Good Friday afternoon gang and thanks for all you do for the blog. Periods of light snow have been working across the state today with many areas picking up a few inches of the white stuff. As the disturbance causing today’s snow moves away… another one will quickly move in overnight into early Saturday with a fresh inch or two across central and eastern Kentucky.
Track the snows here…
The blast of snow later tonight into early Saturday will be followed by a nice shot of arctic temps. Readings Saturday will struggle to get out of the upper teens during the afternoon hours. Gusty winds will make it feel even colder than that. Snow showers and flurries should continue into Saturday evening for most areas.
I have no changes to my thoughts on the early week storm and the models continue to be in the same camps they have been in for a few days now. The Canadian has been rock solid with showing our thoughts of one low going by to our south Sunday and Monday followed by a second low making a run at us late Monday and Tuesday…
You will notice the Canadian is farther north with the snow shield from storm number one on Monday. It would bring a shot of accumulating snows from the first system if that is correct. It has the GFS Ensemble mean in it’s camp…
The Short Range Ensemble Forecast also brings the snow shield from the fist storm northward into the region…
A quick peak at the new European Model shows some snow breaking out into the region Monday from the first storm. The model looks to be trending toward the Canadian and GFS Ensembles with the second storm as well.
Again… I want to stress that I can’t tell you if you will get a couple inches of snow or several inches of snow early next week. All I am doing is breaking down what I am seeing from the pattern and the models. I continue to say the pattern and the models don’t yet match one another. Should be a fun weekend..
More updates as needed so check back. Take care.
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lol, We must have been looking at the same thing.
My thoughts Based on the Friday 4am SREF of which I have a lot of confidence for short range:
1.Southern half of Kentucky will see snow breakout early Monday from the Gulf system. There is the possibility Mondays temps will rise above freezing for a while giving mixed precip.
2.This precip line will advance to about I-64 by sundown Monday.
3.Snow accumulations 1 inch or less with a bit more far southeast.
4.System from the NW and the Gulf begin to merge over Arkansas Monday afternoon.
5.Very early speculation (entertainment only) potentially 2″-5″ snows across Kentucky Monday night thru Tuesday night.
Thanks Chris!
Thanks Chris!
Thanks Chris!
Thanks Chris!
Flurry action here in south woodford!
snowing at a pretty good clip at the moment here in Floyd co.
new EURO is better as far as moisture goes.
the euro is ur friend.
I can tell you what Central KY gets with the next storn. Nothing. Save yourself some time Chris and when you you do your snowfall accumulation map, draw a circle around Woodford County, put a big ZERO in the center and if you want put a big (L) next to that for Loser. The radar right this second shows a big clear spot right over my house in Versailles. It’s been there all day. I feel the pull of the dark side. Wonder if Darth Bubba is there yet?
today snow filling in and inhancing as we type.
Still snowing here in Somerset. IT slacks donw, and then gets hard, but it has not stopped. It is like a winter wonderland with the snow on the trees.
Roads are in pretty good shape right now, but as the temp falls, it wil probably become a skating rink later.
Looking forward to updates on the storm system first of the week! Thank, Chris, and to everyone on the blog who contributes.
still snowing pretty hard, nothing sticking as of yet, temp. is at 33 deg.
Coffeelady, If we can’t get it up here,there’s no other place I’d rather see the Good Lord send it than down your way.
Snow moved south & east of Central KY all day. Now the snow to the north has started moving due east & diminishing? Where is Chris seeing the snow coming from for area wide snows tonight???
amen to that!
Snow is coming down good here in Pikeville now.34 degrees and I love seeing Coffee get snow too I wish every person that wants it could I love the snow bring it on.
snowing pretty hard here on the hill at the moment..hardest its snowed all day and its brought the tally up to just over 3″ in my yard !!! looking awesome out there…:)
Mike I could not resist don’t kill me lol.I found Bubba Rolo Tim Andyrose and Chris The Legend Bailey as Rolo says:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vIRQf0S3oD0
Love ya Mike M just playing.
Same here Tim. Got about 2″ in my back yard. Its a beautiful wet snow too!
Still snowing in Clay county. We probably have about 1.5 to 2 inches outside. It is a very pretty snow. I hope this week brings more snow. Still keeping my fingers crossed for a change that will bring Ky a winter wonderland snow. PLEASE!!!!Thanks Chris for the update. I can’t wait until you can give us some amounts and hopefully upgrade this blog to a winter storm threat.
