Merry Christmas evening. Here’s hoping Santa was good to you guys and you got everything you asked for. Many of you were probably asking for some snow and it looks like that order is delayed by a few days. Dang lost packages!! 
A storm system will come rolling our way from the southwest Monday night and Tuesday. This storm looks to track just to our south and east as it turns into a nice sized storm along the east coast. Rain breaks out by Tuesday morning and should change to snow from the west and north during the day as colder air sweeps in.
This is a setup that’s likely to give many areas a light accumulating snowfall. Is it a coating where you live or a few inches? I will fine tune that later tonight and Monday.
The GFS Ensembles are the most bullish on the snow threat…
The GFS isn’t too far behind…
Most everyone should see snow flying from Tuesday afternoon into the evening hours and I will be watching for a “deformation zone” to set up somewhere nearby. This would be an area where some enhancement in the snow would be possible.
Northwesterly winds later Tuesday night and Wednesday should keep flurries and snow showers going.
There appears to be another clipper type system that may arrive late Friday into early Saturday and could provide some flakes.
The models continue to advertise a major amplification in the jet stream across the eastern half of the country to start 2012. If this happens… a significant shot of cold air and storm would be the result. The European Model has some eye candy…
A full update comes your way later today. Merry Christmas and take care.
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Love those models..now if we could get them up off the couch and do something constructive to bring this to fruition, we’d be happy! 🙂
wow…I have to fly out of SDF Tuesday morning & head to Harrisburg, PA for my grandmas funeral. Seems the weather here AND there could get very interesting. Hoping for a safe flight! (and snow, lol)
I sure hope you are right on this. We need to get this storm track a little more West. SE Ky up through Pikeville might get a good decent dumping West, ky is SOL, Louisville is SOL as well. I cannot wait for the granddaddy Dump that is coming by Feb 29th. This will be a property damaging dump mark my words.
Merry Christmas to Chris and his family and all of those that visit this blog! I am really really ready for some winter weather “SNOW” my nick name is Snow Queen so I need to live up to that name! We need snow here in East KY!!!
Copied/ Pasted & Saved in my drafts 😀
I’ll post with that comment on the end of Feb.
Hopefully you’re right!
If it’s going to be another switch from rain to snow, I doubt much will happen. We mostly see rain out of those systems.
You’re right Brandon that most rain to snow makers in these parts produce flurries at best, BUT we’ve had the occasional very big snow from rain to snow storms. The Dec 2004 thumping comes to mind. In fact, many of the state’s biggest snows started as rain. Not saying we’ll have a thumper snow this week but crap, I’d take two inches at this point considering the miserable winter so far for us snow worshippers!
Looking at the 12z nam it looks like it will be a 90% rain maker. Not very promising to me. I hope this model improves on the next run.
NAM shows very little if any snow for SE KY?.?.?.?.? 00z GFS shows nothing very interesting either. All local forecasts call for rain tuesday with a high in the 40’s. Im confused….
http://grib2.com/gfs/CONUS_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_48HR.gif
?????????????
–been following you for more yr than i want to count ,like when you started for wkyt.
do u have an app for this
we use this every morning at our transportation dept at school
thanks chris