4:30pm Update
The next 2-3 hours across far southeastern Kentucky should turn fairly snowy. The back edge of the precip shield is still in this region and temps are dropping quickly. This should lay down a slushy accumulation from the Big Sandy Valley southwest toward the Williamsburg area.
Again… elevated surfaces and grassy areas will be the prime targets for the slush.
Take care.
12:30pm Update
Good afternoon gang. Flakes continue to fly across much of the bluegrass state early this afternoon. Light snow and flurries have been noted across much of central and western Kentucky with moderate snows across parts of the east.
The snow in the east continues to mix with rain from time to time as it makes the slow transition to all snow. The slower this process is, the less accumulation you will pick up. Still… a slushy snowfall continues to look likely for parts of the east and southeast. Most of this will be on grassy and elevated surfaces as we have a wet ground. That means a lot of the snow will be melting as our temps should hang just above freezing this afternoon.
Watch the upper low across Tennessee as it works to the east. It should help give a moisture boost across southeastern Ky into the early evening hours and that’s when the bulk of whatever accumulates should occur.
Temps tonight will dip into the 20s meaning slick spots are likely in many areas.
More updates as needed… take care.
Previous Update
Good Wednesday everyone and welcome to a wintry day across the bluegrass state. A complex storm system is cranking up to our east and will bring a dose of heavy rain to snow across many areas today and early Tonight.
I have a ton of toys for your tracking purposes. Let’s chat a bit before we get to those.
– The track of the low is pretty much set, but any slight deviation of the track and timing can have some pretty big impacts on the weather around here.
– Heavy rain will start the day across eastern and southeastern Kentucky. This could even cause some local high water issues. Western and central Kentucky could see some rain and snow early today before it switches to light snow and flurries.
– The rain in the east will quickly mix with and change to snow into the afternoon and evening hours as cold air wraps in behind the low. Exactly when this change happens where you live will be THE determining factor on how much snow get.
– There will be a period of heavy snow across eastern and southeastern parts of the state. We have a wet and fairly mild ground so there will be some melting that cuts down on totals. That said… the rate of snowfall can overcome this as it snows faster than it can melt.
– This is a VERY quick hitting snow that has about a 6 hour window to work with.
– My thoughts on accumulation remain unchanged…
– The heaviest snows will fall across far southeastern Kentucky with lighter amounts the farther west and northwest you live.
– Keep in mind whatever falls where you live will be very slushy with much of the accumulation on grassy and elevated surfaces. Temps in the 20s later tonight should cause some slick travel.
– I am NOT fan of rain to snow forecasts as a ton of variables come into play that can impact snow accumulations. It’s the hand I’m being dealt so I have to play it.
Let’s track whatever is out there…
Current Temps
Weather Cams
Lexington
Pikeville
Middlesboro
Whitley County
I will update things later today and will send out quick thoughts via twitter. Have a great Wednesday and take care.
Select Page
Woohoo….first snowfall map of the season! 🙂 But I’m in the 1″ or less range. 🙁
Not sure why lexington cam is up. No snow on that one.
No snow gonna fall and accumulate! The ground is to warm. The areas definetly will not see the projected amounts I don’t think! But chris says so I have to have some doubts in my thoughts because he is usually right
Hoping to see snow. I posted a snowfall map a few hours for anyone interested. 35 and raining in Lexington. It’s cold!!
I just don’t think any of the areas will see 3-6″. It looks like most of the moisture is already on its way out of here and there will not be that much left when it finally does change over. Most all meteorologists are seeing this and already lowering their forecasts to a trace to maybe 2″.
Dry and cold for the next few days. Not going to be that bad for the Lou. area. Has anyone taken a peek to the future. The 18z GFS shows a nice Low with lots precep to play with. I am sure this will change by then, but at least the Lou. area is in the snow and not the rain for now. http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-pvKvQbcJyfA/Tt6yYx0vNEI/AAAAAAAAECg/8amH5LFUTbs/s1600/18zgfs850mbTSLPp12216.gif
Most over here haven’t changed anything with their forecasts. Keep I’m my mind the area outlined is figured in with what the mountains could see too.
Still pouring rain north of Hazard.
You know, i have resisted this idea of a snow bubble over central KY for a couple years now. But, if this mornings radar doesn’t make you at least think there is some validity to the claim, i don’t know what will..sigh
This FL girl is having anxiety attacks! Been here a few yrs and can’t drive when I think it may be slick! Old timers talk about how there used to be HUGE snows here and -20• weather ! They say we are ready for that again! WHEW I can’t imagine! Going to be a long winter AGAIN for me!!! When is spring again? LOL
well more S than east going see any snow later, it will come down at decent clip, aand best snow it aint going lay or cause ant trouble.
just get few counties down this way to border in holidsay mood.
Snowing in London!
thank goodness this snow system is going be a bust for kentucky!!! I dont care for snow.
