Good Friday everyone and welcome to Christmas weekend. It is no ordinary Christmas as Santa will be delivering a special present to us… the rare White Christmas. As a matter of fact… the weekend as a whole will be a very snowy one. Ho Ho Ho 
Let’s break it down…
– A streak of snow will be moving into western and central Kentucky later this afternoon. This is not the main batch of snow as that will arrive from west to east this evening and overnight.
– Steady snows will develop this evening and continue into Christmas Day. A general 1″-4″ of snow will be likely across the area.
– Roads will likely become snow covered in many areas leading to a slow go for holiday travelers.
– The snow will taper off across the west by Christmas Afternoon and become lighter across the east as a wave of low pressure passes off to our southeast.
– A very strong upper level low will then settle in across the Ohio Valley from Christmas Night through Sunday and into early Monday. This is a stout system that will produce widespread snow showers and squalls during this time.
– The snow may come down at a good clip for several hours Sunday into Sunday evening. More accumulating snows are likely… especially across the east and southeast.
You can track the first flakes into our region here…
As far as snowfall is concerned… I have broken it down into two periods. The first is from this evening through Christmas Day and the second shows everything that falls from tonight through Monday.
Here ya go…
I will continue to check the latest data and radar trends and adjust accordingly. A Final Call For Snowfall map will be out this afternoon so be sure to check back.
Here is another great tune to get you in the White Christmas mood…
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CB, thanks for the update.
4-8″ sounds great to me!!
Thank you, Chris, for the gift that you give all of us each and every day – the gift of wonderful you and this amazing site! Thank you! Merry Christmas to you, Chris!!
I am going to be a little “Bah Humbug” with this forecast simply because we will be traveling on Christmas Day from Lex to Bowling Green, then on Sunday, from Bowling Green to Somerset, then finally, from Somerset back to Lexington! If I could stay home and enjoy this snow with my family, it would be one different, but since we will be joining countless other travelers who will also be on the roads to see their loved ones, I am not happy with the forecast in regard to its impact on our travel! Ugh!
For those of you who always help with questions – thank you once again for your help! – do you have a feel for the times with this and the greatest areas of impact, especially in regard to where we will be traveling and when?? How bad do you think the travel conditions are going to get? Thank you so very much for your help!!
Merry Christmas to each and every one of you! Happy New Year, too! Hope that each of you have a wonderful and blessed Christmas! π
So thankful I’m coming home today to be able to spend Christmas with my family, and I’m going to enjoy the white Christmas tomorrow. Merry Christmas everyone!
Thanks Chris for the update. I check your site about every 2 hours looking for updates and reading the post, such a wonderful group of followers; your the best. I don’t for the life of me why I watch the weather on TV I love Bill but man he’s got to get in the game. anyways everyone have a wonderful white Christmas and joyous New Year.
Hip Hip Hooray for a White Christmas!! Thanks CB for all that you do with this blog. And I think we all appreciate your dedication and accuracy with all your forecasts.
Everyone have a great Christmas and be careful driving your sleighs in the snow.
Thanks Chris for all the hard work you put in to this blog it is greatly appreciated. From my family to yours Happy Holidays
dang gone its LEGEND, u had a MUD DRUNK SINGER most on her never heard so lets have UNCLE EDDIE clip from Christmas VACATION!!!lol
Thanks Chris. You’re the most accurate meteorologist in Ky by far. Les I believe you have one that bet. Pick a good pic.
look like northern stream disturbance futher north as bulk will miss KY.
ALAN JACKSON, FAT BOYS XMAS or RUN D MC BAILEY!!! next post.
Judging by radar the models to me the models
Looks like the models are still struggling with this system precip is breaking out way ahead of what models were orginally thinking and easy 2-4, 3-6 snow statewide. I know the atmosphere is still dry but this virga that is occuring will saturate watch and see. Radar return are getting more and more impressive out to our west. Would not surprise me to go from a WWA to a WSW, just my opinion however but Im going to stick with it.
I agree. The radar coming from Missouri is looking pretty good with alot of moisture with it.
