Good Monday to one and all. Let me start out by saying a heartfelt thanks for all the reports you guys gave us over the weekend. You are the engine that drives this blog and I am glad you appreciate the time and effort I put into doing this. You guys rock and may get quite the workout over the next few weeks as we have a lot more action coming our way.
I am very happy with the weekend snow forecast we put out several days in advance. While I didn’t hit every spot exactly how I wanted… the overall outcome is one I can live with. That said… snows will continue to fall today across parts of central and eastern Kentucky and should add to the totals. The wild card in all this is trying to pinpoint exactly where the Lake Michigan snow streamer sets up across the region. There can be a narrow area of some decent snows within this band and we will watch the radar today to see who gets lucky.
Upslope snows will continue across southeastern Kentucky into the overnight hours. It is this part of the state where another few inches can fall. The higher elevations will pick up several more inches before all is said and done.
Roads today are going to be snow covered in many areas. Throw in blowing snow and travel is not recommended until road crews can get the upper hand on the situation. They will be hampered by the very cold temps today as highs hang out in the high teens and low 20s. Wind chill values will be zero or below at times.
Here are some temp and snow tracking toys…
Current Temps
Wind Chill
Live Cams
Lexington
Louisville
Richmond
Northern Ky/Covington
Ashland
Pikeville
Some snow showers and flurries may still be around for parts of the region into Tuesday as we start out our day with lows in the single digits and end it with highs in the upper teens and low 20s.
That bring us to Wednesday and the start of a period we have already upgraded to a Winter Storm Threat. The threat level simply means I am seeing enough potential to raise the awareness level days in advance. It does not mean it will become a winter storm… but has a pretty good chance. The situation for Wednesday through Friday morning is especially worth the upgrade because of the potential for ice to go along with snow. A fairly weak low pressure is expected to roll eastward across the lower Ohio Valley or Tennessee Valley late Wednesday into Thursday. This system will throw moisture into the region which is likely to fall into low level arctic cold air. How deep the cold air is will determine the type of precipitation you will get where you live. It is my experience in these situations the models always underestimate the amount of cold air and that is something to watch for.
The NAM shows the potential we are talking about…
The model only goes out into the start of the threat period as more wintry weather would be with us Thursday into Friday. This is something we will be watching closely and have many more updates on.
The pattern remains incredibly wintry through the coming weekend into Christmas week. As a matter of fact… this pattern is likely locked in until sometime in January. Many of the models have also been hinting at a big storm riding up the east coast of the US late weekend into early next week.
GFS Saturday Night
Sunday Afternoon
This has been nothing short of an incredible first half of December and it shows no signs of letting up for the second part of the month. Anyone complaining about lack of cold and snow is delusional.
I will have updates as needed today. Keep an eye on that Lake Michigan streamer… my gut says it may surprise a few folks. Have a good Monday and take care.
first?!!
this pattern is sick! this up until now has to be one of the coldest decembers on record for lex
Right now Louisville is in good shape for the streamer coming off lake Mi. Will it continue I would not bet on it in Vegas. My thoughts on the storm this coming week I would bet the gfs near the end will start trending north.I will Wait to see when the nam & the gfs comes into agreement. My hope if there is going to be a ice storm I hope it is sleet because freezing rain is a poor mans snow.
Thanks Chris! It looks like a blizzard outside right now in London. What does everyone think about Wed-Fri? Snow, Ice??? Rain?? Nothing?
Well I am past 4 inches and now working towards 5. I hope us in southern KY do not get any type of Ice this week.
Thanks Chis for all you do,hope you and your family have a wonderful Christmas.
Brandon I don’t want Ice either no way.
Well its really coming down in Pikeville,a snowplow just went down my street.
Sorry Chris I misspelled your name.
Thanks for all the updates and hard work. This was a hard forecast from the get go. We ended up with 1-2″ over my way. Around 2″ at my house. It was a hard forecast, though – right up until the final calls.
Concerned about ice this week. NAM is much more significant than GFS. Some time to tweak the forecast. Looks interesting none-the-less.
Thanks Chris for this weather blog..all of us at work keep it on our fav bar. But the snow is pouring here in corbin right now…looks like were gonna get allot of snow.
Again.. Thanks Chris for all of the hard work & dedication you do for this blog & us followers. I have ALOT of snow already & its pouring down right now, I have about 6 to 8 inches right now in my yard, Its beautiful. I am looking forward to sending you pics to show Everyone:-) I am going to bed now, & cant wait to wake up in the morning to see how much more is on the ground.
I am passed 5 inches now. Still snowing hard. Hope it doesnt let up anytime soon!
Thanks Chris for all you do for us. Hope you’re feeling better from the other day and have a very Merry Christmas. Just got back a little bit ago from taking wife to work. She was supposed to be off work (5 day weekend). People called off work and they called and woke us up to try to come in. Same place will not even let people get 40 hrs in. Management at Nestle (Mt Sterling) have no clue. Very thankful for job and benefits but the roads are pretty bad. Everyone be careful out there and sorry for ranting. Everyone have a very Merry Christmas and a Blessed New Year.
I have 6 inches now here in Middlesboro.
I live in Mercer county and need to be in Nashville by 2. