Good Thursday afternoon. We are getting ready to welcome in several rounds of light snow and snow showers that will continue into the start of the upcoming weekend. The action will kick off later this evening as a front slams through the state.
This should carry a nice little burst of snow with it into the overnight hours… especially in the east where a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect into Friday…
Looking at the latest data and getting a better handle on the individual pieces of energy diving in from the northwest over the next few days… I have updated the snow map…
I beefed up totals just a bit for many as the disturbances cruising through will fairly stout. The first arrives late this evening into overnight… another sometime Friday then again Saturday morning. Bursts of heavier snows will accompany each of these leading to slick travel.
Track the first wave of light snow in here from the northwest…
In terms of the storm early next week… I really have no changes in my thought process. The models will continue to show a big hit followed by a not so big hit… then flip it around from run to run. Folks… this is what models do from so far out and why I am always preaching for forecasters to not waffle based on what a model shows. The pattern continues to look VERY favorable for a big storm to come rolling from the southwest through the deep south then up the coast with a front running low into the Tennessee Valley.
I will have more thoughts on next week and an update to the snowy period that is upon us later this evening so check back. Have a great Thursday and take care.
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Hey…am I first?
Well, to make more of a comment than that, I think CB is dead on by playing it cool on next week. There is SO much that can happen. Right now let’s deal with this little slicker-doo coming tonight.
Chris, just asking : in your words “VERY favorable for a big storm to come rolling from the southwest through the deep south then up the coast with a front running low into the Tennessee Valley” if that is what is very favorable, or if that who happen just like that– what would it mean for Central KY?
Just wanted t
o get the email when all you fine folks post. Glad we have tons of wood stacked up next to the good old outdoor wood furnace. Looks like it may get cold.
Looks like it’s going to stay cold, too! Keep those long johns handy! I hope my Jeep gets out of the shop this afternoon, I guess I’ll be needing it.
Boy oh boy the possibilities on the table are incredible!!! Heavy snow-below 0 cold!!! A winter to remember??!!
this seems to be in the line of thinking on monday/tuesday’s storm for the Bluegrass region…I tend to agree with this map, & believe we can’t get stuck on the “rollercoaster runs” that will be taking place over the next 3 days. In the end, I wouldn’t be a bit surprised to see 6″ or more of snow in much of the state! The potential is there, at least. Also, looking ahead…did any of you check out the 12z gfs run for down the road? It has Kentucky getting the HAMMER thrown down on it next weekend (15th). The kind of HAMMER where you have to get the footlong sticks out, lol…and then gues what happens?? That arctic plunge CB has been telling us about. It stays in place for some time and if we all have a nice snowpack down, as I think we will, then we are talking highs in the single digits and lows well below zero for the most of the state! brrrr…
Here is the map from snowday for mon/tue: http://img267.imageshack.us/img267/5082/snowsnow.png
I love it when the forcasters start talking blizzard and power outages. Some of the neighbors get together and drink plenty of beer and i make the neighborhood’s favorite food “Homemade vegetable soup”..All ingredients that’s canned from my garden from the fall..Nothing like drinking 15 beers and then sit down too a hot bowl of soup and watching it snow and waiting for the power too go out..lol
Thank you Chris! I will anticipate a little or a lot of snow for the coming week! I’ve been around here on the blog to get too excited this far out. Especially when you talk about waffleing!! LOL!
Well, looks like our totals have been beefed up a little bit for the clipper series…Tahnks, Chris. Will be like patty and anticipate a little or a LOT of snow next week. (I too have been hanging around here for a long time…and though I like waffles, this kind does NOT excite me… 😉
what do you guys see for Harrison County tonight as far as possible snow totals? will this clipper be an overachiever?
Notice how the snow appears to be tracking south and west of Louisville and then to the south and east of Louisville. The snow dome is fully operational at this point.
Does anyone think that we will have enough snow tonight for school cancellations in eastern Kentucky?
