Good snowy Saturday to one and all. The snows kicked into high gear late Friday evening into the overnight period laying down anywhere from an inch or two to some local three and four inch amounts. The snow squalls were intense leaving snow covered roads in their wake. Snow showers and arctic temps will be with us today as we look ahead to a very snowy period for next week.
The day starts out with a Winter Weather Advisory for parts of the state as the NWS folks were about as late in getting these out as I have seen in a while. Additional snow totals today will be on the tune of an inch or two for those getting in on a heavier squall with southeastern Kentucky being the prime candidate for that. Many roads across central and eastern parts of the state will be, at least, partially snow covered for much of the day as temps struggle to get above 20. Winds will be very gusty today making it feel like the temps are in the single digits. This is a day to just stay inside and check out the blog. 
I have some tracking tools for you guys…
Live Cams
Lexington
Louisville
Northern Ky/Covington
Somerset
E-Town
Ashland
Wind Chill
I am close to pulling the trigger on upgrading to a Winter Storm Threat for early next week. Things continue to be progressing toward the solution we have been talking about for a while now. My latest random thoughts…
– Low pressure will work out of Texas and head eastward toward the Georgia coast from Sunday into Monday.
– Moisture will be streaming well northward from the track of the low. Snow should break out across parts of western and southern Kentucky by Monday morning and slowly work northward during the day.
– This happens as an upper level low to our west works eastward into the Ohio Valley and acts to help pull moisture from the southern storm northwestward into it.
– A second low should be developing across the Tennessee Valley by Monday night and working into the eastern Ohio Valley by late Tuesday. This would produce another nice swath of snow across the entire region
.
– The two lows will then meet up along the mid atlantic coast by Wednesday to form a pretty big storm. Backlash snows and snow showers would then be likely around here.
– While it is still too early to really be talking totals… the thoughts that have been floating around in my mind for a few days go like this: 2″-6″ of snow from Monday through Tuesday with an additional 1″-3″ for Wednesday into early Thursday. Again… that is some VERY early thinking on my part and not even a first call.
– All models not named the GFS are now in line with the double low scenario. The European Model had been holding out… but it is now in our camp as well producing .25″ to .50″ of liquid across much of the Ohio Valley. That seems to match up well with some of the model runs we have been showing of late. The GFS Ensembles continue to show the setup we are talking about…
We will have an update on this storm coming later today so be sure to check back. Until then… have fun with today’s cold and snow.
Take care.
second
NWS Jackson may have been late with the Advisory but they still are way ahead of NWS Charleston on any weather event
It’s 3 am. Here in Larkslane in Knott County, I just happened to look out my kitchen window and see practically a blizzard! The snow is falling heavy and fast, and the wind makes it look (as I said before) like a blizzard. I am glad I don’t have to be on the roads tonight. I’m just hoping the power doesn’t go out.
fourth
six
and so on
Mets in Louisville are giving up on a big snow. 1-3 is what they are calling for now.
Hey folks, I’ve been following the Canadian model for about 10 days and it has been the most consistent of all models with this system. The Canadian model shows a MONSTER that makes this next one look like a snowball in a desert. Most of Kentucky is above the freeze line with QPF 1.5 amounts for twelve hours or so. Ten days ago I said wow some people are going to get some good snow. The one around the 15th is going to shut cities down. Mark your calendars!!!
…WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON…
* GEOGRAPHIC AREA: ALL OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
* TIMING: SUNDAY NIGHT AT MIDNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: FOR LOCATIONS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF
A WAVERLY…TO NASHVILLE…TO JAMESTOWN LINE…TOTAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF BETWEEN TWO AND FOUR INCHES. FOR LOCATIONS
GENERALLY SOUTH OF A WAVERLY…TO NASHVILLE…TO JAMESTOWN
LINE…BUT GENERALLY NORTH OF A LINDEN…TO CHAPEL HILL…TO
SPENCER LINE…TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF BETWEEN THREE
AND FIVE INCHES. FOR LOCATIONS GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINDEN…
TO CHAPEL HILL…TO SPENCER LINE…BUT ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
TENNESSEE…ALABAMA BORDER…TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
BETWEEN FOUR TO SIX INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
Woke up to almost 3 in. here in SE Lexington. Must have really come down overnight. Can you beleive WSW all the way down to almost the Florida panhandle? If the models shift a little more north, we could get a WSW here.
