Good Tuesday afternoon gang. Our Christmas Weekend Winter Storm Threat is still there as the elusive White Christmas is firmly in our grips at this point. The question is… how much snow will fall? More on that in just a bit.
The little snow producer last night was an overachiever across parts of central and eastern Kentucky. Snow amounts of around 2″ were common in a lot of places. The atmosphere is primed right now to snow anytime it gets the chance to do so. That is a sure sign of a special winter and this start has been nothing short of amazing.
It looks like another light snowfall maker could be with us later Wednesday into Wednesday night across the eastern half of the state. Something to watch for as temps come way down once again.
Looking ahead to Christmas weekend… the models continue to advertise a colder setup across this region leading to an all snow event from Christmas Eve through the weekend. The exact track and strength of the low are still up in the air a bit… but a general consensus of a west to east track across the lower Tennessee Valley or just a bit south of that is emerging. For a storm to track like that… it means come good cold air must be in place around here and it is that cold that should lead to higher snow to liquid ratios.
The new GFS was the weakest of the bunch with the low pressure and did not show it turning into a monster up the east coast. That said… it still produces significant snows for many this weekend…
The new Canadian Model looks similar to last night’s run of the European Model with a farther southward tracking low before turning up the coast. I still maintain this looks to be an unlikely track as the shortwave energy moving out of the southwestern states should eject out a bit quicker leading to a less suppressed look. That said… the Canadian model still spits out several inches of snow…
The hot off the presses European Model has either lost its marbles or is going to score a big time coup. It now takes this low so far to our south that only southern Kentucky gets in on a light accumulating snowfall while giving the Carolinas a paralyzing snowstorm. Let me once again say the major bias of this model is to hold the shortwave energy back across the southwest too long. When it does that… it leads to big downstream issues in terms of phasing and timing. I am NOT in the European camp with this one as I think it has some serious issues.
As is usually the case… we will have to get within 48 hours of this storm to get a total handle on track, timing and strength.
Another update will come your way later this afternoon so check back. Take care.
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“The exact track and strength of the low are still up in the air a bit…” no pun intended I’m sure. LOL! Love your blog & subscribe to your posts courtesy of John Belski mentioning your site several months back. Keep up the great work!!
Now I LOVE that map… 6-8 inches for me! Each time a new GFS comes out mt area keeps going up and up.
Chris, just want to again, thank you, for your hard work and many hours of time you invest in this site. It is very much appreciated. Merry Christmas!
so when does the accu start on christmas eve night or christmas morning.
Which model is usually the closest this far out?
There is always drama with weather models during the winter. I cannot wait to see the 0z runs tonight. Especially the nam.
Well the models will know much more by tomorrow evening.
Thanks for the update Chris!, Each run of the gfs is looking better and better, looking forward to your next update
So which one is right.
N A M
None of the models really have it together at the moment.
As much as I want to see a White Christmas here, that would definitely be something special for my family & friends in NC if they got one instead.
It’s not the first time I’ve seen a track similar to that. Christmas of 1989, Wilmington, NC received over 12″ of snow Christmas Eve/Christmas morning.
now thats more like it…FREEZE THAT SNOWFALL MAP!!!!…:)
BlizzardTim, that GFS has went from 1-2, 4-5, and now 6-8 inches of snow for me. Looks to be getting better and better for me. 🙂
Ummm..yeah right…
The last snow we got the GFS nailed it for my area. 8-15 inches fell in different parts of Bell Co.
Well, we are definitely getting in on higher snow totals with the latest runs, but it is waaaaay too early to get excited about what we are seeing now. Chris, when it gets closer and YOU tell me to get excited, then I will! Right now, just the thoughts of a white Christmas are nice, even if it is a skiff of snow. Looking forward to the next update!
well all i can say is look for the next couple euro to come back to a more north track in tenn,
folks as many know im always down on the models but I think we are finally going to get the OLD SCHOOL CHRISTMAS snow storm in SE/E KY.
