Good Friday, everyone. Waves of severe storms and heavy rains have pounded parts of the region over the past few days as this stormy spring rolls on. This may be capped off by a widespread severe weather event Sunday into Sunday night. That’s something we need to watch very closely.
Let’s begin with today and roll forward.
Skies are partly to mostly sunny for much of the day with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. There’s a small threat for a storm going up with the main storm focus going up later this evening. That’s when strong to severe storms develop across western Kentucky with some of those rolling toward central Kentucky during the evening hours.
The Storm Prediction Center is highlighting the west for the greatest severe weather potential today…
Once again, damaging winds and large hail are the main threats with a much lower tornado risk in the far west…
Saturday is a warm and humid day with the chance for a storm or two blowing up, but a lot of the day is dry with temps in the 80s.
A significant severe weather event is possible Sunday afternoon and Sunday night across much of our region. Low pressure works from Missouri to the northern Ohio Valley Sunday into early Memorial Day. This puts out region in the prime area for severe weather.
All modes of severe weather will be possible:
- Damaging winds
- Large Hail
- A few tornadoes
- Flash flooding
The Storm Prediction Center is aggressive with the severe weather threat from 3 days out…
The lightning forecast from the EURO gives us a good indication of how powerful these storms may become…
This stormy pattern finally comes to an end by Tuesday and Wednesday as much cooler air settles in for the closing days of May.
June looks like it wants to start with another very stormy setup around here. Our super soaker of a Spring may very well turn into a super soaker of a summer.
Here are your storm trackers to follow today’s storms in from the west…
Current watches
Possible Watch Areas
Make it a fantastic Friday and take care.
Summer will be near normal in both precip and temperatures.
I’m already WAY behind on weeding. Those plants flourish with every drop of moisture and ray of sunshine.
I don’t keep my property weeded like I use to. I’m not lazy, just don’t have the stamina anymore. Maybe next week you can get caught up on your work.
Hope your right with the Summer forecast Jeff.
Thanks Chris. Still very concerned about the line of severe weather on Sunday afternoon and evening. Being south of the warm front with possible Sunshine can only contribute to widespread severe weather when the cold front punches through. I must say, so far this Spring ( in my area of central Kentucky ) the thunderstorms have not been that bad yet. Looking forward to cooler, drier days next week, as we head into the first month of Summer. Hoping that June will not be a repeat of May.
Enjoy the day everyone : )
Sunday remains very concerning. High CAPE values and high shear, combined with a forecasted high of 91°F in the BG area, will significantly destabilize the atmosphere during afternoon and early evening.
The latest Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly chart indicates that La Niña is beginning to establish itself.
https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/sst/anomaly/
I think La Nina is already here with a negative PDO since 2020. It’s already showing a reaction with the atmosphere.
So far we have miss the heavy rain fall here in Union. Co compare to other counties in the state. Have a bless day!
Sure is muddy and wet here in Taylor county.
I saw an article about hurricane season and the storms to come it’s wild. Does that have to do with Ky weather? I guess it’s according to which way they go?? Can that have an affect on our rain here?? Would like to hear your guys thoughts on it. Have a safe and happy Memorial weekend.
Several times in past years, some hurricanes have moved northward from the Gulf of Mexico and directly affected the middle of the country, even as far north as Chicago. Of course, the low pressure area loses a considerable amount of strength as it goes over land, weakening from a hurricane to a tropical depression, but still can pack quite a punch.
Hurricanes and Tropical depressions in the Atlantic would change the precipitation pattern to dry in our area of the country, but coming out of the Gulf, if all the factors are there could result in flooding rains. I haven’t seen this happen since Hurricane Juan back in the 1980’s.
Actually, from 1990-2019, there have been eight tropical depressions to hit Kentucky.
https://spectrumnews1.com/ky/louisville/weather/2020/08/28/kentucky-isn-t-a-stranger-to-tropical-systems
Let me reprise my comment that I made earlier. meant to say have miss the heavy rain this week compare to other counties. Last week we had our share of it.
A narrow line of severe thunderstorms is moving through the SW Suburbs of Chicago late this morning, prompting a couple of severe thunderstorms warnings. Strong winds and very heavy rain with lots of thunder and lightning are occurring in my area.
Mike, I’m worried about what may happen ahead of the cold front Sunday afternoon. Hoping for a capping inversion in the atmosphere to hamper ” super cell ” development.