Talk about hard snowfall–how hard did it snow in Central KY overnight? Went to bed with NOTHING on the ground at 10:00 in Lawrenceburg…now have DRIFTS in my driveweay. Actually enough to shovel!
I have been giving props to you all morning CB-yes, it’s early, but yes, YOU were the one who called the snow overnight! I’ve been a fan of your site for a few years now, but don’t post often (enough). Thanks for all you do, your many long hours, your multiple posts (that I’m constantly checking), and your quick wit. And yes, I don’t think the NWS Lou even had the advisory out before the snow hit the ground. Gotta love banding! Have a great day!
Yea, the GFS is printing out some high totals for that time period too
Woke up to about 3 in. in SE Lexington. Just drove to work in Versailles and it looks like a blizzard here. Really started coming down at the Fayette-Woodford line.
A solid 2″ in NE LOU. this morning. Interstates coming in to work this morning are a mess, with several vehicles in ditches! Wind chills are hovering at ZERO. Another great call by CB on the snow totals. Like i say all the time, local mets have NOTHING on CB. Closest to him around here is Brian Goode who took the great JB’s place on Wave-3.
no mention of the winds, but they are a howling in manchester.
4 inches here in Leslie County. Uplslope snows in high gear right now
As usual CB another forecast on the money! Haven’t ventured out yet but the roads in my neighborhood are well covered and it appears to be 2-3 inches in my neighborhood in South Lex. The wind looks brutal. Great day to stay under the covers and watch the Cats all afternoon but…got to go to work in a little while. Hope all of our homeless have shelter for the next several weeks.
sorry rolo but Chris did mention it yesterday in his post
The snow gods must have heard my pleas yesterday. Woke to maybe 3 inches and coming down hard. Ride to work was like going into hyperspace(reference to my threats to join the dark side) I literally could not see over my hood. That was an over performing squall. Glad to see it. As for the next system I will expect nothing and hope for a huge snow.
I agree with whoever said it’s a good day to stay in bed. It’s cold and very white outside this morning. 🙂
Thanks for the update Chris!
OMG! blizzard conditions in Harlan County around 7:00-7:30 this morning.
Wind in excess of 35 mph…check
visibility less than 1300 ft…check
heavy snow and blowing snow…check
Not a blizzard, but definitley experienced blizzard/ground blizzard conditions this morning. Nearly five inches here in the coal fields this morning. Excellent work CB. Now, onto next weeks storm and some bulldogs lying dead on the ground later today. hehehe GO CATS!
How much snow in Montgomery Co?
Glad so many of you got snow. There is practically nothing here! A dusting at best. Since I’m getting some hay delivered today it’s a good thing. Wait, as I’m typing this it started snowing like crazy. But i bet it doesn’t last long.
Well I know your snow shovel ready…lol What you said on the board the other day was well said. People forget that some people make a living removing snow…. Thanks, RS
Oh my God my husband woke me up to see whiteout conditions its like a blizzard we have 4 inches blowing everywhere in Pikeville.You can’t hardly see.
I think Brian has been doing a good job. I was a little nervous about the change at first but he has really stepped up. With CB and Brian I think we have a homerun….
Look at our webcam in Pikeville
http://www.kyhometown.com/pikeville/
We dont have alot of snow in burgin but the roads are covered. Is it going to snow thru Wednesday ? I sure hope so !!!
Winter storm watches inches farther and farther north!! To ky/tn state line. Parts of northern ga. N.C. More than a F00T OF SNOW!!! Now that’s a snowstorm
Got another 1-2″ last night with 4-5″ on the ground. Winds gusty as well
Yeah, I was bummed when John left and have been lost looking for a new met. Then comes Brian. I can work with him, lol. Great job Chris on this on
About 2 inchs…
Woke up and looked out around 3AM this morning. Snow was coming down hard then. Measured 4.5 inches at my place close to the Fayette Mall area. Fat Red bird is sitting outside my window in a bush. Harbinger of more snow to come??