100 percent now on 8 plaus inches THIS WEEKEND, if storm stretgthens then HAMMER TIME. with backlash snow in the 4 plus inch rain.
just talk to PAUL KOSIN who used to be the main man at weather channel and he saying SE KY and east tenn then to north and east are going to see a SNOWSTORM. folks he doesnt use this word lightly.
You could be Wrong.
Vanessa, please go back to wherever you came from. You are adding nothing to the otherwise civil tone of this blog!
All rolo does is run his little mouth and noone say anything to that jerk.
🙂 LOL.
Seriously though, GFS is doing an EXCELLENT job in my opinion and it’s funny because here lately I haven’t heard as much GFS-bashing. Everybody eventually comes around…just gotta’ give them time.
There has been no GFS bashing because its been giving out snow. I am not so sure the GFS is right…at the moment. It really is going to be up to the phasing aloft. If it occurs early, then we’ll get in on the action. If the phase is later, then we’ll be on the short end of the stick. The new Euro is slower…but am waiting for the Euro ensembles. Given the spread in the models, I can not believe WAVE3’s folks are already posting accumulations.
now children..everyone is entiled to their own opinion!! Let’s be nice. After all it is almost CHRISTMAS!!
Thanks MJ. Just keep us posted! I will always go with the model spitting out the most snow. haha
Isn’t there a rock you need to go crawl back under? I don’t know how many more intelligent outbursts I can take from you.
we’ll see tomorrow once the storm gets into the upper air network.
I agree with you a lot. On the other hand, we ARE only 2 days away from one of the biggest travel days of the year, and only 3 days away from Christmas Eve. Considering that, people need SOMEBODY to start giving them a concrete idea of what to really expect. Somebody has to man up and try to give a number. So I can see WAVE 3’s viewpoint too. I’m torn.
Ditto. I hope Chris blocks him/her.
UH-OH !!! I sniff a battle!!..:)
Isn’t this storm suppose to start sometime on Friday? If so thats only 3 days away. 🙂
NWS in Nashville has this map out now for the storm.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/bna/
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…DOVER…CLARKSVILLE…SPRINGFIELD…
GALLATIN…LAFAYETTE…CELINA…BYRDSTOWN…CAMDEN…ERIN…
WAVERLY…DICKSON…ASHLAND CITY…NASHVILLE…LEBANON…
MOUNT JULIET…HARTSVILLE…CARTHAGE…GAINESBORO…COOKEVILLE…
LIVINGSTON…JAMESTOWN…LOBELVILLE…CENTERVILLE…HOHENWALD…
FRANKLIN…BRENTWOOD…COLUMBIA…LEWISBURG…MURFREESBORO…
WOODBURY…SMITHVILLE…SPARTA…CROSSVILLE…SHELBYVILLE…
TULLAHOMA…MANCHESTER…MCMINNVILLE…ALTAMONT…SPENCER…
WAYNESBORO…LAWRENCEBURG…PULASKI
1054 AM CST TUE DEC 21 2010
…POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR FIRST MEASURABLE SNOWFALL ON CHRISTMAS IN
17 YEARS…
THERE HAVE BEEN ONLY NINE CHRISTMASES WITH MEASURABLE AMOUNTS OF
SNOW SINCE SNOWFALL RECORD KEEPING BEGAN IN NASHVILLE BACK IN THE
WINTER OF 1884 AND 1885. THE LAST TIME MEASURABLE SNOW FELL ON
CHRISTMAS DAY IN NASHVILLE WAS IN 1993 WHEN THREE TENTHS OF AN
INCH WAS MEASURED. TRACE AMOUNTS OF SNOW FELL ON CHRISTMAS IN
2002. STATISTICALLY THERE IS ONLY A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF MEASURABLE
SNOW ON ANY GIVEN CHRISTMAS. THE MOST SNOW EVER TO FALL ON
CHRISTMAS IN NASHVILLE IS 2.7 INCHES IN 1969.
A MAJOR STORM SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
AND WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES ON THURSDAY AND INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THURSDAY NIGHT. DURING THE DAY FRIDAY THE SYSTEM
WILL MOVE FROM EAST TEXAS INTO LOUISIANA…SPREADING WINTRY PRECIPITATION
ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WITH RAIN ACROSS THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. AS THE SURFACE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST INTO
ALABAMA AND NORTH GEORGIA CHRISTMAS EVE NIGHT…COLDER AIR GETS
DRAWN IN BEHIND THE SURFACE SYSTEM…WITH SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE CHRISTMAS EVE AND CONTINUE INTO
CHRISTMAS DAY. CLIMATOLOGICALLY…THIS IS A FAVORED TRACK FOR SNOW
IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE…BUT SINCE THIS EVENT IS SEVERAL DAYS
AWAY…UNCERTAINITY STILL REMAINS IN THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF THE
STORM SYSTEM AND SNOW AMOUNTS.
all i got to asay is this, ROLO has his comments based on model runs to runs and other trends from past winters.
why so harsh Vanesa, I have neber said anything to u young lady. last storm i wasnt spot on but I was pretty pleased with my final outcome.
Chris THE LEGEND Bailey is my weather man and he knows more than I ever know. he allows ME,BUBBA and all others to talkk about what we think.
u and agreed will be the ones BANNED, not rolo because ROLO is the blog friend and loves everyone including u vanessa.
the weather chances from model to model and from thought to thought, 2 days ago i had NO HOPE for a SNOWSTORM, but today with imput from the LEGEND, and MY OWN 2 EYES reading models etc think we are going to get a very good snow this weekend.
great info for us B, this is a perfect track for us in our area. northeast into north GA, beautiful track. tx again for the map they had.
Anytime Rolo. Just thought this map and info would help us out a little bit to see whats to come from our southwest.
yea it a good indication of the possible track.
Vanessa-
This is a blog. All any of us do on here is “run our little mouth,” – or at least the print version of it anyway. Since his days at WKYT, CB’s blog has been a basically open dialogue, and it is part of what makes the blog so special.
The best thing you can do, if you don’t think someone’s opinion is worth reading is to keep scrolling.
Getting more and more excited about this snow! Thinking I will go to the grocery store and go ahead and stock up! Seeing as things are gonna be busy plus closing early on Christmas Eve!
Any ideas on how long this snow could hang around in the SE?
LOL…this from Joe Bastardi..
TUESDAY 2 PM
EURO GOES ROIDIAN
It is like it is from another planet.. a bit slower meaning the white Christmas is still south of the big Northeast cities, but then its 965 mb low just east of ACY by Monday morning would have meant everything gets shut down Sunday into Monday anyway..timing more like 1969 event.
WOW!
………
NWS in JKL is even showing this particular storm track on their homepage graphics…
I have seen some maps say all the way till Monday morning. Some models are showing it slowing down some as well. Be awesome if it just stalled out over us. lol
The mets in Tennessee seems to think they will have the bulk of the system, so scraps for us in that case.
I think anybody assuming anything right now is hoping for real short memories, since as solid as rolling dice ATM. As CB said: 48 hours in and THEN stake your claim. 😉
18z NAM looks nothing like the European and is similar to the GFS. We shall see. 🙂
Well, each run is better and better. But, as I said before, too early to tell just yet. When Chris gets REALLY REALLY excited, then I will know…
but it is nice to dream…I would love to see a white Christmas….oh well, we continue to watch and wait…thanks Chris! Looking forward to the next post!
Please tell me Louisville is included on the good snowfall map.
Rolo I wasn’t saying you should be banned, only this Vanessa person. I love reading this blog and hate when I see someone on here always trying to stir the pot and start trouble. The blog wouldn’t be the same without you, so I would never want you banned. Sorry if my comment made it seem that way!
