Good Friday everyone and welcome to the beginning of what is going to be a very harsh period that should carry us through the rest of the month. We are getting the party started with a few rounds of light snow that will be moving across the state into the first half of the weekend. This will lead us into early next week when our ideas of a big storm impacting much of the eastern half of the country are looking better and better. 
Let’s deal with what we have going on in the short term first as it is looking rather active today and Saturday. Systems will continue to dive from the northwest and a fairly strong one will work across the state today with a streak of accumulating snows. This continues to show up very well and will likely drop a covering of 1″-2″ along it’s path. This is likely to impact travel today as untreated roads will become snow covered for some areas. Yet another nice little system will dive into the region overnight into early Saturday and could put down another inch or two for some. Follow the flakes here…
Live Cams
Lexington
Louisville
Northern Ky/Covington
Somerset
E-Town
Bowling Green
Temps today will stay in the mid and upper 20s across the entire area. The system that moves through here early Saturday will be pushed by a blast of arctic air. Readings on Saturday may start in the low 20s then fall into the upper teens during the afternoon. Winds will be rather gusty today into Sunday leading to a much colder feel than what your thermometer is showing.
The storm early next week continues to evolve toward the ideas we have been throwing out. I continue to say the overall pattern argues for for a bigger deal than what the models are suggesting for the first half of the new week. The upper levels on the models are looking better and better and that is slowly transitioning to what they are showing at the surface.
Low pressure should develop across Texas Sunday and slowly roll eastward across the deep south. This is likely to be a weaker solution than the models are showing as much of the 500mb energy is likely to be well back to the west. This energy is likely to show up deeper and stronger on future model runs and we are already seeing this happen. As the first low skirts by to our south… it is likely to throw up enough moisture for the threat of snow to break out in the south Monday. This first low will slowly work eastward toward the Carolinas. The upper level energy to the west will begin to push through the midwest toward our part of the world and will likely spawn another low that works into the Tennessee Valley then into the eastern Ohio Valley by late Tuesday and Wednesday. Those two lows may then meet up somewhere along the east coast.
The GFS Ensemble Mean shows a similar solution…
This is something the Canadian Model has been repeatedly showing with each run for the past several days…
Once the low goes by to our northeast Tuesday night… the middle and end of the week looks to be a nice period of frequent snows as arctic temps settle back in here.
The exact impact the early week storm will have on this region won’t be known for another day or two. I am confident we will get accumulating snows from this… but I simply cannot say if it will be a few inches or several inches. Both options are still on the table and I am not going to make knee jerk reactions to each model run that comes out. I have in my head what I think will happen out of all this… but I won’t share it until I get more confidence it will actually play out. 
Regardless… the POTENTIAL is there for some decent snows next week if things work out according to plan.
Let’s not forget about the shots of snow over the next few days as these may cause a few travel concerns. I will have more updates through the day so be sure to check back. Have a great Friday and take care.
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FIRST!!!
Nothing here at this hour!
Nothing here in Ravenna. Sure thought that we would get something!
That will become the matra of many of us over the coming days; “sure thought that we would get something.”
Mt.Sterling – nothing to report. Radar looks like the snowdome is in operation again. Snow to the west and snow to the east. I REALLY hope this isn’t one of those early release days! ACK!!
Most mets here in Lou are calling next week a non event .. So I am very skeptical of this latest weather hype
Good morning Chris and all. Snowing here lightly, but everything is good at this point. Getting ready to go to work.
Chris, looking forward to further updates. thanks for all you do. Havea GREAT Friday, everyone!
Disappointed that theres no snow on the ground in Johnson County today….this just makes my skepticisn of the next storm increase for some reason. Anyone seem the recent models and what they’re saying? Lots of snow or little snow that is the question….
Another underperforming winter weather tease. Bark is worse than the bite. central KY does seem to be the non-favorite area this winter for some odd reason. You folks in the mtns get all the excitement.
The snow for Friday was supposed to mainly be a mid Friday – Saturday event. Perhaps CB got folks excited with the snow mention last night that might happen.
Next week is looking more like a big even for the north east. We may get a little snow out of it, but I have to hop on the Rolo train on this one. This will probably 1993 event for us, but will for the north east.