Gonna be something to watch in the coming days. At all the states that will be under WWA, WSWatches and that PINK (of all colors. LOL!) WINTERSTORM WARNINGS!!! And most of them in the south. 🙂
next week going bew to far south as far as a BIG DADDY goes for us. still a few inches but that be it.
Does anyone think that there is a possibility of no school for some counties in eastern Kentucky?
heavy snow = very good
below 0 cold = VERY VERY BAD
I DO NOT want any part of below 0 air temps.
Snow looks like it will hit us square next week. These southern screamers always find a way to turn north toward Kentucky-Tennesee. You heard it here first. Write it down.
I was thinking the same thing. I remember my parents saying (in the 70s) that all of our big snows come out of Texas.
I live in eastern KY, and that has been the talk all day at my school–anticipating a “snow day” tomorrow. The said part is that our first semester still is not over yet.
With a winter weather advisory out, I think it will be likely.
We have already missed seven days, and I am not so sure I want to spend the summer making up the time. You are right, though, with the winter weather advisory in effect.
I don’t mind a few inches of snow, but for some reason, those living in eastern KY sometimes dread it since we could be without power for days or weeks if we get the snow that may come our way next week. It’s not a fun experience at all.
I just hope E-Town is a bit south of that dome, lol.
Beautiful light snow up here in Indianapolis! Roads slick up here.
Funny, a friend here in E-Town said the same thing to me this morning.
Went thru that last year in Tazewell, Tn– a little town just south of Middlesboro KY.
But, then again.. the lights would go out there if the wind blew too hard,lol.
It was the same at MoCo High. Snow or no snow, that is the question. Sorry, had to say it, I’m teaching Shakespeare.
HE HE?? Thats what you said about last storm..As i recall alot of folks got 8-10 inches of snow..Also recall you asking CB how he was seeing all this snow from last storm. So if our old pal rolo says 2 inches you can bet on at least 10.
Joe bastardi posted on his blog at 3 pm saying 10 ” of snow possible along tn/al. Border on sunday!! He says 3″ atlanta to shrevport to raleigh then back to knoxville to memphis. THEN!!! A second low is suppise to develop and move north from tn valley to ohio valley dumping snow along its way! Confused yet??? So do we get snow? Who knows.LOL!!!
Bring on the snow! My electric is underground and never goes out.
If this system pans out, it should be a bigger than just a south event. They would be the ones with the mix and ice and north of Tennessee should be mainly a big snow- IF things were to pan out.
MarkLex, yep, was referring to the blizzard.
tonite snow not going be much at all except far SE/E as u get some lift with mts. main moisture moving to far NE for no more than a dusting to maybe and maybe a inch.
yea BLIZZARD TIM as i said the bigger stuff will miss out to the south, we get a few inches but as far as a BIG DADDY it aint happening as of now.
CB warned of not waffling based on new model waffles.
now if things changed as far as power outages go, its not as bad as it was in the OLD SCHOOL days, as most ELTRIC CO have cleared alot of trees lines out over past 5-7 years.
I just dont see as in years past we get a NW trend every time, but as day before yesterday u saw a S TREND.
we are just bad luck as far as OLD SCHOOL SNOW goes around here. NW trend would be perfect with the upcoming BIG ONE in few days, but u guessed it it move further south when NW means snow.
if N/NW TREND meant ICE or rain u bet ur money it happen.
not waffling BUBBA, ive been on this train for days now ole buddy.
Interesting! I taught senior English for 12 years. (Portfolios and on-demand). Now that I am placed in English 11, it’s all about ACT fun! LOL That was cute…”Snow or no snow. That is the question.” Good one! 🙂
Central KY in a mini snow dome of late. Christmas snow was about 1 in. 2-4 was forecast by most. Just a day or so ago 1-3 was forecast with this clipper, now a dusting? South & east are in best snow zones! Radar not very impressive in Indiana. Flurries mostly.