It seems like we need a little holiday cheer around here. And this seems like an appropriate song- see the words in caps! 🙂
OK, ALL TOGETHER NOW… Here is the music to accompany it. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zyIqaw1lycY
Deck the halls with boughs of holly,
Fa la la la la, la la la la.
Tis the season TO BE JOLLY,
Fa la la la la, la la la la.
Don we now our gay apparel,
Fa la la, la la la, la la la.
Troll the ancient Yule tide carol,
Fa la la la la, la la la la.
See the blazing Yule before us,
Fa la la la la, la la la la.
Strike the harp and join the chorus.
Fa la la la la, la la la la.
Follow me in merry measure,
Fa la la la la, la la la la.
While I TELL of Yule tide treasure,
Fa la la la la, la la la la.
Fast away the old year passes,
Fa la la la la, la la la la.
Hail the new, ye lads and lasses,
Fa la la la la, la la la la.
Sing we joyous, all together,
Fa la la la la, la la la la.
Heedless of the WIND AND WEATHER,
Fa la la la la, la la la la.
gottcha agree, sorry i mis read it. i see u said her. NP my friend.
Ah boo. I tried to add some holiday cheer with the words to “Deck the Halls” but it went to moderation. lol
WOW…reading some forecasts from different weather offices..snow is forecasted to at least be flying in the air on Christmas day from memphis east through all of ky, and tn. and even parts of miss. alabama, and ga.!! wow now that is nothing short of amazing to think snow flying in the air in all those states on Christmas day…
How awesome would that be to have a record book snowfall for Christmas..I can’t think of anything I would love better. I’m hoping for a Blizzard!!
I can see your point, but given the spread in the model solutions I don’t think any met could give a concrete number on snow accumulations at this point. The solutions are so wide that they offer two extremes for the state. On one side…we could get nothing…and on the other side we could get significant amounts.
Most likely, we’ll be somewhere in the middle. I just think it will be either late Wednesday or Thursday before we get some real forecast convergence on this thing. Remember, the GFS is much more reliable within 84 hours…while the NAM is pretty reliable within 24-30 hours. We’re not in those time frame yet…but we will be. For now, I feel comfortable with saying some accumulation of snow is likely Friday night through Saturday…but getting specific at this point with high confidence is not possible at this point.
Live by the models, die by the models.
It was beginning to sound too good to be true so I’ve lost a bit of faith as to whether Louisville sees a good snow out of this. I think the Euro is too far south, but I have always been a proponent of that model.
The one good thing is the Euro has been less correct this year at this range than in the past. Friday night the Euro had last night as a good storm for evryone. It was not much to write home about.
I’m just going to expect nothing that way I won’t be disappointed. The fact the Euro, UKMet, and DT agree is disturbing.
well looks like the 18z NAM is a bit slower and not as wet , but all snow..
NWS in Jackson is not very confident that Kentucky will be hit from this storm. It is clear that they have decided to follow the EURO track with this system. And the current EURO track does little for the majority of Kentucky, and only puts down a little snow in extreme south east Kentucky .
Yes. They were slow on the one we had 8-15 inches worth of the White stuff. They took forever putting a warning out for us. Its like they never exist.
Why Should I be ed.
If I am banned I am going to tell
everyone it is because of you.
here is their 4:11 pm. discussion..for the storm…
LONG TERM…/THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/…UPDATED
THE STORY OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD CONTINUES TO BE A POTENT
AND POTENTIALLY MAJOR WINTER STORM FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY. ONCE
AGAIN…TODAYS RUNS HAVE A CONTINUED DISAGREEMENT IN TRACK AND
POSITIONING. THE 12Z EURO CAME IN EVEN FURTHER SOUTH THAN PREVIOUS
RUNS AND THE GFS ACTUALLY NUDGED NORTH…THE GEM EARS ON THE SIDE OF
THE EURO HAVING A SIMILAR NUDGE TO THE SOUTH.
