Good Tuesday, everyone. Temps are coming up out there today as we go into a bit of a December thaw. This comes with a strong southwest wind that really kicks in the next few days ahead of another blast of cold. That’s in and out as we watch Christmas week.

Temps out there today are going into the 40s with a 50 in the south and west. A few clouds roll in on this first round of southwest winds. There’s also the chance for a small shower or two tonight and early Wednesday.

A few of these show up on the Hi-Res NAM future radar…

The rest of Wednesday is a fairly calm weather day before temps REALLY spike on Thursday. Temps surge into the 50s with the chance for a 60 in the east and south on a strong southwest wind ahead of a powerful cold front.

Those winds may reach 40mph or greater at times.

Widespread rains roll from west to east ahead of this front arriving late Thursday. Much colder air comes in behind this with a few snow showers and flurries set to fly Thursday night into Friday morning…

Temps absolutely tank behind this boundary. Watch the feels like temp from Thursday afternoon to Friday morning…

Canadian

GFS

Temps rebound quickly Saturday and early Sunday ahead of another front dropping into the region as the first in a series of troughs works through the Great Lakes into the northeast. This happens as some VERY warm air bubbles in the Plains states.

The EURO shows how our region is on the southern edge of the main battle zone to our northeast. The model does try to start Christmas week with a mix…

That said, some very warm air will shoot in here from time to time Christmas week. How warm depends on those cold highs rolling across the northern tier of the US. Can they come far enough south to fight off this warmth? Meh. Maybe.

I’ll have another update or two later today. Have a great Tuesday and take care.