From one FL girl to another…….come on, spring! 🙂 I have lived here 21 years and it still scares me to drive in winter weather. Ugh.
How much Amy?
Amazing that with 2 different systems before the 10th day of dec,that portions of west Tennessee have accumulated almost a foot in places! some spots reporting over 4 inches with this system
The farm is so muddy I’m glad for no snow here this go around. Would just make things worse. It’s awful dismal out there today. Gray, misty, cold, YUK. Here’s hoping things get a chance to dry out, it gets cold, and then it snows! The rain to snow thing here in KY is no fun at all.
41 degrees here in Paintsville at 9:23am.
Will the temperatures drop at all during the day today because if not we can kiss it goodbye….also is there any chance for trending nw or are we locked in?
I think a flake or two is now mixing in.
CB is really posting about potential and not a set forecast. Seems not enough cold air and moisture to be together for this to be much, even for the SE folks. Map probably needs a shift east SE by 50 miles.
“Seems not enough cold air and moisture to be together”… heard that before a few times.
Snow mixing in with rain in Gray KY
Referring to more than a few inches of slushy stuff. Of course, the problem is about one inch of slushy stuff is a few inches of “normal” snow.
Snow has begun to fall in Louisville! I’m sure it won’t last too long though, unless this is a “dusting” lol
Snow mixing in Paintsville….huge flakes falling straight to the ground 🙂
Temps dropping like a rock here. It’s now 39 in Paintsville, down 2 degrees in 37 minutes.
If ya got a digital thermometer, keep an eye on it!
BUBBA G bailey spot on if u ask me a slushy grassy layuing tuping ecept for the 2500 feet and above. snow setting up hazard east cause the upper low is fizzling out to the west as far as alot of area goes, but there be light shizzle to snow showers not showing up as well.
just talk to a source on BLACK MOUNTAIN its cranking up up there snow falling.
Snow & Rain Mix down on the border…and 34* so far…waiting on the bigger flakes…if Chris says its coming….I believe it!!!!!Even if I get just alittle…I am happy!! 😛
hi ho, hi ho, there ain’t gonna be no snow, hmmm hmm hmmm, hi ho, hi ho, hi ho,
Since it looks like us here in Southern Ohio are going to miss out on the fun, I have no choice but to begin to think about the next threat. I have a feeling that next Friday we get in on some action…enjoy your snow KY 😉
well as Elvis sang, and now the end is near and i must face the final curtain, no sanow is coming now, so i look for some on XMAS and it look like a white XMAS but as we knoww the models dick us,, ohhh no i took the blows and did it my wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
the upper low showing no sighn of turn the corner and that means looking bad for southern SE KY, it might turn SE of us wrap it back around. will see. i right think we are SOL. temps is 33 here in my holler in manchester so we could have snow laying cause temps drop couple degrees with snow falling. man so close.
I have a hard time seeing how this upper level low brings snow any further north than the border counties of Tennessee,then the border counties of KY/VA
I have a feeling you are someone who is not so new here and you are pushing our buttons….dissing the snow chances are frowned upon here….you and sunshine are trying to drum up some stink here. Just sayin….
the upper low starting to tilt a bit throwing moisture stream back into KY!! look for SEK to reall fill in in next hours or so.
A few snowflakes flying around now in Northern Scott County… 🙂
yea he post under sunshine too not knowing BAILEY can tell by his IP ADDRESS, he was talking himself in post yesterday.lol
we all know its the hater from last year and year before. im not going say who. but BAILEY knows who and u not allowed to post under different names on here, as i did that and got caught before.lol
tx for 1230 update CB.
for us kids in clay county we want to know if it will snow hard enough to stick to the ground and possible get us out of school so can someone let me if its a possibility.. 🙂
YOU GoTTA BE KIDDING ME! As we wait and STRUGGLE to get our mix to go all snow and accumulate. For the SECOND time this season s. TN and north ALa. Is under WINTER STORM WARNiNGS !! For 2-4″!!! I’m sensing a winter trend here that I’m not liking! 🙁
Starting to spit the snow some in Cumberland.
No snow yet just a cold rain,come on switch over.The radar looks awesome but we are not getting any snow yet.
Snowing in Clark County!!!
Boyle County: 35* flurry/drizzle 2pm
oh really rolo … just 2 days ago you accused me of being new to site .. make your mind up; I am not new, i don’t post under a different name, nor am I the hater from last year … I just post opposite of others and just because I don’t like snow doesn’t mean I can’t voice my opinion.
