Good Tuesday, everyone. Our mid-March pattern continues here in the middle of February and that may get us into some trouble later this week. That’s when a potent storm system brings the threat for strong to severe storms with some winter weather lurking behind that this weekend.

Temps today reach the 60-65 degree range for most of the state with the chance for temps to reach the upper 60s in the far south and west. Skies feature more clouds than sun, but it’s really nice day for this time of year.

Wednesday’s temps are back into the 60s with the chance for a scattered shower or storm going up.

Our potent storm system rolls from the mid-Mississippi Valley to the Great Lakes Thursday into early Friday. This places our region in the zone for strong to severe storms to go up, especially Thursday afternoon and evening.

These storms have the chance to bring all modes of severe weather into the region. Damaging winds and large hail are the main threats, but there’s enough shear available to set some of these storms spinning, leading to the threat for a tornado or two.

The Storm Prediction Center has much of the region included in the Severe Weather Outlook for Thursday…

Here’s a look at the showers and storms going up and rolling through here…

The cold front associated with all this slows down right on top of us allowing for a few waves of low pressure to develop along it. The first low brings some rain into the state late Friday into early Saturday. The next wave may bring rain and some snow in here over the weekend. That would be followed up by a healthy cold blast with snow showers and flurries later Sunday and Monday.

Here’s the GFS with this setup…

The Canadian is seeing a similar setup…

Very cold air comes in behind this Sunday into early next week. Check out the wind chills from 7am Sunday to 7am Monday…

Those numbers are even colder Monday through Tuesday morning…

Another update or two comes your way later today. I will have updates on my Meteorologist Chris Bailey Facebook Page

Until then, here are your tracking tools for the day…

Warnings

Make it a great terrific Tuesday and take care.