Good Tuesday, folks. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms continue to pound the bluegrass state and those show no sign of letting up. If anything… things may get even more active over the next few days as tropical moisture from the Gulf gets involved.

The main threat this week will be flash flooding. I continue to sound the alarm to the possibility of a cloudburst that can lead to a significant flood threat before the week is over. Much of the state will average 1″-3″ of rain this week and some areas will see a whole lot more than that.

You can see the tropical connection really kicking in over the next few days…

NAM

That has all kinds of ugly written on it for the 4th of July festivities. The GFS shows a ton of rain falling through the weekend…GFS

The two week totals continue to show the direct linkage to the Gulf…

GFS Rain

Any storm that goes up will also have the potential to produce hail and high winds. Speaking of the storms… happy tracking…

Have a great Tuesday and take care.