Good Thursday, everyone. It’s a more normal temperature day across Kentucky as cooler winds blow behind a cold front. That front didn’t bring any rain to the region, but the next front arriving to start the weekend should produce some showers.
Temps out there today are generally in the 60s for highs with a mostly sunny skies. Enjoy… Again.
Gusty winds kick back in for Friday as temps surge back into the 70s. That southwest wind is ahead of a stout cold front that will touch off a few showers and maybe even a rumble of thunder. the best chance for this comes late Friday into early Saturday.
Here’s the EURO showing how not everyone sees rain from this…
Highs on Saturday are low to mid 60s with upper 50s and low 60s for Sunday. A chilly wind will be blowing during this time.
Next week starts in the 60s on Monday with the 70s returning Tuesday and Wednesday ahead of a strong southwest flow. This flow is ahead of a potent plains storm system that will slowly drag a cold front toward Kentucky.
This front may not arrive until Halloween, bringing the chance for some gusty showers. The latest EURO brings this in here and slows it down with another storm system gearing up behind it for early November…
Once again, the wild card in the pattern for next week into early November is likely lurking in the tropics. Do we get some kind of development in the Caribbean or the Gulf during this time? The pattern does favor some kind of development.
The GFS goes back and forth with several smaller systems or one big system. This is still way out there, but it’s interesting to note a few of the recent runs are trying to go toward a big finale to this crazy hurricane season…
Again, that’s a long way out there so take that with a gigantic grain of salt. It is something of interest, though.
Looking longer range, some of the recent runs of the GFS Ensembles have been suggesting the chance for some early November flakes…
I think the chance for mid and late November flakes is more to my liking as I do see the pattern turning toward a bit of a winter look by then. The long range GFS Extended is starting to pick up on this….
Have a great day and take care.
Thanks Chris. I believe that another Hurricane in the Gulf will be our only chance for a widespread soaking rain. One model run shows a good soaking rain on the sixth of November. The fronts coming do not have the moisture to relieve us from the extreme October dryness, but at lease we will have some clouds.
The models predicting the Snowfall totals are really factoring in a weak La Nina. Which means that my area will be left out of any Snows this coming Winter season. Our Snows only come from El Nino Winters with a positive PDO and a negative AMO. Haven’t experience this scenario for several years. I really miss those heavy wet Snows we had when I was growing up in South Central Indiana. Oh well, I hope we don’t have those dry, frigid Arctic air outbreaks that come with La Nina Winters. Low heating bills.
Have a Great and Safe Day Everyone !
I’m not a big snow fan so I won’t be disappointed if the pattern continues, but I hope we don’t have any ice storms over the winter. I do hope we see some rain soon.
Dottie, I like only the heavy wet Snowstorms, and not the dry Snows that cause drifts. Here, where I live in South Central Kentucky the training wet Snowstorms never occur like they have in Indiana. I don’t know about other parts of the state of Kentucky ? I won’t be dissapointed either, as I’ve experience many Snow events in my lifetime. When we have a La Nina Winter, the Ice Storm potential increases, because we may have a dry Arctic air invasion, and with the return flow of moisture from the Gulf, and a below freezing ground level temperature, an Ice Storm results unless the warm Gulf moisture take over at the surface. The worse Ice Storm I experience was the one in January 2009. My first Winter here in Kentucky. Three inches of Ice every where, and it cost me $ 10,000 to clean up my property, and I must mention we were without power for over three weeks. I hope too that this never repeats.
Another potential disaster is forest and field wildfires. This long, and almost a month without any rainfall, could not come at a worse time, when the dry leaves begin to accumulate our forest floor.