Good Thursday to one and all. Rounds of showers and storms arrived on cue Wednesday and these were loaded with torrential rains. Flooding was reported into parts of central Kentucky and we will face a similar threat over the next few days. These storms are developing in a tropical air mass and can put down a ton of water in a short amount of time.
Let’s break down what we’re dealing with…
– Clusters of showers and storms will continue to work across the state today into Friday.
– Torrential rains will cause additional high water concerns in some areas. Some spots can pick up a quick 2″-3″ of rain in an hour or two.
– The rain won’t be constant and many areas will see a lot of dry time in between the rounds of boomers.
– Most of the state will average 1″-3″ of rain from Wednesday through the coming weekend.
– The focus of the heaviest rain may end up being across the southern half of the state as our front slips a bit farther to the south by the weekend.
What are we dealing with beyond this? The pattern will feature a dip in the jet stream that will take us through much of next week. Check out how the European looks during this time and you can see the change…
That will likely feature disturbances dropping in from the northwest with scattered showers and storms. It will also keep temps below normal for the period. Does that even qualify as breaking news now?
The GFS Ensembles agrees with the cool look for next week…
The more things change, the more they stay the same.
Have a great Thursday and take care.
I was looking at the NAM and EURO you posted a couple days ago and that never happened yesterday. I think that is why people were saying it was a bust. The rain was never as widespread as those suggested. Here in Louisville I have not seen a drop of rain for awhile now. Eastern Jefferson County has had some rain,but not here where I live.
I’m in the Seneca Park area and haven’t seen a drop in weeks. After a very wet month or so it’s now starting to get really dry around here. Looking like another dry day and night for me. What I do have is some serious heat and humidity.
I guess Tennessee is robbing our storms again today from looks of the latest radar, .20 in of rain in east Frankfort so far, long way to go for the 2 to 3 inch totals that are being predicted!
If you get under one of those individual cells you will sing a different tune.. They’re capable of dropping 2-3 inches in 45 min. These are summertime storms, everybody’s backyard is going to get a different amount of rain. If you can’t understand that, you shouldn’t even visit a weather blog. Consider yourself lucky that you only got .2 instead of the folks that got washed away a couple counties south of you last evening!
Yeah, this system has been an underachiever. Kinda like those winter storms that never materialize or go somewhere else.
“Tennessee is robbing…”. Todd, there’s a reason they choose to all wear orange down there. 😉
Go Big Blue!
Here in northwest Lex we had HEAVY rain yesterday evening and then again this morning. I think over an inch….It was torrential and blowing.
As Chris predicted, there have been “clusters” of storms. Per the KY Mesonet, a few areas have already topped an inch and a half. But these areas are scattered, with many areas remaining dry (so far).
Yes, Tennessee seems to have gotten the brunt of the action, at least here in the Nashville area. Had a couple good downpours with lightning, some wind. Minor street flooding. When I got home from work, it was evident the power had gone out as the clocks and such had reset themselves.
The “boot heel” of Missouri and northeastern Arkansas are under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until midnight (central time). Thus, those in Kentucky and Tennessee along the Mississippi River need to be on guard for damaging winds, large hail. Low chance of an isolated twister.
Still amazed that people come on here and complain because the “forcast” that Chris puts out wasn’t right. It’s weather, nobody knows for sure, get over it or don’t visit or comment on site.