Good Friday evening gang. Our incredible stretch of winter weather continues across the state as low clouds and some light snow and flurries have been with us today. Some areas got in on some very light freezing rain across the south this morning. How about a quick breakdown of my latest thoughts?
– Clouds and some light snow and flurries will be with us tonight into Saturday. Lows tonight will be in the high teens and low 20s. Highs Saturday will be about where they were today.
– Extreme southeastern Kentucky can get in on a batch of light snow streaking in from Tennessee late Saturday morning into the early afternoon hours. This could have enough to lay down a very light accumulation.
– Some clouds and flurries will be possible again Sunday with highs staying about the same.
– A clipper will arrive on the scene Monday night into Tuesday with a swath of accumulating snows. A few of the models are spitting out some decent precipitation and this system is garnering more and more of my attention. It appears to be a cross of the first snowfall a few weekends ago and the storm we just had. This clipper may have a preceding batch of light snow early Monday. You can see that here on the Canadian…
The clipper itself takes the Tennessee track we talked about…
The European Model likes the volunteer state too by Tuesday morning…
Yes… I know the GFS takes the track just to our north. Hasn’t it done that with every snow producer over the past few weeks leading to a lot of rain and very little snow forecasts from some other outlets? 
The weather world is bigger than the GFS. I guess the blind squirrel could always find the nut at some point, though. haha
Something similar to above should arrive into town Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. Ho Ho Ho.
Take care.
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Thanks Chris. Looking forward to more snow in the coming week and hopefully for Christmas.
this snow band tonight warrants some attention looks liek some snow showers already heading into western ky.
Finally!!! CB calls out some of the horrible forecasts put out by NWS and local voices of reason! Well deserved CB. I spread the word about your site every chance I can when the subject of weather comes up.
Free Enes!
First?? And,thanks for the update! Looking at travel conditions next week, what would be the best day to head north into Ohio?
Thanks for the update Chris, alot of the usual mets are jumping on a warmer trend today for Christmas week, I saw TG with a 43 degree high for next Fri.??? Where did that come from? Oh well, I’m sure this cold stuff is locked in pretty much until maybe a Jan thaw hits. Bring on the White Stuff. (Atleast until Christmas is over.
When in doubt go with the Euro in this time range. The GFS just doesn’t do well until inside of three days. DT, at stormvista.com, showed how well the Euro did against the GFS with last weekend’s storm. WLKY seems to be in GFS land though. We’ll see.
This is the system Jim Cantore just posted on his twitter. Said this system is starting to get its act together and could become a major storm.
This is what he said. “Midwest system from Chicago 2 DC, Mon. through Tue. looks more impressive than pending coastal storm right now. Wow this is giving me Nausea.”
I guess no christmas then if noone can travel.
I got a update by twitter from jim cantore WC…he said this system if cranked up and really gets together on the models…southern kentucky this weekend and borderline counties of tennessee…could see up to 13-14 inches of SNOW!!!!! WOW. I will post a update soon. have a great friday evening everybody.
That would be amazing if we could get that many inches again. Keep us updated jon. Dont you live in Barbourville?
yes i do…and I believe brandon me and you are pretty good friends soo remember that lol.
So no christmas I see.
well according to Jim C. thier isnt suppose to be any snow in Easten kentucky so it must just be for lexington area.
Jim C’s 7 Day Forecast calls for snow Monday night and 50% chance on Tuesday.
Looks as if the desturbance around Western Tenn. is tring to work toward Southern Kentucky???
I told you guys..not about this storm but the one monday, and this one..I study maps alot and weather! I know my stuff..right brandon?
This is what im watching on radar right now. The moisture looks to be trying to sneak a little bit farther north right to the KY/TN border. I hope us here in Middlesboro might get a surprsie in the AM. LOL… I know wishful thinking.
http://www.wkyt.com/weather
this one looks interesting for sure brandon.
GOOD GRIEF I havent seen that one!!! I’m draggin behind today…if we get 14″ of snow here In Barbourville, I may go insane…lol with 5 kids at home from school now for over a week…but the snowlover in me says bring it on..:)
What Co are on the KY/TN borer lol.
Now that would make for a great christmas. 🙂
claiborne, tazewell..them counties..moisture is picking up..we could get something out of this.