Was just reading the Indy weather discussion they want a few more models to come in but there actually considering upgrading from a WWA to a WSW. The mets in Louisville are pretty much all on the same page here 2-4 isolated 5 inch totals. I agree with that maybe a 6inch total here or there if banding happens. I like what the Paducah NWS said there disregarding the morning models because they are clueless precip is breaking out faster than what models were dictating there going by radar returns now. lol
its a thing called VERGA BOYA AND GIRLS, it not reaching ground alot of the leading stuff, actually heavier snowq late tonite will be north by the look of things.
its overrunning moisture HEAD of the storm.
We still have plenty snow on the ground in our part of Bourbon County. This will add to it and make it by far the snowiest Christmas since we moved here in 2001.
It sounds like perfect conditions to enjoy the first of many viewings of “A Christmas Story”.
Merry Christmas Y’all!!!
Of course I am no expert or Dr Phil but let me be the first to say my wife is okay with 6 inches but is is hoping for 8! That would be a Merry Christmas!! Ha!!!
Seriously be safe this holiday season and take time to appreciate your friends and family!
Winter
ANDY must be sick. er u at been missing for 3 days. just worried bout my ole friend in KNOX co.
I understand some of this MAY not be reaching the ground yet…however, I also understand the mets in Paducah have thrown out all of the models and are going by satellite and radar now. Looks like it’s moving ALOT faster than anticipated..hoping it stalls over the Louavul snowdome…lol…as we always seem to get the ‘trace’. Merry Christmas to everyone!
Thank You C.B. Merry Christmas!
nothern styream is indeed moving faster than the southern low, now that said it take couple hours to reach ground, but rocastle north going get the snow, the SA/SE unless it expands will miss out. sharp cut off moving due east.
u guys checking mizzouri for any reports of snow reaching ground?
MJ- If you are around, I’m wondering if you could add to your thoughts on snow totals. In the short term discussion, it seems like you are leaning toward .25 to .35 inches QPF, with a ratio of 13-17.1.
Doesn’t that point more toward a 3-6 inch snow?
dew point is high enough for it to fall, doubt it is verga
Good Morning Everyone! Let the “snowdown” begin! As I said yesterday I still think the totals (at least for the Morhead area/North and Eastern will end up being higher than expected..I’m still thinking there’s more moisture and the wrap arounds will lay down a few more inches on the ground …But I sincerely wish everyone a very SAFE and WHITE CHRISTMAS
Good Christmas Eve morning, all and Mery Christmas to everyone! Looks like we are going to get that white Christams…..YAY!!! NOW, I can get officially excited! Chris says so, and so far this winter, he is 3 for 3….
Want to wish each and every friend on this blog a very Merry Christmas, and a safe and happy one!
i second that motion seeing none of our other weather guys are around. come MJ what u got.
well thisa morning all lex mets said it was verga in western mizz. that was around 630
Thank you Chris for all your hard work for us! Merry Christmas to you and your beautiful family.
There is definitely snow on the ground, and it appears to be falling right now from looking at traffic cameras.
http://maps.modot.mo.gov/timi/
Click on that link, then select the traffic camera option on the left.
Just a note to add that the purple lines on that map mean the road condition is noted as covered. The blue lines mean partially covered.
report out of farmington MO of already 1.5 inches with moderate snow,
we could have a suprise on our hands after all.
once again here in s/ ky we need it to fill in cause as of now when it gets here it be north of us. but we got 8 hours or longer before it ever get close to central and eastern ky.
u can see moisture on back sw end in mizz building south with gulf moisture.
actually think this goping to be bigger late tonite than expected.
Merry Christmas to all, bring on the Snow : )
COFFEEELADY,CHARBUBBA, vinny, hell let me say all the REGULARS who been he from start I LUV u and have a great weekend. and if u ever need anything u just ask and ole rolo will come to u. seriously. im worried about ANDY ROSE though
reports of heavy snow in Missouri
Merry Christmas Bloggers π
we are still on track for the higher snow ratios, of 13:! or potentially 17:1 according the the NWS, but some believe 20:1 may have a real chance
Merry Christmas Sarah, From the quintessential Gambeni, Vinny π
Still looking at 2~3″ statewide..