OVERALL…WITH THE GIVEN QPF FORECAST AND A MOSTLY LIKELY SUFFICIENT
SUPPLY OF COLDER AIR…THIS GUARANTEES AN ALL SNOW EVENT. IN A 24 TO
36 HOUR PERIOD FROM FRIDAY NIGHT TO SUNDAY MORNING…THE EC SUGGESTS
A 2 TO 4 INCH EVENT ACROSS THE AREA…THE GFS SUGGESTS A 4 TO 6 INCH
EVENT…AND THE GEM SUGGESTS MORE CLOSER TO THE EURO WITH A 2 TO 3
INCH EVENT. THERE CONTINUES TO BE LESS CONSISTENCY AND MODELS ARE
ALSO STILL TRENDING BUT WHAT IS CERTAIN IS THAT THE DYNAMICS ARE ALL
THERE WITH THE UPPER LEVELS AND THERE IS A LIKELY CHANCE THAT A
LOCATION WILL RECEIVE HEAVY SNOW BUT THE PLACEMENT IS STILL
UNCERTAIN FOR THIS STORM. AT THIS POINT…THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL
FALL EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS.
AT ONSET FRIDAY EVENING THERE WILL BE SOME WARMER AIR IN PLACE SO
THERE WILL BE A CHANGE TO RAIN DURING THE DAY FRIDAY THEN TO RAIN
AND SNOW BEFORE FINALLY CHANGING TO ALL SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT. THE
ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS THE AREA WILL COME DURING THE SATURDAY
PERIOD. BY SUNDAY THE UPPER LEVELS SHOW A FULLY DEVELOPED EAST COAST
LOW AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TRACKS NORTHEAST UP THE COAST. AFTER
WHICH…EASTERN KENTUCKY WILL END UP IN STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW AND
SUBSEQUENT UPSLOPE EVENT SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY THAT WILL CONTINUE UP
TO THE NEW YEAR.
A CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED AFTER PASSAGE OF THE SYSTEM BY
SATURDAY AS NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DROP HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE
UPPER AND MID 20S AND LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS.
All of the Tennessee mets appear to agree with them. Mets there are ATM saying the main bulk will hit the Volunteer state.
How old are you?
I’ve got a bad feeling this is going to be a miss to the south for much of Kentucky. The east coast snow weenies are going bonkers on the http://www.americanwx.com board so that means they think the Euro will be right. DT was in this camp a day or two ago.
The Euro gets it wrong every now and then, but it has support from the UKMet. Even the NAM is a little farther south and is trying to phase this storm. Phasing is bad news for Kentucky because it keeps a lot of snow south of us.
All year, we’ve been in the prime spot, but now it seems the same people who got all of that snow on the east coast last year could do it again and in a la nina year to boot.
I am 29 I was born in 1981.
I know The Weather Channel has finally came into agreement with what this GFS says above. It has heavy snow on us here in southeastern KY for Saturday on their weekly planner map.
When I mentioned phasing, I suspect phasing will happen late and keep us from receiving much moisture.
oh thats scary…to think they are showing that…:( they probably just jinxed it…lol…
Sounds like an 11 year old girl. lol
Yeah I would say that last EURO run has them really excited. But no way that storm can pack that sort of punch with this much cold air in play. The EURO over done that last run times 2.
I have a question about the map they have on the weather channel website. It show the chance of having a white Christmas. They are showing a 25-50% chance for Kentucky. In Chicago they are showing a 50-75% chance. My dad has a web cam set up showing his backyard in Illinois. I just looked at it and there has to be at least 6 inches on the ground and it’s not going away anytime soon. So they are going to have snow there for Christmas. Are they talking about snow on the ground already or the chance it will actually snow on Christmas? Thanks.
http://www.weather.com/maps/activity/holidays/uswhitechristmasforecast_large.html?clip=undefined®ion=undefined&collection=localwxforecast&presname=undefined
Lets wait and see what the 0z runs are producing later tonight. We might get an indication from the nam on what it believes is going to happen. It would be ironic after all these years watching the gfs move to the north as the storm neared, that this time the gfs starts trending towards the south.