“Thank you, thank you very much”…
Easily 2.5 to 3.0 inches of powder at my place in Lawrenceburg this morning. Vantage Pro 2 is reading Wind Chill: -1F! It’s brutal outside.
4″–just a tad more–in south lex–beautiful, snow, sweeps or shovels very nice. Be sure to shovel before you drive on it–it’s not frozen yet where it lays on the drive–it’ll be a bear in the morning.
Really snowing hard here in Morehead(southern Rowan county) I think this was bit of a surprise to everyone, looks like we may have about 3 inches thus far, and still snowing at a good clip. Such big flakes and wind blowing, I really love it!!
I’m only 25, but I don’t think ive ever seen it like this. Visibility pretty much at zero.. HEAVY Snow and howling wind. I haven’t went out and tried to measure yet.. certainly several inches.
Richmond must have had a snow explosion sometime after 2am. We went from almost nothing to about 3″ or more. Do not really know what we have due to dry drifting snow.
Getting ready to head out and get some snow, and make me some snow cream, I love that stuff…
Easily got in on the high end of 3-4″ overnight here in Wilmore. Went to bed with around 1/4-1/2″ woke up to a winter wonderland! Very easy to shovel, though – nice and powdery. Hopefully we can keep this snow and add a LOT more in the coming days!
Agreed…i think Brian will continue to grow on me as well as others, as time goes on. He has the passion needed and drive to not only be a successful met, but, one who can connect with ALL OF US (meaning the bloggers and viewers)!
I agree with WXman….21/2″-3″ in Lawrenceburg…with some small drifts…measured several different areas..above measurement is a fair estimate….nice powdery snow…broom will work nicely on driveway, sidewalk…will wait for rounds 2 and 3..take care all !!!
Need some info, please…have to make a trip to Lexington this afternoon. (HAVE being the operative word Have been trying to get road condition reports, but KYTC page has not been much help. Need to know about highway 27, as well as I 75. Any helpwould be appreciated.
B-T-W, we got about another inch over night here, and roads here (side) are slick ans snow covered. Wind is blowing it around some, too. Very cold…
Gee,here in knott co. it got kinda dark and now it is pouring the snow,like a blizzard.never seen it snow this hard in a long time..probably close to 5 inches here and still pouring.
Hey just curious. Do you reside in Frankfort by chance?
We got 3 inches for sure in South Lex!
Just went outside and measured the snow amount. showed 5 1/2 inches and still coming down..
Yep, my part of Richmond has 3″ inches. Now the sun is shining.
I’ve measured 5 inches of snow here in East Point, RT 1750. Didn’t expect that much, but it sure started snowing heavily in the morning hours, around 1 or so.
Anyone know how much snow (in general) Floyd County got?
Got a high end advisory event here in Wilmore. 1/2″ on the ground last night woke up to easily 3-4″! Very powdery. Hope we can keep it around and add to it in the coming days!
good COLD SNOWY MORNING GANG!..I got another 2″ last night on the “hill”..lol..here in knox co. with just over 5″ and roughly 2″ on the pavement road in front of the house where its not been salted/plowed yet…
6″ of snow here in Northern Middlesboro this morning. Picture is on Brandon Robinson’s Facebook Page.
gotta love this…SUCCESS: your comment has been submitted for moderation…gotta love the moderation!!!…lol..
If nothing else this winter so far has taught me how to use a snow shovel…I did not even need one the last few years or so….We have about 3 inches of snow here in the Hamburg area….I want a foot of snow next week, I am ready….
i have 5″ here in my kneck of the woods..I sure would have like to have got in on that THUNDERSNOW last night that was reported in ashland..you know its snowing to beat the band when you have thundersnow…
lol,it’s quit snowing and now the sun has come out..crazy weather in the last 30 min..like a mini thunderstorm with snow and now the sun..
Moderation! 3-4″ in Wilmore.
hey tim? so what does this mean for us this week coming? does it mean 2-6 and 1-3 as well?
