Good Thursday to one and all. Summer isn’t ready to hang it up just yet as our temps continue to run on the warm side. This warmer air is ahead of a pattern that looks to turn much more active as we head into next week.
Thermometers out there today reach 85-90 in the west and north with low and mid 80s for much of the rest of the state. There’s still just enough low-level moisture around to spit out some isolated showers and storms, especially in the east.
Here are your Kentucky Weather radars to follow anything that goes up…
Friday is another dry day with similar temps as what we have out there today.
The weekend finds temps back into the 80s with the chance for a few showers and storms to go up. The models are seeing this chance a little better as we get closer..
A system then drops in by Monday and Tuesday of next week and brings showers and storms into the region as it slows down. This could spawn some decent showers and thunderstorms across our region…
At the same time, we are likely seeing a tropical system developing and moving into the Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center continues to highlight this potential…
What happens with this system in the Gulf is going to be the focus of next week’s weather because it could have an impact on us. The models, as expected, will show some wild swings from run to run but they are consistently showing this developing into a hurricane.
The Canadian is quicker with this development and the latest run runs this system right at us…
The GFS has a much slower system that gets steered to our east…
I’ve talked a lot about how blocky this pattern is across the Northern Hemisphere and that’s showing up on a lot of the operational models and the ensembles.
Just look at the control run of the EURO Ensembles for the closing days of September into the start of October…
This is a pattern we’ve been seeing show up from time to time over the past few months. As I look down the road into late fall and the winter, I’m not seeing much of a reason for it to change. Hmm.
Enjoy the day and take care.
Long range isn’t really reliable.
Thanks Chris. I think everyone on your Blog ( except Jeff ) is really getting tired of this very late Summer weather, but that’s what we have, and we have to live through it anyway. I have to agree with the temperature change on the European anomaly for the coming Fall and Winter, but I have my doubts on the precipitation pattern changing. Maybe late Winter 2025, if the PDO phases into a weak negative.
In my opinion, it’s really early to predict a Hurricane in the central / eastern Gulf, and if a storm does form, lets just hope it’s just a rain maker. The path is always dependent on where the western rim of the high pressure is. We can all hope that the remnants rains ” buckets ” to end this horrible drought in all areas that are affected.
Enjoy and have a safe day everyone !