Looks like this system is moving faster than thought..See no potential for any accumlations now…Be lucky even too get some wrap around moisture…On to the next one…
Saw some decent sized snowflakes flying in south Lexington within the past hour but it has stopped for now
Done and Done.. way overdone for snow totals.. snow not even in the air long enough to say it snowed! Looks like the NWS should get the tip of the hat on this one
well it over, those MODELS snowfall maps last were fun to see how bad off they are.
upper low forcast was a miss. as u see snow right were the upper is, it was supposed to be over or just east of us by now as forcasted yesterday and that pull cold and snow into SE KY.
im focusing on XAMAS as it look intresting during this time period.
Ouch, this one busted. Sorry folks, get used to the word HYPE. This winter will feature lots of hype, no bite. Bring on spring and severe wx.
i agree! i respect bailey as much as the next and i luv reading the blog but i do think that sometimes thes snow storms are hyped. if u r going to have a blog u have to take the bad talk as well as the good talk. as long as u do not become vulgar and start name calling.
Man just type out Christmas. I hate seeing that!!!!! Show some respect to a holiday and its true meaning.
Oh well, rain again in Whitley Co. too early for snow, especially at 37 degrees..Hopeful maybe January will give us some white stuff.
You have to love a busted forecast, that is when the haters come out! BAHAH.
better watch out in saying bring on spring, rolo will accuse you of being me and kick you off the site.
u all seeing the snow in SE KY dont blink it last another 30 min top as it rolling on east. all it doing is making u say as the song said WHAT MIGHT HAVE BEEEEN.LOL
let move forward to next week storm and XMAS its still early
and BAILEY SAID and i quote i hate predicting RAIN TO SNOW storms but it the hand i was dealt. so he not missed anything IMO as he went with the modelss info yesterday he was getting and U AND ME ALL OF US saw the models and they was saying snow.
faaaar se and farrrrrr east border couties going see 1-3 inches IMO
before winter over,,lol
ok u all know im just trying lightin things up, geesh it first small chance of year, let stay positive and not take this stuff so serious. the funniest part watch the storm on the models and this first time i remember a 24 hour models being wrong.
geesh I can understand somew of the school kids on here getting tornm up, heck i be same way if i still i school.
I LOVE U ALL and u to MR SUN.
now going go rest gotta go doctor in morning make sure im steal free of sickness.
Just light rain and drizzle here in Hazard.. an occasional flake of snow mixed in.
Watch it, Bro!! I’m a snow lover and I don’t take no “Bring on Spring” junk off nobody!!!
Does anyone know if the south-eastern ridge is projected to weaken anytime soon?
Rolo I have seen no snow for us here in Pikeville.What can you do??? I hope your Dr’s appointment goes really well let us know.
Once the low gets in position where the NW flow comes off the lakes, I believe we should get one last boost of moisture in EKY, after that we are done. Click my name for kentucky weather chat
I am so ready for some sun!!! Our farm is one of the higher points in Bourbon County and we are a soggy mess with standing water and squishy ground everywhere. The people below us probably sink up to their necks in mud! The horses were off and running at the break of dawn. 🙁
HUH…Jesus H Christ where are these people coming from…
Channel 18 was right on this one , but im glad it was a bust, i hate snow
should johnson county schools get a snow day out of this????????????
Historically the X stands for Chi – the first part of the word Christmas. The abbreviation Xmas dates back several hundreds of years. Don’t know why people get so touchy about reading it. Just don’t pronounce [say letter name] it X mas.
Hope everything goes well rolo…Looking forward on your comments with the next system…
look that snow popping up as PRCIP heads out,lol
we are jinxed though, but im liking hwhat see for rest off month first couple weeks into new year!!!!
Rolo…the snow on radar has popped over my area but it’s doing nothing outside. 🙁
It’s snowing as I look at the window…It’s pretty…***************************
From this day on I will never buy into a rain transitioning to snow scenario…ever!! Yeah right, I’ll never leard!
hope yuo get good news tormorrow rolo we will get our snow….
Lol…..there’s a first time for everything.
I think I was the one who said “you must be new.”
Newsflash for you rolo, polo or whatever it is, I’m not Mr Sunshine, so please keep your comments about me to yourself!
I tried to be nice and break it gently, but you doubted your bud Bubba.
What’s your problem?
I would not stay to late assuming it.
this is storm really underperformed bigtime. even with a perfect track this would have been a chilly rain for most. the bad news now is after the weekend cold shot most of the country should go into a zonal flow with mild pacific air enveloping most of the country. hopefully by xmas we’ll get some accumulating snows for our area
Sounds like all us snow loving boggers have got a little spoiled by the early season snows of last December, Don’t hang your snow loving heads, good snows are to come to those who wait, and we are good at waiting here in KY 🙂 !
There is never enough cold air with moisture.
33 =wet. 32 = dry
Central Ky weather in a nutshell.
Mr Sunshine.
I just wander where the 3to6 inches are barley even snowe’d where I live. Guess someone just got fooled and where do they get 8 in at
Please don’t take my Lord’s name in vain. Its very offensive to me. Thanks.