Good Wednesday, folks. The potential for heavy rain is on the rise over the next few days and that’s not good news for 4th of July plans. The rainfall is really going to add up as we go into Thursday and Friday and will put the region in an elevated risk for flooding.
The storms we fire up today will continue to be rather scattered, but will also pack a big punch. Heavy downpours can cause localized high water issues and these storms will contain hail and high winds. Here’s regional radar for your tracking enjoyment…
A huge river of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico will take aim at the state late tonight through Thursday and Friday. A supply of deep moisture will feed into the area and this will cause torrential rains to develop. Take a look at the impressive stream of rain showing up on the NAM future radar for Independence Day…
That stream is impressive and will likely cause flooding for parts of the region. That setup will continue into Friday and through the weekend. As a matter of fact… the models keep a similar pattern in place into the middle of the month. Look at the off the chart rain numbers coming from the GFS…
That has trouble written all over it, so please keep an eye on water levels in the coming days.
Have a great Wednesday and take care.
Holy WOW!
I’ll be the people who love HOT HOT weather are just hating this!
Wow, a far cry from last year! At least we’re not in drought though? June rainfall was 7.54, +3.10 above average. 6 of the last 7 months (with the exception of February) have featured above average rainfall. Have to go back to October and November to have back to back months of below avg. precipitation. I’m pretty sure July will also be above the norm.
My thoughts are with the folks that will sustain home/business/property damage in the coming days.. And remember, nature always balances herself out eventually. I’m sure a few months from now we’ll be begging for a drop of rain..
I’ll take this any day over last summer’s drought.
Loving this summer so far minus the Mosquitos, big time blood suckers are loving this summer also!
I’m worried we are gonna go dry this upcoming winter and there will be no snow.
A sign of things to come for central and eastern Kentucky.
Big wall of water (actual rain as well as airborne moisture) really coming up from the Gulf of Mexico. Chattanooga, Knoxville and Tri-Cities are already getting soaking rains.
Is it going to stay East of the Lexington area? It sure looks that way, but not sure if we are expecting pop-up showers or not. Everyone stay safe.
East of us should get more rain (or the most chance), based on the N-NE direction.
Lots and lots of Flash Flood Watches up for the southeast, now including much of Kentucky and Tennessee:
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php
A few flood warnings already in Georgia and Florida.
Looks like the smokie mountains and gatlinburg area getting flash flooding at the moment, if this stuff does verify in central and east KY a KY river flood is going to be very possible in the next week or so?
I think this will mostly be an East of I-75 flood threat. It floods much easier in Eastern than Central or Western KY due to the terrain. I could see some minor river flooding in Central KY, but I doubt it will be near as bad as May 2010 or May 2011.
The moisture continues to creep north.
Weather Prediction Center (formerly Hydrometeorological Prediction Center) has upgraded parts of east Tennessee – including near Middlesboro KY – to a moderate risk of excessive rainfall.
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
Just like winter forecasts, the forecast linked in the web page contradict the outlooks by CB. The outlook is torrential rains, but the Accuweather forecast over the next few days does not show anything near this and is linked here.
Why link to forecasts that contradict the outlook published?