Good Tuesday, everyone. It’s hot again today as we gear up for a major pattern change arriving later this week and the weekend. One front arrives Wednesday with a much stronger front blowing in late Saturday. That one brings some real deal early fall temps.

Temps today reach 90-95 in most areas with a storm or two going up. A slightly better shot at some storms arrives later tonight and Wednesday as front number one moves in. A lingering shower or storm hangs tough Thursday and Friday as temps come down to more normal levels for this time of year.

The next front slamming through this weekend is being pushed by a MAJOR trough digging into the eastern half of the country. You can see it all here on the GFS from tonight through the weekend…

Well below normal temps crash in behind this front with Barney s colors showing up…

Highs in the 70s with lows, at least, reaching the 50s. The GFS says we flirt with some record lows in the upper 40s…

This below normal temperature pattern will likely hang tough next week into the start of Labor Day Weekend…

The tropics, as you know, are alive and kicking with Hurricane Erin, but additional systems will likely develop behind that fairly soon.

Let’s talk Erin before we get to the next possible system. Here’s Erin as it continues to churn well off the southeastern seaboard…

While the track remains well offshore, tropical storm force winds are likely along the North Carolina coast…

cone graphic

The swells along the east coast will be massive.

The next two systems coming behind Erin should develop in the coming days…

We will have to wait and see if one, or both, of those can make a run at the southeastern US. Regardless, the models like the idea of troughs hanging out across the eastern part of the country into the start of September…

I leave you with your storm tracking toys for the day…

Warnings

Watches

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Make it a terrific Tuesday and take care.