I’m not good with all the maps. So, please tell me……Does it look like Cynthiana will get anything Sun-Tues?
For all you local snowgeese who HAVENT seen a decent snow this yr…this is an “”EYE ADVISORY “”…CAUTION BEFORE READING…you could go insane,loose your temper,pull your P.C. or laptop chord out and sling it out in the Yard !!! IM WARNING YOU IF YOU HAVENT HAD A GRASS COVERING SNOW THIS SEASON SO FAR …DO…NOT…..READ……:)
………FROM THE NWS IN MEMPHIS TN….
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…HELENA…TUNICA…CLARKSDALE…
BATESVILLE…OXFORD…TUPELO…AMORY…ABERDEEN
150 PM CST FRI JAN 7 2011
…WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT.
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: 4 TO 8 INCHES.
* TIMING: SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BY SUNDAY
EVENING.
* IMPACTS: SNOW COVERED ROADS AND DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED BY SUNDAY EVENING. THE DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS
WILL LIKELY PERSIST AT LEAST INTO THE MONDAY MORNING RUSH…AND
POSSIBLY THROUGH THE DAY AND BEYOND.
……….
I TRIED TO WARN YOU….
Don’t know if Mike liked it but I sure did need the boost today…thanks
if it keeps snowing at this rate,through the night, southern ky. wont have any problems seeing 4-6″ of snow by tomorrow…just as soon as the sun sets the roads will start getting nasty again as well, its a comin down out there and the visibility is low.!
….
I’m with Chris on this one WHY IN THE WORLD hasnt JKL issued advisories for tonight of 1-3″ MORE! I mean its almost borderline WARNING criteria in some spots down here…ITS EVERYWHERE,,,ITS EVERYWHERE!!!!….LOL…I think someone slipped one of rolo’s eggnogs in my coffee pot today…:(…:)
Since my laptop isn’t plugged in at the moment I went ahead and read lol. That’s awesome ……… for them.
It’s snowing pretty good in Richmond right now.
I’m there. Loved it Crystal.
Was able to get about a inch here in Rockcastle today. Not bad.
Except the highest points in the eastern KY Mountains…I don’t think any of us have seen 8″ in a 24hour period….we’ve had snows that have been that deep but it has been spread over a couple days.
I use to like this site but your nomenclature of “several” inches is weak. That is a new Met cop out. Several inches come on. How much does several cover? Kind of leaves a lot of room for error and I for one would really like to see that eliminated as well as all the hype being spewed constantly.
Thank
As soon as the radar starts to fill in over Woodford County it breaks apart and starts clearing out to the west. I’m no making this stuff up folks. This has been going on all day.
well !!! someone got outta the wrong side of the bed this morning…HEY ROLO !!! can you hook this poor soul up with some gunchester tonic???…LOL…
Of course, their snows last about one day & melt ๐
Tim, That’s my old stomping grounds, down around Tupelo in North Central MS. We moved to KY in ’62 and at the time it was not unusual at all for MS to get big snows. Much like the KY snows of the 60’s and 70’s. I sure hope the trend is swinging back around as some have suggested. It sure seems that at least this winter is suggestive of that pattern! Keep your fingers crossed!
Not even sure it will be a snow storm for the area, since CB has went out of his way to say he can not tell if couple or several inches. Neither case implies a big snow.
Big snow is probably the north east. Figures the one time the national mets have KY pegged for a big one, it will likely not pan out ๐
Unfortunately looking more and more like yet another miss for us here in CKY as far as decent snow is concerned. We haven’t had a 4-8″ snow (let alone an old school snow) in nearly 13 years, and once again the deep south looks to get it!
This is almost getting comical, living in Louisville. ZERO today- wasn’t expecting much, I thought maybe a dusting…but the radar has produced a nice little swath of nothing, I think I saw a flake earlier.
As someone who does lots of snow removal during these months, lemme tell ya it can get a little more frustrating as we get bypassed more and more. Looking forward to next week already. More hope, probably more dashed dreams. Let’s get some LOVE in Louisville!!!!
Noooo! Stay away from the Dark Side- it feeds on your anger!!
This area needs a snow enema!
Uhmmm…BlizzardTim…could you give me an advance warning next time you are going to give us humor like that?