No matter what you guys hear, we will get ALOT next week. 😉
Living in eastern KY with a big snow storm is trivial. Mountains and hills cause major delays…accidents…everything! I don’t want that much snow. I hope rolo is correct…just a few inches. I want a summer, not stranded in doors wondering how to stay warm when the electricity goes out. We still have trees on the power lines from the ice storm. UGH!
actually he said 1-2 last night all i got was a dusting or very light accum like Chris said
That is very true! I very much enjoyed the KY winters in the 60s and 70s, and all of the big ones, or Old Schoolers” as Rolo says, came out of the Gulf/Texas. I sure wish we would get that trend back again!!
Light snow falling in Bardstown with strong wind gusts.
Old School = old …that is all
I’m confused…TG on 27 talks like nothing is coming next week….what’s up?
Light snow flurries just south of Lawrenceburg near Bluegrass Parkway.
TG always late to join the snow forecast party! Just my take on his forecasting style?
Where do you live? I got easily 3-4″ out of the Christmas snow in Jessamine (though at my brother’s house in L’ville there was little more than a dusting)…
The radar seems to be weak right now. Is the snow suppose to pick up tonight or is this first round all the snow we are going to recieve?
That snow dome also covers Shelbyville. The most snow we have gotten with a “storm” this year is 2 maybe 3 inches. We hardly got an inch on Christmas. I hope we can get just one big storm this year.
hmm, rain nobody mention rain.
Any snow coming down in Mt Sterling or Owingsville?
nothing fell in lex-richmond..but radar showed it..i hope this isnt a preview of what is to come as mentioned in baileys title
This is about 30 miles from me..
…WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM
EST SATURDAY…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR PERIODS OF SNOW…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST SATURDAY.
* TIMING: SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* ACCUMULATIONS: TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD REACH 5 TO 10
INCHES BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON…WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS
UP TO 12 INCHES IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS.
The ole Wchannel, just revealed a map that takes the big storm monday thru tues, thru Alabama, Georgia Southern Tenn!. Their model had KY dry? Chris, what are they looking at???
Yes snowing at both locations just drove in from Georgetown, but its not sticking yet. It is coming down much harder here in Morehead and starting to stick on roads…
Calm down peeps. Our snow for tonight is just now getting into Iowa. Not gonna start in CKY until midnight or later.
Wondering about that map too.On Sunday it shows Ky clear and snow,ice,etc in those states.Apparently from the rain event in Texas
The ole Wchannel is wrong on our forecasts 90% of the time. They make their own forecasts now, instead of using anything the NWS puts out. Since they have started having so many ‘series’ on, I really don’t consider them as much of a weather outlet anymore….
aTHE WEATHER CHANNEL not a bad as some of u put them down to be, fact is they been right there this winter with there weekly planner. so lay off them.
as BAILEY said the models will waffle.
IMO in the end they will come togther with a more southerly track as many have suggested.
we still might recieve 2-4 inches in faaaaar south ky early next week if things happen just right.
oh and a blind sQUACK gets lucky ever now and then, meaningwe are do a DUSTING SUPRISE.
remember the great dusting forcast years back dont ya.
tomm afternoon/evening IMPULSE is the one that will give us couple inches possible as far as anything oes.
Why Rolo………Just why?
The weather channel is a joke at forecasting specifics Rolo, and they have not been “right there” this winter or any other time. I do enjoy listening to their music during the area forecasts though. I find it soothing.
chris has a new update
Yes, TWC is horrible at forecasting. One day they have 20 degrees then the next day they have it 55.
Anytime we get 8″, they call for 1-3″…
Well, the blue on the weather map has moved on SE of Estill County so does that mean that we have missed out on any snow tonight?
TWC is terrible as far as forecasting in Lexington goes. They may do better where you are but are basically useless for us. I get all my weather from kyweathercenter.com and no where else.
Chris, sounds like you have a good feel about the pattern we are in this winter! I trust your wise winter weather judgement! You have been spot on this winter. Thanks for keeping us updated on your thoughts!
i agree 100%..:)