Seems the big snow dome will maintain its hold. That is the funny thing, the snow dome was about “big snows” not snow in general. Folks can say what they want, but this is the longest recorder gap for central KY not get a 10″ plus inch snow. Got em’ in every recorded decade but the last one.
BSD for central KY still exists IMO.
light to moderate snow falling here in knox co.. about 1/2″ on the ground..
I was cruising around some of the SOUTHERN forecasts for the upcoming sun-wed storm..and this is whats forecasted for Memphis Tn..
Sunday Night: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 25. East wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.
snow/sleet/freezing rain is forecasted all along the dixie states and this morning NWS forecast for my area here in southern ky.. is calling for 50% snow monday,monday night and tues…so gonna be an exciting weekend for SNOWLOVERS!!…
Nothing WAY OVER here in Irvine eihter!
That’s because the Lou mets just get fixated on a particular model and only spit out what it reads on their computers. CB actually interprets the weather pattern breaks down ALL of the charts and comes up with a very informative forecast for the entire state! Sad our local guys more times than not are always a dollar short and a day late. Chris has been talking about this secondary low forming in the Tennessee valley on monday evening for days now. Yet NOBODY in lou seems to want to point this out. They say its a southern system. Only the 1st part is. This storm has many faces and it will show its ugly face to us on Tuesday! Wait and see …oh, the lou mets will hop on board. But not until monday! CB will have it figured out by tomorrow night.
Southern KY looks to be getting a nice dose of snow this morning. Several schools closed out that way. I’ve given up on the Bluegrass region getting any of this snow, but next week could go either way.
Where have you been. Central Ky has been the epicenter of nothing since this blogs inception( no offense to the blog). Even now on Radar the streak of snow is Just south of Woodford County following a line south of Madison County. A meteorological phenomenon for sure.
No snow in Louisville, but I ran into onthe way to work. I-65 south past E-town is slick. A few spots between Etown and Louisville.
Hey Rolo. Did you know there’s a spell check button 2 boxes over from where you submit your comment. 🙂
Snow has been picking up in intensity here in knox co. Currently light to moderate snow with about 1/2″ on the ground.
I was checking some of the NWS forecast for the south with the upcoming storm on sun-wed. Memphis is forecasting heavy snow sunday-mon. With 2-4″ for them.
Some of ya’ll amaze me. Chris’ original snowfall totals were THROUGH Saturday. It is 8:25 am on Friday. Read the entire update and not just the numbers you are wishing for. Just saying!
I’m working in Owensboro, and we have probably a quarter maybe half an inch on the cars. I haven’t really ventured out to look this morning, so that’s a guess. http://www.owensboro.org/webcams
Dusting in Scott County this morning as students arrived at school. No snow now. Personally, I am glad for that. If this system next week comes together, that will lead to a BUNCH of snow days.
Ok, I love snow. I look forward to it, I hope for it, and I get a little sad when it does not come. The reason I come to this blog besides just generally liking the weather science is to find out if I have any hope for snow coming up. Chris provides that information.
It is not HYPE, it is not WRONG, it is not overstating, etc. Its a conversation about potential winter weather, which so many of us around the blog love. I stay amazed at how such a fun site can have so many negative tones.
Its not something CB has to do, its nothing any of us has to read, no one forces any of us to believe what is said. I just don’t get it.
Its no problem to read about how so and so is disappointed or frustrated. But, with that said, is it really necessary in your life to get on here and gripe or be insulting? You know who you are. Just sayin…
Gosh thank you for writing this…took the words out of my mouth.
Heavy snow in the dreyfus area in Madison county roads covered. Can’t believe our kids went to school. Worry about their trip home, glad I transport mine and they don’t have to ride the bus
And thats saying something. I lived in Memphis for 5 years– they don’t get much snow…if any.
Snowing lightly in northern Madison County. Starting to stick to the back roads.
Just got back from taking kids to school. They go to private, so they had to go this morning–although I think they didn’t exercise good judgment in not having at least a 1 hr delay. I went down one hill backwards, to my 3 yr olds delight– but it kinda freaked Mom out, LOL.
