn in and the potential is there for a mix of rain and snow or a switch to snow for southeastern Kentucky.
The NAM was the last model to come around to the storm solution and it went all in with the latest run…
NAM SNOWFALL FORECAST
You can see the model tries to put some light snow down across southeastern Kentucky with a major snowstorm for the West Virginia Mountains, Virginia and then into the northeast.
The morning run of the GFS looks similar…
I told you this was a pattern straight out of winter! A lot of forecasts from other sources are going to be changing very soon. 
Have a great evening and take care.
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Going to be a busy weekend for me! Time to dust off the snow boots.
yeah I agree shane my part of NJ could see snow on the ground as well, our office issued a winter storm watch for NE PA as well. already ec with a 1-0 lead this winter season in model wars.
First of all, October avg. temp at my house has been 56.2 degrees, which is basically spot-on what the normal is under the new 1981-2010 period. And we’ve only had 7 days of any precip. whatsoever during the entire month, with lots of sunny days. We’ve also had little to no wind comparable to average for Fall. So, October has been a quiet month in my opinion. Remember last year though? October was nice..then BAM by December we were in the deep freeze.
Second, the Euro is up 1-0 in model wars? Dude the alleged “storm” hasn’t even happened yet. I’m now officially going to do a little experiment to prove that the Euro is garbage. Euro is way too amped up all the time. It is a very poor model in overall upper level flow prediction.
shane, puts some cool video links up on your website, or link them here so we can drool over the snow…lol..
Waffle house is a great place to eat.
Will it flurry on the Cumberland plateau tomorrow?