Need info on road conditions in Lexington and south. Have to make a trip up there. Any help appreciated.
(US27 and/or I-75) thanks!
I’ve not seen any further mention of it but has the threat regarding the much colder airmass being drawn down lessened from what was previously thought might happen?
I am in Northern Floyd between Allen and Prestonsburg and we have 2.5in.
The roads are fine in Lexington. The sun is out, too.
Thanks, Echo. Going to make a quick trip. Tryikng to get back home before it gets dark, and colder.
Any other info would be appreciated, as well.
All looks good. Man o War is mushy. Vers Rd is good.
NWS should have issued a Winter Storm Warning. Widespread 5-6 inches here and a lot of people were caught off guard.
Snow for the year have been 8″, 8.5″, 2″, 6″… Total of 24.5″ for the Winter so far.
this is the big storm coming not the system mon-tue although a few inches of snow will fall. This system around the 15th looks like the storm of the winter with the threat for heavy snow and freezing rain although It could warm up a bit as well for rain.
We have about 5 inches here in Elkhorn City. I took my wife to work at Pikeville this morning and the roads were all snow covered. We got caught in the mini blizzard as well. It was sure nice to see snow like this.
the offical snow measurement at bluegrass airport seemed off. a 3 inch snow depth with only 1 inch of measured snow. there could be two reasons for this either not accounting for blowing snow or a undermeasurement of the snowfall. the cocorahs stations all measured 3 inches in fayette county.
Well, I’ve posted on here since WKYT days as “feederband.” I note that someone else has co-opted that name. Hence, a new blog name. A surprising four inches this morning on my driveway in Lexington, and probably six inches on our table on the back porch.
solid 3 inches of snow at Clays ferry just inside the fayette co line. Old Richmond Rd and I75 are moving fine. while the kid in me is giddy about the thought of a big snow, the adult in me is saying no more, i need to work! thanks for the great info CB. you rock.
Wow, that is a big difference! I’m close to the Floyd Cty line at East Point,
of course, I am out in the boonies.
Southern Floyd might have more.
Thanks, info appreciated. thinking of coming up 27, as last reports I saw on 75 were not good. I really appreciate the help!
Regardless of the 15th, CB seems to be implying more than a few inches between now and Wednesday night, but he does not want to commit just yet.
He is using the same logic with models that has made him nail all but one (the one where most of us got ice and not snow). Other mets are reverse. They seem to have nailed one and missed the others.
Had a massive total of ONE inch here in Louisville. Just haven’t been in the right spot this season.
Looking forward, I suspect Louisville suffers another brutal near miss on Tuesday while areas south and east do far, far better.
NICHOLASVILLE NORTH TO NEW CIRCLE IS JUST SLUSHY. NOT BAD THOUGH. SHOULD BE FINE COMING FROM SOMERSET.
I HAVE TO TRAVEL TO ATLANTA FOR WORK TOMORROW AND COME BACK THURS NIGHT-FRI MORNING. TRAVEL SHOULD BE FINE ON MY WAY DOWN. CAN ANYONE TELL ABOUT TRAVELING HOME THURS NIGHT OR FRI MORNING? I AM DRIVING…DECIDED NOT TO FLY THIS TIME DUE TO AIRPORT DELAYS ETC… ANY HEADS UP WOULD BE APPRECIATED!
A surprising snow it was considering yesterday we dodged every snow cloud within 50 miles. They all took a detour north south east or west.
well my oriinal thinking holding strong MAYBE 1-3 inches or so this week. so will not have to eat my words.
the 2nd low not going to move in a favorable track either.
If im reading the latest models right, it looks like the secondary low is now showing up as developing right over Kentucky, not the Tennessee Valley. This means it puts out the heavier snows from the northern stream into Indiana and Ohio. Henry M’s latest map on Accuweather shows exactly that. The whole state of Kentucky is under 1- 3 inches while just to the north and south is 3-6 inches.
http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/meteomadness/story/44126/snow-map-for-the-storm-sunday-to-tuesday.asp
Im done with your horrible forecasting. Just saying.