E-Town it is steadily coming down ever since way early this morning. WHen I was out in it, there was some sleet coming down with snow on my windhsheild. Back roads in the neighborhoods are a mess, cars in the ditch at the bottom of hills (was almost me-thank you Jesus) everywhere, but Dixie is pretty good. Ring Rd is slick, so watch it if u live here. Stay to the main roads, forget the shortcut.
We have about an inch now, and still coming down pretty steady. Fun! (now watch the school call and say come back and get your kids—GRRRR!)
Well hello there Ms. Dena! Fancy meeting you here!
snowing in leslie co.has been since 7:15 am every thing white. loveing it!! expecting 2to4 inches through saturday.
picking up in gunchester, i was off this impulse came in earlier than exxxxpected.
good job Chris THE LEGEND Bailey as u in the end was SPOTT on again my friend.
good deal barb, its coming down in Clay CO too!!!
Good post.
Snow dome in full effect N Central KY! The radar has that classic look. Very Discouraging for snow lovers in these parts!
You KNOW what it is. The dark Darth Bubba coined it “many” years ago: The D word.
Ironically, it was called the “Big Snow D”, but we had a spat where snow totals and missed became so common the “Big” was removed.
The past few years, we have gotten enough to at least add the “Big” back at least, since we DO get some snow. Just not a BIG snow in the past thirteen years.
Next week will not be it either, since central KY looks to be in the middle of the spread out part of the “Y” for the system patterns. North east states will probably be the joined part.
We should still get a few inches, with north and east (as usual) getting more. None the less, the main stuff will be probably be north east of us.
Snow all around – but not IN Louisville.
1″ of snow I just measured here at my house still snowing steady as well.
Just watching henrys blog he ican s talking about the warm air attacking the artic air over s. Ky,e.Tn., and north carolina he said to watch out for this to enhance the snow over this area that 2-4″ with locally 5 can fall today!!!
Decent little snow here in Rockcastle. Nothing impressive but probably half an inch and still snowing at a good rate. I see NWS has this area in a 1-3 range and looking at the radar I would say it was a good bet. But Chris has the same totals for my area as the NWS, the only difference is Chris made the call 24 hours earlier than they did. Good job Chris.
I’m at work in Hazard. Everything is white now and the snow is coming down.
I just hope I’ll be able to get my car back up the hill to my house. The busses took the kids to school, then it was announced that they were dismissing school at 8:30 a.m. What in the world are they thinking?
12Z NAM still hugs the coast with the storm next week.
Oh, and if you look at radar today and compare it to the models from a few days ago..it’s amazing how great of a job they did with placement and strength.
Snowing steadily here in East Point of Johnson County on RT 1750.
Not huge flakes or anything, but steady enough to cover the roads and still coming down.
And it arrived just about the time CB hinted at for this area.
Very good points…I agree with this statement.
I hope my post was not insulting. I didn’t intend it to be, I was just pointing out how some of us give up on the cake before the oven is even turned on. I love this blog too and enjoy reading the various thoughts on weather. Just apologizing!
Still coming down steady here in E-Town.
Wondering about my trip to Middlesboro KY/Tazewell TN tomorrow morning? Anybody think its not a good idea? I will be driving an SUV pulling a trailer with a freezer for a beef I bought on the way back to E-Town Sat. early evening.
Come on down to E-Town for lunch and enjoy! Wish I could send some up north to you guys— but well, that would cut into our totals and I’m quite selfish when it comes to snow, LOL.
How is it a great job if no actual results yet to validate? Maybe I misunderstood?
None the less, I agree that if we consider the systems next week, the main body of KY will be the center of the spread out part of a “Y” pattern and the north east will be the joined part that gets hammered.
We will see perhaps several inches and real cold temps. The results need to trend more west for us to get any chance of a bigger event.
I guess you knew that though.
But the BBQ joints down there ROCK! 🙂
Meant model results.
Not you or your type of comments at all. I agree with what you said and these kind of posts about being frustrated and such are a good way to vent if you love the stuff and miss out. I was thinking of the personal insults to others and the constant griping about things that if they had read the whole post they would not be griping, etc.
As for me today – frustrated, I look at that crazy radar and am just frustrated as all get out. BUt maybe we will get that possible inch here by tomorrow.
Had a dusting before I left for work in Nicholasville. Not much here at work and nothing falling at the moment.
