Good Saturday and welcome to the final weekend of Meteorological Summer. As we head into this last week of August, it’s finally going to feel the part as temps take off. As temps take off, watch for storms to ramp up in the week ahead with another big trough possible by the holiday weekend.

We are coming off of a crazy cool week that featured 3 straight mornings with lows in the 40s. This is part of what has been a much cooler than normal August, so far. Check out how much of the region is seeing below normal temps on the month…

This is part of what has been a tame temperature summer. Readings for June were fairly toasty, but the numbers leveled off with frequent chilly shots since the start of July. Throw it all into the mix and you have average temps since Memorial Day that are normal to a touch below…

The numbers in the week ahead will be above normal, but those won’t do much to skew the above 90-day anomaly map.

Temps out there today hit 90 in the west and mid to upper 80s for the rest of the state. That sets the stage for 85-90 central and eastern Kentucky on Sunday with low 90s west. The weekend looks dry, but I can’t rule out a popcorn shower or thunderstorm going up.

Temps early next week will average in the upper 80s to low 90s for highs with the increasing chance for a few storms, especially Tuesday and Wednesday. That’s when a weak front drops in from the north and slows down on top of us…

The setup after this will feature another trough digging into the eastern half of the country, but the magnitude of this trough is still in question. From a week out, the forecast models dramatically underplayed this last trough and the amount of chilly air. Many of the just flat out failed to even see it until it was on top of us.

The current models are seeing this trough a little better as we get closer.

Here’s the EURO…

The EURO essentially drags the cold front through here quickly with showers and storms on Friday…

The control run of the EURO Ensembles has that trough, then reloads it with a deeper version a few days after it lifts out…

We shall see.

Enjoy your Saturday and take care.