I spewed coffee all over my keyboard.
Chris i just got this advisory are they listening to you lol?
BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-KNOTT-PERRY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF.MIDDLESBORO.PINEVILLE.HARLAN.
PRESTONSBURG.HINDMAN.HAZARD.HYDEN.WHITESBURG.PIKEVILLE
350 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011
.WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY.
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY.
* SNOW WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING. THE SNOW SHOWERS
WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT.ENDING ON SATURDAY.
* SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.
BRINGING STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION INTO THE 1 TO 3 INCH
RANGE.WITH LOCALLY UP TO 4 INCHES ON THE HIGHEST RIDGES.
* HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.ESPECIALLY
ON UNTREATED ROADS.BRIDGES & OVERPASSES
We got about 7 inches last year, but it drifted everywhere to nothing in spots and two feet in others. Remember? All of central KY go that. Not a big snow, but well within the 4″ to 8″ range.
Big Snow Dome has not moved- in spite of what other have stated. 13 yearn’ and a countin’ you alls’!
Gotta laugh, what else can we do…. Well, CB took it a tad extreme and moved to the snow ๐
I apprecaite you reading… but no one is forcing you to. Plus… you say I am copping out and hyping at the same time. How is that possible?
How specific do you expect 4 days out?
WOW….Same thing happening in Louisville…We must be under the same dome…
Light snow coming down a t a very good clip here in London over 2.5 on the ground now. All you weather posters have a great evening and enjoy the snow and thanks Chris for the updates..
talk about good snowman making snow..lol..my kids are building a monster outside…LOL…snowing big ole flakes out there now..
Dito! Frankfort area
how funny..they sent jim cantore to NYC to get in on another possible big snow…1″…lol…if they wanted him to report in some snow they should have sent him to knox co. ky…oh wait…those places dont exist to the BIG TIMERS…lol…
Few = 1-2″ range
Several = 3-6″ range
I think that’s a fair and safe way to address totals considering that we are still several days out from being affected by the system, if we are at all.
Several–more than two, but probably less than ten.
I don’t think it’s possible that CB could be any more specific…
Mother Nature just isn’t an exact science.
Snow coming down at a good pace in Pikeville.Getting ready to watch Chris at 5pm on WSAZ so glad I still get Chris.
4.5″ of snow so far!! Still coming down very hard!! Keep it coming. Looks beautiful here.
I’ve come to the conclusion we snowgeese here in southeast ky..are getting our own little mini snowstorm today…LOL..still pouring the snow with between 3-4″ on the ground its snowed almost an 1″ in the last hour and a half…Im kind of suprised this much has fallen…postcard scenery out there..wet snow is a pretty snow for sure…:)
Tell me about it Tim. Here in Harlan County it is pouring with aboout 2 inches down so far. Big Heavy Wet flakes that are sticking to everything. ANYONE HAVE ANY THOUGHTS ON EARLY NEXT WEEK’S POSSIBLE STORM. MODELS LOOK TO HAVE TO TREND BACK TO THE NW A LITTLE BIT IN ORDER FOR US TO GET A THUMPER. STILL TIME FOR THIS TO HAPPEN…..
Snow has been lame to nonexistent here in Nicholasville. Nothing sticking. Ground just wet.
Driving down there in the morning from Elizabethtown. How’r the roads?
Number one ‘rakemaker’ we know what MET your in love with right NOW, and he is hyping this system just as much as everyone else. Not throwing in the towel is a cop out to keep the hype going!
Anybody in the Lex/Versailles area look at the radar loop and tell me what you see. It’s been going on all day long. Its a meteorological phenomenon.
Snow starting to stick around the edges of the yards in versailles.
Roads are bad now. We have topped 5″ now. Still pouring.
Point number 2 there isn’t a MET anywhere that will put a number on snow totals this far out! You put out some numbers and lets see how you do!
For the first time since it started early this morning, it has stopped snowing for now here in Somerset…at least at my house. We have about 3 inches on the ground.
Yes, blizzardtim, it is a wet, beautiful snow, hanging on the trees, and just gorgeous! Hoping for more overnight, and even more next week!
Looking forward to the next update, Chris. We need a “possible snow” fix!
