Good Monday, everyone. It’s another abnormally warm early November day for Kentucky and surrounding areas. This warm air is ahead of a stout cold front ready to press in late Election Day into Wednesday, bringing showers and thunderstorms. This kicks off a very active setup.
Temps today hit 75-80 in many areas as a strong southwest flow kicks in. This flow takes us into Election Day with wind gusts between 30mph and 40mph likely. That’s especially the case along and ahead of the cold front.
This front slows down on top of us Wednesday and hangs around into Thursday. The end result will be showers and storms during this time…
The potential for heavy rainfall is there during this time with the GFS now leading the charge with some 1″-3″ amounts for parts of Kentucky…
As all this is happening, we are likely dealing with Tropical Storm Rafael or Hurricane Rafael churning from the Caribbean into the Gulf of Mexico. Here’s the latest information and track forecast from the National Hurricane Center…
Moisture from that system may get drawn up ahead of another potent system working in here with more showers and thunderstorms this weekend. That would be followed by another sharp system a few days later…
The EURO AI has been leading the charge with this very active pattern and it continues to do so. Not only does it show the above systems blowing in here, but it also shows a healthy trough sweeping in around the middle of the month…
The GFS Ensembles are starting to see these troughs sweeping in as well…
In my last update, I said it wouldn’t surprise me to see this pattern try to throw some mid-month flakes into our region. Sure enough, the various ensembles are showing some flake potential around that time…
Have a great Monday and take care.
Even know the tropics is still alive, looks like our pattern is finally changing in the atmosphere to more of a wet pattern.
I’m hoping, as the day lenght gets shorter, the atmosphere ( weather pattern ) will change to the wetter.
Thanks Chris. More chances of Rains this week. Hope it pans out. The Snow maps are typical for a developing La Nina Winter. The Tropical Storm eighteen will soon be named. When it gets into the Gulf where there’s no upper wind sheer and very warm waters. Joe D mentioned this in his post the otherday ” that the Gulf really needs to be watched. ”
Have a Great Monday Everyone !