Good evening gang. I wanted to drop by for an update on the hyper active weather pattern kicking off as we head into Christmas week and weekend. Rain is leading the short term charge before we get into a pattern more conducive for some wintry stuff in time for the big day.

Rain is quickly working across the northern part of the state this evening. This is in response to some milder air surging in from the southwest ahead of a blizzard across the southwestern states. Follow the rains here…



That same storm will roll into town Tuesday night and Wednesday with an increase in rain for everyone. Thunder? It’s possible. Rain will taper off by Wednesday night.

That moment of dry weather won’t last long as another system quickly develops on Thursday and rolls in from the southwest. This wasn’t even showing up on the models a few days ago and when it finally showed up… it was rather wimpy. Each run today ramped this system up even more and show it farther west into our region with widespread heavy rain.

Look at the totals through Thursday…



Are you really shocked to see another heavy rain event? Didn’t think so.

Back to the point I was making about the models from earlier. They are still playing catch up on the system that’s only a few days out, so there is no way they are going to be able to forecast how this weekend plays out. You will see them flip and flop from run to run. That’s always the case, but it is REALLY magnified this year.

I was going to break down some of the latest runs for the weekend… but it’s really pointless for me to keep doing so with each update because of the differing solutions.

I have no changes in my thought process… one system later Friday into Christmas Eve with the possibility for something else Christmas Day or Monday. Each will have the potential for some snow and wintry weather. Stay tuned!

Have a great evening and take care.