In TN or KY?
In Ky they are Bell, Whitley, McCreary, and Wayne Co’s.
I was reading the Louisville discussion on the Monday/Tuesday clipper. They are going with the Euro and say the GFS ensemble supports the Euro. That would put the low over Tennessee which is good news for us.
They go on to say many could see more rain than snow because of WAA. If the low tracks through Tennessee, that would be surprising, but that’s their view.
What concerns me is the Euro map Chris posted shows anywhere from +2C to plus +6C in Kentucky. Unless I’m reading that wrong, it does suggest warm air and a period of rain, right?
I can’t believe what I just read. That would be a dream snow if we could get 13-14 inches.Clay is right next to Knox so surely we would get in on some of the snow action. Looks like we will not be going back to school next week for Clay County if this is the forecast. Our roads here are still ice packed. It doesn’t sound like the temperature are going up anytime to thaw out the ice. Today was suppose to be our last day of school, but since we had missed so much our county decided to go Mon. and Tues. of next week. We have only been to school one day in the last two weeks.From the closing on the snow go report most of our neighboring southeastern counties are in the same boat. We probably will not have much of a summer break this year. I can’t help it though I love snow!!!!!
Chris,
Could we really get 13-14 inches of snow out of the system Mon. and Tues.? I can’t wait to here your take of this. You are the best and I enjoy checking out this blog everyday. Thank you so much.
Yes. Knox Co is also going Mon and Tue now due to missing 9 days already this year for weather.
in terms of thermal profiles the ecmwf and gfs are about the same, snow along/ north of 1-64 and rain for most.
nonsense. only light accums.
NO. a few 3 or 4 inch totals with a favorable track, right now it looks to far north.
Another case of strong WAA? If so, why has that been such and issue this year and not one last year?
Mitch, do you think any of this moisture going through Tennessee right now is virga? There is getting ready to be some moisture pop up over me in Middlesboro here in a few.
The temp is 28 here.
Humidity 64%
Dew Point 26
I think the gfs will start trending towards the euro. Unfortunately, history teaches that the gfs will being trending north and the storm will probably track near the oh. vly. The only way I feel comfortable that this storm would stay all snow for all of ky. Is if the models at this moment was showing a track near the tn. & Alabama border. I have seen this dog & pony show too many times.
no reporting stations in Tn. are reporting anything other than cloudy skies…and even in Arkansas I only saw one reporting station in Mt. Ida..(where ever that is) is reporting light rain/38*…so not much more than Virga moving into the area right now..
This is what Jim Caldwell tweeted earlier to someone asking if it would hit southern Bell Co..
“if the track changes we could see a decent amount! It’s tracking north right now!”
I’m trading my gently used snow shovel for a nice rain jacket size XL. Any color would be fine except pink…If interested please let me know by Tuesday. Can ship shovel to Canada!
0z nam is aligned with the gfs it is showing a rain event for the majority of ky.
The chances of beyond a few inches is not likely. The “chance” of a big snow for the system is grossly overstated to the point of being tabloid journalism 😉
light snow is reaching the ground in tenn according to nashville nws.
calloway county mesonet has reported .01.
I know nothing might not become of this system much. It keeps crawling more and more to the north. Should us in Bell Co keep an eye out for this?
I was having a discussion with one of my friends about being a weatherman for a news station. I know you don’t have to have a meteorology degree, though most require it now. What we were wanting to know is do you have to take any test? I’m thinking no, but not really sure.
i predicted rain in last thread, i still think that as of now.
ONE GO TO JAIL OR U WANT A GO HOME,, great line from TAINING DAY one of the best movie u will see.
JIM CANTORE MUST BE SEEING SOMETHING I AM NOT BECAUSE THIS STORM IS GOING TO BE A RAIN EVENT FOR NEARLY ALL OF KY SAVE FOR EXTREME N-NE KY. IF WE GET 1-3 INCHES OUT OF THIS I WILL BE VERY SURPRISED. HOPEFULLY THIS THING WILL TRACK FURTHER SOUTH, BUT I DOUBT IT.
Jim C said he really didnt know what it would do still next week.
Im getting some small snow activity here in Middlesboro now. The air finally must be getting moist.