Good Wednesday to one and all. After a bitterly cold morning, temps are slow to respond today before the pattern eases up a bit. This won’t last very long as we go right back into the tank this weekend into much of next week with snow threats returning.
Before we look ahead, check out the temps from this morning…
It was a bitterly cold start to the day with several areas at or just below 0 for temps. Here are the top 10 coldest from the Kentucky Mesonet. #kywx pic.twitter.com/cqIvtxpNdl
— Chris Bailey❄️ (@Kentuckyweather) January 15, 2025
Wind chills were colder than that and I’m wondering why we didn’t have a Cold Weather Advisory as temps were actually colder than last week when we had one. I know this is a new product from the NWS, but let’s not make this an arbitrary thing that changes from forecaster to forecaster.
Another system dives Thursday with the chance for some snow showers and flurries across central and eastern Kentucky. Here’s the Hi Res NAM showing this…
That takes us into the weekend with an arctic front cruising in here Friday night and Saturday. Rain and a rain/snow mix will be possible ahead of this with some snow behind it as cold air crashes in Saturday night.
Another wave of low pressure then pops across the southern Appalachian Mountains Sunday, bringing the chance for accumulating snow across central and eastern Kentucky. Bitterly cold air filters in for Monday and Tuesday.
A big southern winter storm is likely to develop Tuesday into Wednesday. Depending on the track of this storm, it may bring snow to Kentucky.
The Canadian Model continues to be the most consistent in handling everything we just talked about…
That really blows up the second low on Sunday and takes the mid-week storm farther north than prior runs.
The GFS continues to show very poor run to run continuity as it radically changes from one run to the next. It’s likely way too progressive with the weekend system, but it really changes with what happens behind it.
The 6z run of the GFS had a slower evolution to the mid-week system, blowing it up into a massive storm system…
The very next run at 12z this morning..
I warned you to expect more model flips and flops and I’m still warning you… And not just with the GFS.
I’ll update things later today. Have a good one and take care.