Hope everyone has a safe and blessed Christmas holiday…
…
Merry Christmas Rolocoaster…
Hope you win by a nose…!
thanks Vinny : )
we were dreaming of a white christmas, just like the ones the blog use to know.
Thanks, Rolo, and Merry Christmas to you, too.
I think Andy must be okay, he said something the other day about working.
Be safe if you are out in the weather.
light snow reported at Carbondale, Ill.
That is in the southern part of Ill.
I’m heading out to the fam now to get ahead of the weather. I’m sure I will be checking in, but just in case I want to say Merry Christmas to you and your fam CB. And the same to all you bloggers out there. Be safe and enjoy the time with your loved ones.
Merry Christmas Eve everyone! Seems like every system that came through so far this winter has been a bit of an overacheiver. We could possibly have another one this time. Sure hope so.
Hey, Rolo, I used to watch Dean’s show when I was a kid…
He always had a drink in one hand and a cigarette in the other, but one heck of a good voice.
Merry Christmas everyone! π
Many thanks to our favorite WXman who puts in so much time on this blog/the posts.
Thank you rolo! And the same to you! Merry Christmas!
Merry Christmas to ALL of you!
God Bless us every one!
Snow now being reported on this side of the Miss. river in western Ky. It’s on the way folks.
Hello everyone. just wanted to wish all of you and yours a very Merry Christmas and a very Happy New Year. CB, thanks for all you do for us here on this blog. You are wonderful. Chris, hope you and your family have a very Merry Christmas and a very Happy New Year too. Love ya. Paula T. Lewis Co.
Hello everyone. just wanted to wish all of you and yours a very Merry Christmas and a very Happy New Year. CB, thanks for all you do for us here on this blog. You are wonderful. Chris, hope you and your family have a very Merry Christmas and a very Happy New Year too. Love ya. Paula T. Lewis Co.
Jackson NWS putting up WWA from 8pm to noon Saturday.
Here’s something to get you all in the holiday spirit. Enjoy! π
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OcAVheZAxDU
Definitely one of the BEST Christmas videos ever!
MERRY CHRISTMAS!!!!
Looks like moisture out to our west is “overachieving” compared to the models. I am happy with that
12z NAM spits out a good 3-5″ for EKY with higher amounts around the border.
KY weather chat is still open for bussiness all the latest info coming in hot off the press π (open in new tab to keep Chris’ blog open!! http://ekywx.com/kychat.htm
Once again Merry Christmas to you Chris, and to all my fellow bloggers π
Merry christmas to all of you, and I wish all of you a very white christmas!!!
Merry Christmas to you and your family, too Rolo-coaster! And to Vinny, and BubbaG, and Char, and Tim, and Andy and……( I could go on, but you get the idea. π
models are trending much drier likely sensing the rh is only about 65% this means some of the snow will not reach the ground. the 00z ecmwf, and 12z nam and gfs have a hard time even giving us .1 qpf. likely qpf amounts of .1-.15 by tomorrow night this means lower end totals.
Merry Christmas to all my blog friends! I’m in Paducah for the holidays so feeling left out with the lack of snow, and knowing that back in central KY you all are going to have a white Christmas. But, here with family, a beautiful tree with presents underneath it, and two girls that are jumping around with joy. I think I’m pretty blessed…
Just want to wish everyone a Merry Christmas and safe travels to any who have to be on the roads. I love this blog and am so thankful for Chris and all the work he puts in on it – have enjoyed it for many years now! It is a great community of friends here and you always feel like you can just pull up a chair and talk. π
Rolo mentioned Andy has been MIA…I have been wondering about Debbie in Bardstown (I think). Has anybody heard from her? She used to write the funniest posts, and I haven’t seen her on here in a long time.
Everybody be safe, be happy, be thankful for your friends and loved ones and enjoy this wonderful White Christmas as we celebrate the birth of Jesus!
Alas, I now call Ohio home, but my heart will always be in Kentucky. Our children and grandchildren are here, we missed them terribly, so we moved up to the Miami Valley. I still read the blog, and when I do I feel like I’m still in wonderful KY. Thank-you for all you do Chris, and Happy Blessed Holidays to all of you. Watch for that Star in the East, for the gift we will receive on this Eve is priceless!
