Good Tuesday everyone. Some changes are heading our way later this week just in time to usher in the brand new year. That change will feature milder air and something other than snow falling from the sky. The problem with this change is it’s only temporary as strong signs of the cold and snowy pattern kicking back in are showing up for next week into much of January.
Let us start with the weather today. Temps this morning will be on the frigid side in many areas that have clear skies. Readings in the high single digits to low teens will be likely for these areas with mid teens for those areas with more clouds. Track the morning lows here…
This Morning’s Lows
Highs will hit the upper 20s to low 30s in the east with mid and upper 30s west under partly sunny skies.
By Wednesday… milder air will be moving northward toward the region. The milder air will be accompanied by showers heading in from southwest to northeast Wednesday night into Thursday morning. The leading edge of this moisture may start out as a brief period of light snow or a mix before going quickly over to rain. On and off showers and temps in the 40s will be with us for Thursday.
The final day of 2010 will be a fairly mild one as temps hit 50 in most areas. A few showers will be with us as well.
A very strong cold front will be working eastward across the Ohio Valley for New Year’s Day. Widespread rain and some thunder will be likely. Temps ahead of the front will be in the 50s with a sharp drop to below freezing on the other side of the boundary. This front will cross the state late New Year’s Day with the cold air once again regaining control of our pattern by Saturday night and Sunday. There is still the chance for a wave of low pressure to develop along this front as it hits the crest of the Appalachian Mountains Sunday morning. This would mean some very light snow or flurries could be noted for some areas. The Canadian Model is showing such a possibility…
That will usher in a typical brand of early January cold air for this region. There will be a weak system skirting west to east just to our south by mid week that we will have to watch. It is the end of next week that the pattern really tries to go back to cold and snowy as our high latitude blocking begins to show itself once again. The GFS Ensembles 500mb anomaly charts show this block very well…
That blocking leads to some very cold air once again overwhelming the pattern across much of the country. This should also feature several snow chances from the end of next week into mid January. That will really be the case if we can get some involvement from the southern branch of the jet stream.
I am also seeing signs of another period of significant blocking cranking back up across the Arctic by the middle and end of January. If that shows up… some significant arctic air outbreaks could be in store for the eastern half of the country during this time.
Looks like the top ten cold and snowy December analogs might be on to something. 
Have a great Tuesday and take care.
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So much for all that talk about it warming up in Jan. haha… I love snow and bring it on! Would love to see about 30″ in Jan and another 30″ in Feb. lol
2nd!!!
I agree! Wow we have had a December to remember, might as well shoot for a winter to remember!!
be no more months as a whole like decemember this winter folks, sorry.
So then I suppose its safe to say that La Nina winters can be very cold and wet here? I mean, really…..Over 12 inches of snow and 24 days (so far) that stayed in the 30’s or below…..15 of those days never saw freezing
I was under the impression that it was in strong EL NINO winters when California got bombarded with heavy rain, but apparently that can happen in La Nina winters as well
Those videos of that NEW YORK CITY blizzard reminded me so much of February 1998 here
Morning Chris, and everyone. Woke up to a very crisp and clear 12 degrees this morning at the Hargis house…sunshine is beautiful this morning.
Chris, with all the snowpack, are we going to need to worry about flooding with this next system? From what I am seeing, it looks like we could see very heavy rain on New Year’s Day. Just wondering. And if the moisture is not totally gone when the temps fall, coul dthere be mo=inor icing early Sunday morning as well? Just asking.
Everyone have a GREAT last Tuesday of the year!
A typical La Nina winter in KY is warmer and wetter than average. Here’s an image from NASA that show’s typical La Nina impacts on winter weather.
http://www.nasa.gov/centers/goddard/images/content/208053main_lanina_HI.jpg
However, I think the bigger player in this winter’s weather so far has been the -NAO.
I agree. The warmth will start creeping up from the south a little more during January – March. The Feds agree too:
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead01/off01_temp.gif
Doesnt the warmth always start coming up, getting ready for spring? lol. There is going to be ALOT of people surprised how the rest of the winter will be.
Its plain as day CB’s done said Jan will be cold and snowy. Thought it was suppose to warm up starting in Jan?
Good Tuesday everyone. Some changes are heading our way later this week just in time to usher in the brand new year. That change will feature milder air and something other than snow falling from the sky. The problem with this change is it’s only temporary as strong signs of the cold and snowy pattern kicking back in are showing up for next week into much of January.
Let us start with the weather today. Temps this morning will be on the frigid side in many areas that have clear skies. Readings in the high single digits to low teens will be likely for these areas with mid teens for those areas with more clouds. Track the morning lows here…
This Morning’s Lows
Highs will hit the upper 20s to low 30s in the east with mid and upper 30s west under partly sunny skies.
By Wednesday… milder air will be moving northward toward the region. The milder air will be accompanied by showers heading in from southwest to northeast Wednesday night into Thursday morning. The leading edge of this moisture may start out as a brief period of light snow or a mix before going quickly over to rain. On and off showers and temps in the 40s will be with us for Thursday.
The final day of 2010 will be a fairly mild one as temps hit 50 in most areas. A few showers will be with us as well.
A very strong cold front will be working eastward across the Ohio Valley for New Year’s Day. Widespread rain and some thunder will be likely. Temps ahead of the front will be in the 50s with a sharp drop to below freezing on the other side of the boundary. This front will cross the state late New Year’s Day with the cold air once again regaining control of our pattern by Saturday night and Sunday. There is still the chance for a wave of low pressure to develop along this front as it hits the crest of the Appalachian Mountains Sunday morning. This would mean some very light snow or flurries could be noted for some areas. The Canadian Model is showing such a possibility…
That will usher in a typical brand of early January cold air for this region. There will be a weak system skirting west to east just to our south by mid week that we will have to watch. It is the end of next week that the pattern really tries to go back to cold and snowy as our high latitude blocking begins to show itself once again. The GFS Ensembles 500mb anomaly charts show this block very well…
That blocking leads to some very cold air once again overwhelming the pattern across much of the country. This should also feature several snow chances from the end of next week into mid January. That will really be the case if we can get some involvement from the southern branch of the jet stream.
I am also seeing signs of another period of significant blocking cranking back up across the Arctic by the middle and end of January. If that shows up… some significant arctic air outbreaks could be in store for the eastern half of the country during this time.
Frankfort (east) has had 14to15in. of snow in Dec. Yes, it will warm up some for a while, but I’m with Chris, January may have some fun & games of It’s own, to prove the FED WARM forecasters Wrong once AGAIN! Bring-it on Chris! Just seen a yearly snow map total for LEX at 35inches. What Snow DOME?????
KY in the EC side of that map. Map reads equal chances at below normal or above, it does not say warm air coming north. Wxman?
The map shows above avg. temps. bulging northward from the deep south. The prediction is for warmer temps. here in KY than what we’ve been seeing. By the time we get to Spring, their projections have KY in the above avg. zone as well. Not that I put faith into these…just that it’s worth noting. If the coming months are really cold, I’ll be shocked.
Outdated Post, But, Anyone with a brain knows that it gets slightly warmer each month Jan thru March DUH!
arl e milhn