Good Sunday, everyone. It’s another hot day with a few clusters of thunderstorms dropping in from the north and northwest. This heat streak lasts into early this week before things change up for the second half of the week and really change by next weekend.

Temps today reach 90-95 in many areas as a few clusters of showers and storms develop across Indiana and Ohio.  These rumble into central and eastern Kentucky this afternoon and evening and a few of those may be strong or locally severe.

Some of the models are seeing the damaging wind potential…

I doubt the Storm Prediction Center puts our region in the low-end risk, but if they do…

Local wind damage would be the main threat.

These storms will also be loaded with lightning and torrential rains that can lead to a few high-water issues.

Monday and Tuesday will feature similar temps to today with a couple of afternoon and evening storms.

Hurricane Erin became a Category 5 storm on Saturday as it strengthened about as quickly as a storm can. Here’s what the monster looks like right now…

The latest from the National Hurricane Center continues to show this storm tracking well off the east coast…

cone graphic

As Erin stays a fish storm, we watch a system dropping in from the northwest by Wednesday. That brings an increase in showers and storms and some of those may stick around for a few days as a slow low spins through. That will be followed by a powerful fall cold front arriving behind it next weekend…

That second front is what really unleashes some real deal early fall air. Temps on the GFS go well below normal and stay that way into early the following week…

The EURO AI was the first to see all this and it continues to show well below normal temps during that same time…

The EURO AI then keeps that rolling right on through the Labor Day Weekend…

We shall see if it has that kind of longevity as we may have another big Atlantic hurricane to deal with in the early stages of that period. The National Hurricane Center is now highlighting this possible system…

The individual tracks from the EURO Ensembles suggest another fish storm, but it’s early in the forecast period…

I leave you with your storm tracking toys for the day…

Warnings

Watches

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Make it a great Sunday and take care.