The numbers in the week ahead will be above normal, but those won’t do much to skew the above 90-day anomaly map.
Temps out there today hit 90 in the west and mid to upper 80s for the rest of the state. That sets the stage for 85-90 central and eastern Kentucky on Sunday with low 90s west. The weekend looks dry, but I can’t rule out a popcorn shower or thunderstorm going up.
Temps early next week will average in the upper 80s to low 90s for highs with the increasing chance for a few storms, especially Tuesday and Wednesday. That’s when a weak front drops in from the north and slows down on top of us…
The setup after this will feature another trough digging into the eastern half of the country, but the magnitude of this trough is still in question. From a week out, the forecast models dramatically underplayed this last trough and the amount of chilly air. Many of the just flat out failed to even see it until it was on top of us.
The current models are seeing this trough a little better as we get closer.
Here’s the EURO…
The EURO essentially drags the cold front through here quickly with showers and storms on Friday…
The control run of the EURO Ensembles has that trough, then reloads it with a deeper version a few days after it lifts out…
We shall see.
Enjoy your Saturday and take care.
Averages can be deceiving. Temperatures, rainfall, and wind could hew pretty closely to an average. Or not. It seems we had wild swings in all three areas this summer. “Tame” downplays what we experienced, IMO.
The data doesn’t support the narrative.