Good Saturday, everyone. Our super soaker of a weather pattern continues with scattered showers and thunderstorms rolling across the region over this holiday weekend. Unfortunately, this means we have additional waves of heavy rain with more waiting on us into next week.
We have picked up a ton of rain over the past few days with a general 1″-4″ for many, with locally higher amounts. Take a look at the rain totals through Friday from the Kentucky Mesonet sites…
More in the way of showers and storms rumble across the state today, especially central and eastern Kentucky. This won’t be as widespread with many dry hours showing up. Still, slow-moving storms may put down torrential rains in some areas.
Another big wave of showers and storms arrives Sunday and may bring more in the way of heavy rains. This future radar from the HRRR runs from this morning through Sunday evening and shows all this…
There’s another low end chance for a few spinning storms out there today. Here’s the Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…
Memorial Day finds more in the way of showers and storms going up with a boundary that looks to hang tough through most of next week. This leads to additional waves of rain and storms through the end of next week…
Additional heavy rains are likely with several more inches possible…
This pattern may also turn cooler again to end the month and begin June. Check out the GFS during that time frame…
This cooler air is being matched by the EURO Weeklies which show an overall below normal temperature pattern through the start of July…
That goes along with the same model showing well above normal rainfall during this same time period…
Both of those match what we typically see in the summer months during a developing Super El Nino.
Until then, here are the tracking tools you need for the day…
Current watches
Possible Watch Areas
Make it a fantastic Friday and take care.
The CPC had predicted an 80% chance that El Nino would manifest by end of May, and that prophecy appears to have been fulfilled. What remains to be determined are its ultimate strength and lifespan. The most recent Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly chart clearly shows that above normal water temperatures stretch from South America across to the Philippines. And El Nino’s arrival is very much apparent in the current pattern change, as if someone had thrown a light switch!
https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/products/ocean/sst/anomaly/