18Z GFS really weakens the low, but keeps snowfall coming to KY. The 00Z run is going to be the REALLY interesting one tonight…
On TG’s last blog post, he has southern KY beginning as rain on Christmas Eve before changing to snow early Christmas morning…this storm is already making me tired and it’s not even here yet!!
Well brace yourself according to the last GFS we are in for some very light snow in central Kentucky. Turn out the lights this ball game is over.
This all I saw what CB said..
Looking ahead to Christmas weekend… the models continue to advertise a colder setup across this region leading to an all snow event from Christmas Eve through the weekend.
The new GFS doesn’t look like much to write home about. The storm’s still there, but kind of wek looking. Is that correct?
Hey gang wave 3 just updated there blog site. I think they have a decent breakdown on what models are thinking at this time.http://blogs.wave3.com/weather_blog/
the 18z gfs looks more like the euro but wetter. this might be the first sign of the gfs blinking.
I don’t care who you are that’s funnnnny
Can you link the map on here for us?
Yeah, it’s still much farther north than the Euro but it’s a lot weaker than previous runs.
Yeah this system has been dying in Model land for our area, so a snowy Christmas may not be a sure bet as once thought.
I always go by what Chris says…He is the most accurate by far. It just seems that everyone is worried about this storm panning out. Can’t wait for Chris’ next update.
the 18z gfs has went BLAH for sure…maybe just a BURP in the models ..I guess we’ll see..
Is this good news for us here in eastern ky Mitch?
I think the 18z run of the gfs just sent everyone into pre-Christmas depression…:( 🙂
the 18z runs as WXMAN,MITCH and others are junk.
overnite and tomm tuns is what to look at.
that supposed to say WXMAN,MITCH and others including me always will tell u the 18z runs are junk.
My forecast still seems solid: 2″ to 5″. East with the higher end.
Nice for a Bubba buster in the higher direction, rather than lower 😉 🙂
Jacksons map must be using the euro it shows it going to the gulf their AFD has all three but they are going to wait.
to hot to fish, to hot fot golf and tooooooo collllld at home, i only planned one 1 or 2222222, i may stay for 33333
if that good looking think in da corner keeps smiling back at me..
I watched Jim Caldwell on WYMT just say POSSIBLY gotta emphasis that word…4-6″ on christmas day and by monday 11″ or more could be possible…wow….just thought that was worth mentioning..:)
Tell me! Who just saw Jim Caldwell on WYMT? Tell me what he said, because I don’t really believe my ears!!
Let just go ahead and cancalled Christmas as least you all got family around and they dont have to come in.
Noone cares.
good grief !! give us your address and we’ll send you a pacifier!!
yep…ole jimmy boy sure enough went there !! I heard it with my own ears..LOL
So you dont care if your family is driving in 6 inches of snow on Christmas eve night and sliding off the road.
It doesnt seems like anyone cares.
Lets all take a chill pill and wait to see what happens on the 0z runs. Ist we will see the nam trends & then watch for the gfs & euro which post a little later.
yea and some said rolop was smoking crack when he said 80 percent chance of 8 to 12 inches. put that in ur pipe and smoke it.
seriously i see some parts of SE KYsee well over a foot by the time its over on backside snow and everything.
Of course people care Vanessa. Everybody on this blog has family close AND far away. No one wants anybody to get hurt traveling, everybody wants to hug their loved one and wish them a Merry Christmas. The Lord above will watch over all of us, as He sends us some beautiful snow! Try and be nice to people here, and they will be nice right back, I promise 🙂
Before we toss this storm out the window, remember that the energy isn’t even on land yet. Just saying.
