Good Tuesday, everyone. It’s a full-blown taste of early spring that’s doing its thing out there early this week. It’s part of a pattern that finds a lot of back and forth over the next few weeks and that makes our overall pattern much more active.

Temps out there today generally range from the upper 50s to mid 60s across the state on a gusty southwest wind. A mix of sun and clouds will be noted today and again Wednesday as temps jump deeper into the 60s. There’s even the chance for a 70 in the south and west.

This milder air is ahead of a cold front dropping in with a band of gusty showers Wednesday night and Thursday morning. Here’s the Hi Res NAM future radar from 7pm Wednesday until 7am Thursday…

Temps come down behind that for Thursday with mid 40s north to mid 50s south and west. Winds are gusty and we may even see a few backlash showers later in the afternoon and evening.

Friday looks seasonable in terms of temps with very gusty winds and that takes us into the first day of March on Saturday. Near normal temps will be replaced by chilly air later in the day and into Sunday. Highs on Sunday may not get out of the upper 30s in some areas behind a mainly dry frontal passage.

Temps rebound quickly early next week ahead of what may be a very potent storm system spinning into the region. This may fire up some pretty good thunderstorms ahead of it with colder air and the chance for winter behind it…

Check out the temperature departures ahead of this system and behind it…

Getting such a warm surge ahead of it and a cold surge behind it is usually accompanied by some ugly weather. It’s still pretty early in the game for this storm system, but we will need to watch for severe weather and possible high winds.

The EURO is seeing this potential with the wind gust forecast from way out…

This is the start of an active setup with deep troughs sweeping through from time to time into the second week of March…

That gives us the increasing threat of rain and some snow as temps swing wildly.

The pattern will really take off in terms of temps for the middle and end of March with above normal temps. Those will likely be accompanied by the threat for strong to severe storms and rounds of heavy rain.

The EURO Weeklies have most of this rain showing up during the second half of the month and into the start of April…

Have a terrific Tuesday and take care.