That map shows Middlesboro in the 3-6″ and the 6″+ is bordering Middlesboro. I expect 6-8″ from Sunday night into Tue.
That map seems to show a classic example of the big “D”!
I just saw moments ago flippin from game to TWC..lol..they said it looked as if the Heavier snows was trending a bit farther north!! than previously thought up more into the Tn. valley instead of southern tn/n.Ga. area…and I’ve notice that the entire state of Tn. (with the exception of Morristown NWS area) is under a Winter storm watch…hmmm..woudnt be suprised to see those bording counties of ky/tn..go under a watch…
….
on the ballgame note…gonna be a wwf wresting match or a mike tyson boxing match before its over!!!
Accuweather map shows the 6″+ right on Middlesboro.
MikeM It started right after I got off last night! It came down fast after it got started. I loved it!!!
When have these guys ever been right? That why Chris doesn’t jump the gun and lay out accumulation maps. I’d rather Henry show us getting nothing now because it means he’s probably wrong. Either that or he is mesmerized by the power of the Dome.
Forget the naysayers, folks. The northern trend begins, the good stuff heading for Ky. Cheer up, get your bread, eggs and pepsi…..:)
NWS in Lou now saying significant snows likely in the Monday nite-tues time fram.
That is a early aggressive call, not normal for those folks. I’ll bet Chris will upgrade KY to Wstorm threat mode soon 🙂
Nearing 2″ here in Pikeville.. Some areas to my south have 4″
Lets get the convo revamped in the Kentucky Weather Chat!
>> http://ekywx.com/kychat.htm <<<
I have a renewed excitement and optimism for the early week storm once again….trending more north looks like. Hoping for some LARGE accumulations 🙂
Where at in Louisville are you located? There have been numerous 2 and 3″ reports in the area. 2.5″ at my house on the oldham/jeff line NE LOU. Brian said on wave-3 it would be a hit and miss. Guess your area missed. We were satisfied over here, though lol
there is about 4.5 inches here in london, roads were horrible early this morning but the sun has since decided to show itself and the roads are melting a little …. does anyone have a guesstimate on much snow london will get from this next storm?
I don’t see that in their discussion..
You have a link?
Accuweather = Rolo…
They both go model to model, flip-flopping along, up and down like a Rolo-coaster,and then when it’s all said and done, they both will say, “Told Ya”…
But at least Rolo is funny with his post..!
lol
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ohx/
this is INTERESTING FOR SE KY…:)
click the LONG RANGE link..check out the snowfall map for northern tn..WOW
Patiently waiting for an update from Chris. It appears southern and southeastern Kentucky are in the sweet spot yet again, like they have been all winter. Have yet to get over 2 inches from a storm here in Nelson county. According to some people on the forums on Accuweather there still could be some changes coming as far as forecast snow. The short range SREF model is showing some phasing between the northern and southern stream which would lead to more snow for central Kentucky.
http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=KYZ039&warncounty=KYC005&firewxzone=KYZ039&local_place1=3+Miles+NW+Salvisa+KY&product1=Hazardous+Weather+Outlook
This is the link to the latest NWS discussion out f Louisville on their statement of significant accumulations likely Monday night into tuesday.
I dont know if the NWS out of Louisville had it in there forecast discussion online. But on the Louisville NOAA radio it does say significant accumulations are likely. Take it for what it’s worth
sorry…long term…
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/fxc/ohx/graphicast/image_full8.gif
Anybody check out Henry’s Snow Map over at Accuweather..lol.a big gap right through Kentucky with snow north and south..lol.that would be our luck
it has it in their 1145am haz wx outlook upddate, significant accumulations likely, also in afd from them 2-4 inches, for them to give out numbers 3 days out, they are pretty confident
I live close to the river and it always seems the totals are lower here than everywhere else. I figure Southern Floyd got higher accumulations there much higher in elev.
Here is the Louisville area snow total map:
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=lmk&storyid=62331&source=0
Here you go…
http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lmk&wwa=hazardous%20weather%20outlook
New post up from CB…