Merry Christmas π
well looking like a BUATED FORCAST, the northern satream a miss, unless we get something from southern low thrown this way, there will be a BUST on mine and CB forcast for late tonite tru weekend. 1-2 inches tops and thats pushing it. system just not moving the way we need. sorry i missed it but that the way it looks. 30 percent of a WHUITE CHRISTMAS as of now.
Merry Christmas to all!! Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow
Hmmmm…
THE NEXT HURDLE IS A
PROLONGED UPSLOPE SNOW EVENT SATURDAY NIGHT INTO THE DAY ON MONDAY.
THIS LOOKS TO REALLY HAMMER THE AREA ON SUNDAY. PRELIMINARY THOUGHTS
ARE THAT OUR ADVISORY WILL NEED TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH AT LEAST
SUNDAY NIGHT AND WE MAY NEED A WATCH OR POSSIBLY A WARNING FOR OUR
HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG THE VIRGINIA BORDER. WILL NEED TO SEE ENTIRE
12Z MODEL SUITE AND GO THROUGH SOME COORDINATION WITH NEIGHBORING
WFOS BEFORE FINAL PICTURE CAN BE PAINTED THOUGH.
Just keep flip-flopping buddy. That’s what you do best. In three or four hours you’ll flip-flop again. What a waste.
Merryβ * γ β’ Λ Λ β’γβ Christmasβ γ* γ*FROM OUR HOUSE TO YOURS!!
Β° γ Β° Λ* _Ξ _____*γ*Λβ γ* γ*γ β’ Λ Λ β’γβ
Λ Λ β’Λβ’*/______/~οΌΌγΛ Λ Λβ γ* γ*β γ* γ*
Λ Λ β’Λβ’ ο½ η°η°ο½ιο½ ΛAnd a happy new year…
Merry Christmas to Chris and his family and all you bloggers!
We will have a white Christmas, just be patient! That’s my prediction and I’m stickin’ to it!
My friend rolo, don’t get excited the northern upper level low is pushing the precipitation southeast. The legend will be spot on when all is said and done if anything snow totals will be a little higher and I bet in CB’s next post that will be reflected.
THATS COOL!! HOW’D YOU DO THAT!!…
I need to get one of rolos keyboards just to understand what he is typing.
I do believe the timing of everything was for later tonight … so I do NOT see what rolover is talking about.
Rolo man, please don’t start this stuff. You said yourself this is overrunning moisture out ahead of the system. Not to mention that the WWA doesn’t come into effect until around 8 tonight. I’m not trying to give you a hard time like some of these guys, but just give it a rest man.
Merry Christmas to all the fellow WX nuts out there. I hope you have the best ever holidays.
thanks weatherman. and CB made props to you for keeping us all informed.
ROLO! stop poo-pooing on my white Christmas dreams! you are a buzz kill!! how is your brother?
Dry slot showing up in southern ILL! Unless that southern Missouri radar fills in later, the 2to4 in. snow will not happen.
Yeah, I suppose so. The ratios will not be fixed during the event. They’ll start off low and then rise later on.
cool.
we’re still getting .1 to .15 qpf by tomorrow night for an inch to perhaps three of snow. wave suggests winter storm warnings are coming out I don’t see how that would be the forecast based on modeling.
And to not get moderated… π
Very nice!
Does anyone think Louisville might get 6 inches of snow out of this system? My little cousins are in town and they’re from the deep south and have never seen snow before. It would be a nice surprise Christmas present for them!
Relax, kiddies! Just the usual Debbie Downers gloom and doom blah blah. Watch the radars fill in as they backbuild to the west, the upslope kicks in gear from Sat. night into Monday as the NWS is talking about watches and warnings.
And don’t forget about the southern and northern streams looking like they may phase ATTM. Don’t worry, be happy. π
So does everyone have all of their gifts and food ready for tomorrow ???
I just have to finish wrapping all of mine and then wait to see what happens with our weather.
Gifts yes, food no. I sense a last minute Kroger run is in the offing later this afternoon. I’m planning on traveling tomorrow but I might have to come up with a contingency plan in case this system overperforms.
I have to say I copied it from someone else.
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