Rolo, my little (fellow) hillbilly brother, one Rolo post is no snow and the next is bunches- when does the rolocoaster ever stop 😉
Sticking with my 2″ to 5″ 🙂 Bust? 😉
my gut tells me snow will be in the air but no noteworthy accumulations will take place with this storm…this is a southern storm…although with this being a hit for the south it may not turn into the nor easter all the weenies at accuweather are spazzing out about because it will be to far out to see to affect the east coast.
hey rolo..I believe you are correct, I’m not gonna go with the euro models like CB is, they change like the wind.
Well said SUSAN and you CAN NOT cancel Christmas, we covered this yesterday…it happens whether you like it or not, 95 and sunny or 32 and snowing. And for the record, as many of you bloggers know, I don;’t have anyone up here either, all my family is in TEXAS over 1000 miles away. Would I want them driving in bad weather NO, but SNOW is easier to drive in and easier to get off the roads than Ice and mix. please just stop trying to rock the boat, if you feel you need to CANCEL your Christmas do so, byt Jesus’ birthday happens whatever Chris says
Step back from the ledge, people. Its WEATHER.
I want a snow storm on Christmas about as bad as anyone…
I’m just a big kid at heart…
But, even if we don’t get a Christmas snow storm, we have been so blessed this December with multiple accumulating snows..!!!
I’ve had a blast and will continue to look at those danged ole’ models…
Thought I would chime in on the Christmas Snow chance. My thoughts are based on GFS, NAM and SREF.
Granted its still a ways off.
I think areas south of I-64 to the southern border have the best shot of significant snow.
How much is hazardous to estimate right now but I will do it anyway.
3-6 seems within reason and possibly higher.
This Friday thru Christmas night.
Additional snow would fall beyond that time frame.
gotta remember there going be HEAVY UPSLOPE SNOW well after main storm passes.
BUBBA IM NOW CASTING DAY TO DAY BUDDY, YEA 2 DAYS AGO IT LOOK BAD. today u have to tell the truth and it says BIG SNOW FOR SE/E KY from friday evening thru monday.
Toss the storm out the window???? You people kill me you guys should all know by now that the models are doing there usual waffle effect we always have at least one model that wants to be difficult and different. By tomorrow the Euro will slowly but surely get on board. We go through this with every storm.
Did anyone heat Jim Caldwell earlier?? 11″?????
NICE! I have to disagree, but NICE!
Anyways, I think Chris will have his first call either in the next update or the update after that and we will be able to see the legend’s take on the storm
And oh yea once again, get in the chat room boys and girls join the convo! Make sure to open the link in a new tab so you dont close out of the blog!
http://wwww.ekywx.com/kychat.htm
No battle here. My original reply got moderated. I’m not going to re-type that all out.
That would be http://www.ekywx.com/kychat.htm
sorry i added an extra w LOL
Considering that this storm is not even on the west coast of the US yet, I think it is a bit premature to be downplay the system. By this time tomorrow, we should have a clearer picture of where this thing is going to track. Just need a bit more patience.
Yes, everyone needs to get on the chat. We have some fun on there about weather. Lets talk about Jim’s prediction too.
*like*
im just so happy everyone loves me
Classic spelling of the word cancelled. Is cancalled when you use a campbells soup can to call someone?
Earlier today, you said you weren’t sure about the GFS solution. Do you still feel that way? The 18Z run gives SDF 5 inches of snow.
If you’re leaning towards the Euro, do the ensembles from the 12Z run support the Gulf coast track? I know DT has been on this track for a day or so.
I like the northern MS/AL route with a little less phasing myself.
My penis doesn’t get hard when it snows, that’s why I hate snow
A.that’s isn’t true! B. Who is this?!!!!!!!!!
Ban.
I agree with you, Vinny. This December has already been great!
Can’t read the “danged ole’ models”, but I like reading everyone’s take on them. 🙂
Thanks for share good post thanks
Hi, guy! I’m absolutely accede to that way of assessment and everything connected.
apa s kqqix