Good Saturday and welcome to the weekend. We have a big storm system rolling toward the region and this will bring heavy rain and gusty winds tonight into Sunday. This is part of the very busy setup that’s showing signs of slowly going toward more of a traditional November look.

Let us begin with today and roll forward. Highs are in the 60s with clouds thickening through the day. A very strong easterly wind will flip around and become southerly by this evening as our storm system and cold front inch closer.

Scattered showers and storms will be noted across western and far southern Kentucky by the evening. From there, this rolls across the rest of the state in waves tonight through Sunday. Heavy rainfall is likely with a corridor of 1″-3″ rains likely setting up in a southwest to northeast corridor.

The area of heaviest rains will likely setup across the central part of the state. As usual, there’s a little bit of difference showing up in the models on where this is located. Here’s a look…

Winds are also going to be a big player with 30mph-40mph at times tonight into Sunday.

Better weather takes control for Monday and Tuesday with highs staying in the 60s. The next system drops in late Wednesday into Thursday, bringing another round of showers and a few storms into the area. That will be followed by a quick shot of normal November chill…

The longer-range look from the GFS Ensembles continues to show a different look as we get into the week of November 18th. Watch how heights continue to lower across much of the country as blocking builds across Greenland and Canada…

That blocking is a good sign, but it’s muted some by a very hostile Pacific pattern. I suspect we will see this fight more than once in the weeks ahead.

As always, I leave you with your shower and storm tracking tools…

Have a sensational Saturday and take care.