Good evening, gang. Heavy rain is taking center stage as another storm system impacts the region through Thursday. From there, it’s all eyes on a developing winter pattern starting around the middle of next week into Thanksgiving week.

There’s not much more to say about the heavy rain and thunder rolling across Kentucky. Most of us pick up 1″-2″ of rain with locally higher amounts possible. Lingering showers are also a good bet behind this system into Friday across central and eastern Kentucky.

Here are your radars to follow this evening’s heavy rain…

The weather behind this system looks seasonable for the weekend, so take advantage of it.

Before we get to the winter change, Sara to be is in the process of developing in the Caribbean. Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center..

cone graphic

That system should eventually get into the Gulf of Mexico, but what happens with it after that point is a work in progress.

Overall, my thoughts on the pattern ahead hasn’t changed. Significant blocking will lead us into a favorable pattern for cold and some flake action around here for the second half of next week into the following weekend. That may even extend into Thanksgiving week.

The EURO shows the major blocking to the north and those huge upper lows that spin across the lower 48, especially in the east…

That setup means a lot of colder than normal air for many…

With upper level systems spinning through the area, some winter weather keeps showing up on the models. Here’s the EURO…

And the GFS…

The AI version of the EURO doesn’t show precipitation type, but it gives you a good indication that some of what you see would be in flake form…

Have a great rest of your evening and take care.