๐ SOON!!!!
hi 1 more time from the town of wayne, wva. it is 6:15pm and cloudy with a few spits of snow here and there. we barely got a sugar coating out of all of this so far, but i am not blaming chris. why? it is all about location, folks in southern ky. can vouch for me there. where as not even a ground covering in wayne,wva. a friend in mingo co. called me and said not even a flake at his house all day. nothing on the ground. i do not blame chris for not going out on a limb this far out. he is letting us look at the models our sef so we can make a call. heck if he is getting this much bashing before the storm even gets here, what will it be like when it does come but it is not what people thinks it should have been in his or her back yard. it is all about location. thanks for letting me on here from wayne, wva. i only wish the wsaz web site was this accurate with response times.
Instead of snowing, moisture is actually being sucked OUT of the Louisville area to seed precipitation for all of the surrounding areas. The ‘ville has offended the snow gods…
CHRIS TWEET: Lots of reports of 4″ of snow coming in from southern ky. 21 minutes ago ยท reply
……….
my front yard can verify that…:):)
It is a known fact that using the term “the Ville” will keep the snow away from Louisville. ๐
Snow finally starting to stick to grassy areas, nothing on roads or sidewalks at this time. Temp30 deg
I agree that it’s got to be some kind of phenomenon, geographical feature, butterfly flapping its wings in New York, something! But what is it? The KY river can’t be responsible for all of this.
Snowing hard at East Point, Johnson Cty. Looks slick out there.
Everyone be careful if you must get out.
The current radar look is the worst snow dome effect I have ever witnessed for NCentral-KY! Now that is saying something for the last 13 years. Central KY has P-old the snow gods some how?
Chris what model is the Jackson NWS Office looking at?
AS MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY…MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT FOR
THE EARLY TO MID PART OF NEXT WEEK. SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE…
CURRENTLY OVER CALIFORNIA…WILL EMERGE FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY…GENERATING A SURFACE LOW. THIS SURFACE
LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY…EVENTUALLY ENDING UP ON THE SHORES OF THE MID ATLANTIC BY
MONDAY EVENING. WITH GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT…MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF EASTERN KENTUCKY AS THE AREA
REMAINS ON THE FAR NORTHERN END OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD. AT THIS
POINT…CURRENT THINKING THAT BEST PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH
MONDAY WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE HAL RODGERS PARKWAY. MODEL SOUNDINGS
BECOME FAIRLY SATURATED IN THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON WITH SOME WEAK OMEGA IN THE MID LEVELS. ALTHOUGH I DO NOT
EXPECT A MAJOR EVENT…THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO SEE SOME LIGHT
SNOW AT THE SURFACE. THUS…HAVE BUMPED POPS UP TO LIKELY FROM LATE
MONDAY MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
MEANWHILE…FURTHER NORTH…OPTING TO REMOVE POPS IN THE FAR NORTH
WITH JUST SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE NORTH OF THE HAL RODGERS PARKWAY.
ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION IN THE SOUTH WILL REMAIN LIGHT WITH A COUPLE
TENTHS OF AN INCH AT BEST. ๐
Am I the only one that thinks the early week system is looking pretty disappointing at best. Hoping this so called snowy pattern isn’t all going to be like this but usually patterns stay closely similar at this time of year….when one is a bust, there are going to be others ๐
Enes will never be free ๐ Hopefully the Bluegrass get pounded with snow early next week to cheer me up. I’m counting on you Chris…all of Big Blue Nation is.
Still snowing in Clay County. We have about 2.5 to 3 inches in norther Clay. This is a very pretty snow. Chris thanks for all the time you put into keeping us updated on the weather. You have done a great job this winter season letting us know when the snow is coming and you have been right on everyone. You are the BEST!!! Can’t wait for an update. Looks like Clay and the rest of us southeastern counties will be looking at another week off from school. I hate to make up the days, but I love SNOW!!! Maybe this year the state will be generous and give up some clamitity(however you spell it) days.
Considering we should have got more snow than the quarter inch so far that melted, I think the forecast for most of us may be a tad off.
posted this earlier but moderation must have ate it. Snow finally starting to stick to grassy areas,but roads and side walks are still clear
Seems there are some on here that are about 10 miles up a colon!
Glad you are a follower. I didn’t know I had the fan base! The Met I am in “Love” with is the most level headed in the market. No hype AT ALL, if you think “not throwing in the towel yet” is hyping, you are the one in love…..with ignorance!
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