Yep…the Euro runs did very well with this clipper system that is affecting us this morning. Had it several days ago.
I’m a real snow lover, but I’m glad that Frankfort and Georgetown has been left out this time. The kids who auditioned and were chosen for District Honor Band are actually getting to go this year. It didn’t get to happen for several of those chosen last year due to snow…so I hope the snow can hold off up here until next week…this time.
cloudy and no snow here in Gtown
i noticed on accuweather extended forecast has nothing for next week, it just says snow, but no mention of artic temps … looking at Jan 18th they actually have the temp at 55 degrees …. do they not have the same weather equipment that CB has or is he looking at something different
Just signing in to get the updates.
We’ve got about a half inch here in Lincoln county. Its still snowing moderately. School is letting out at 12:30 too.
man heavier band missing just tour west, bowling green area getting a nice slug right now.
next week as expected fizzling out quick as far as a REAL SNOW goes.
Been snowing at a moderate clip at my place in Pulaski Co. Probably have close to 1″
CB has futuristic equipment that Santa brought him last year. Nobody in the world has it.
Not sure if he can read.
Around inch and half so far in Corbin. Still coming down. I think as Chris does but won’t say yet LOL….The southern storm will inch northward until BAM! we get rocked next week. They always head north. People in south Georgia and Alabama thinking they are going to get our snow are cuckoo 🙂
Just started snowing here this morning. School was canceled though so everything here is fine.
So he was talking about two sperate systems (nextweek and today).
WX, next time use a transition or at least a semi colon 😉
I agree with you. NOT,,,,how in the world do you know,,,,If you read Chris’s models don’t know yet! And it is slowing down, its the
second low that he is saying he thinks will develop that will be the player..if it doesn’t develop, then yes, we will not get much, but if it does,,we are in business…But we don’t know yet,,well CB does because like I said earlier, he has the special equipment that Santa brought him last year that he shares with nobody.
MikM and BubbaG!!
I’m gonna use that D word!! I’m not complaining though. We had our white Christmas!! But today the DOME is live and well!!
I have tried to refrain from using the D word but it hasn’t helped. It is what it is. Watching it snow north east south and west while central ky sees next to nothing has taken its toll over the years. I’m beginning to think Chris left here for reasons other than a bigger paycheck. At some point and time if things don’t improve I will be going over to the Dark Side. I am sure I will have lots of compnay.Until then I will let the little kid in me( for my kids sake) continue to dream of the big one.
Just shoveled around 2″ of sticky,heavy,wet snow off the sidewalk.snowing fairly moderately and its like glue sticking to everything
Hi Patty. Hate to tell you but you did use the D word. Even as I type this the radar clearly shows snow north east south and west of Woodford Ky. That same line stretches down past Madison KY. We need to rename this area something other that Horse Capital of the World.
temps killing the snow as far as laying, we had 2 inches plus with colder temps.
tim u must live in a holler a sight to have that much snow.
I’m not seeing the typical excitement from Chris about the upcoming storm in question, and wonder if he is having doubts abount higher amounts….I hate to be a downer but we haven’t even made it to threat level yet and its getting close.
The Germantown Commissary!!! I miss it!
Still coming down steady in E-Town. Small flakes, but steady…and purty!
That is exactly why the majority of the time I just read Chris’ post. Obviously today was an exception. I shall now go back to NOT clicking on the comments.
Thanks for all you do Chris. Hope we can lure you back to Lexington someday.
Hey MikeM!! I hope all is well!!! I’ve lost hope that we’ll ever see the big one again so I try to expect next to nothing and IF it does snow I’m happy with anything we get!!!
WE probably have about an inch and a half here in Central Pulaski County. Wasn’t doing anything when I woke up this morning, but I DID turn on the tv and caught the forecast that said that it would snow and increase over the day, with another burst of energy shooting through tonight….
Snow is coming down steadily, and has picked up in intensity here…not the
really big flakes like we saw at christmas, but pouring just the same. Very purty, to borrow from E-Town’s comment.
They’re coming around to a good Idea of snow.
Char, ours went this morning too. Just as the snow started falling. Main roads are treated, but many of the county roads will not be. Glad I am not driving a bus for this one this afternoon…..
I’m hoping he is still perplexed and unwilling to take the bait this early and commit to a specific forecast like everyone else. He normally tends to prove most people wrong. Does it to Rolo most everyday forecast. Hopefully he updates soon to let us know.
Seems the Dome is fully functional over Lex as usual.
A good Plan Patty.
Snow dome is now fully operation in Louisville.
That radar really tells the tale: snow in EVERY direction but here…
Me too….its like I need my Kentucky Weather Center fix for the day lol….I put lots of faith in what he says but the uncertain concerns me 🙂
Hi everyone nothing going on in Pikeville,have had some light flurries from time to time.
Did you guys see on Chris’s Twitter on the side of page where this kids Dad came in from flying a Blackhawk and said that it was pouring the snow at 1000 feet but nothing reaches the ground? I know I should know this but what causes that is it dry air?
Yep. Its called virga. The dry air causes any precipitation to evaporate before reaching the ground.
SOUTH and se ky still in play for early week snow, so dont fall asleep.
my comments are usually towards a BIG SNOW, right now look like light snow will fall in far S/SE KY next week and few inches very possible. nothing majior though.
BUT
if we could get last year etc trend to happen then u never know. the N/NW TREND that is.
the latest GFS busting alot of BIG SNOW wishers bubble for next storm all the way to the NE.
the model to watch is the EURO though. looking forward to its next run in a bit.
TIM I give u props on ur snow, very deciving setting at a puter for few ours. we got alost 2 inxhes here as well. so sorry bout doubting u brother.
ur comment bout inhancing look to be coming true as well.
oh and MIKE I am very happy u are concern bout my hillbilly spelling/graamAR.
It’s on my mind 24/7. Just trying to help. 🙂
Temps right around 33 degrees in Monticello,if not for that we would have at least 5 or 6in of snow,i’ve got a good 3ins now.
Did you notice that the radar map you view on THIS blog is from Accuweather…HMMMM…
Snow is coming down a good steady pace in Northern Clay County. I hope the upcoming storm goes up a little farther.
no problem my friend !.. my subdivision is kinda on a hilly area though, it makes a difference sometimes.. I see even on the somerset webcam shot that even they have snow on the grassy/tree areas… (MIKE AND COFFEELADY GOT SOME THIS TIME)…LOL…
snow is hanging all over the trees down here temp. right around freezing is allowing the snow to fall as a wet,sticky snow thats like glue..MAKES GREAT SNOWBALLS THOUGH…:)
Snow really developing over Breathitt, Perry, Owsley, Leslie, etc. area.. Sticking to everything but the roads right now. If its still doing this when the shade comes over in a couple hours, it’ll get slick quick.
Keep flipflopping Rolo. That’s what you do best.
very sticky snow..sure like to see about a foot of this stuff..Talk about tree limbs snapping..Man i want to try the generator out so bad..Its killing me..
Because Rolo THINKS he knows EVERYTHING. You have to look over him. His percentage of being right on anything is under one percent.
God almighty,its like the sky just opened up and said let it snow..its coming down fairly good..
Speak For Yourself!
whats a matter,afraid of the dark? joking…
Goats can not read and everybody knows Rolo’s goat does all the typing.
“virga”?! Hey! Watch it- this is a family board 🙂
..MASSIVE snow in Louisville- near whiteout conditions…can not find Donner Party. ( just kidding..Louisville with snow? ha!)
My thoughts Based on the Friday 4am SREF of which I have a lot of confidence for short range:
1.Southern half of Kentucky will see snow breakout early Monday from the Gulf system. There is the possibility Mondays temps will rise above freezing for a while giving mixed precip.
2.This precip line will advance to about I-64 by sundown Monday.
3.Snow accumulations 1 inch or less with a bit more far southeast.
4.System from the NW and the Gulf begin to merge over Arkansas Monday afternoon.
5.Very early speculation (entertainment only) potentially 2″-5″ snows across Kentucky Monday night thru Tuesday night.
Dissapointing to see that the storms aren’t going to merge and give our area a nice snowstorm. Winter Storm Watches are up along and north of the I-20 corridor for 4-8″+ of snow and ice. At least we have the upper level low to bring us at least a couple inches of snowfall Tuesday.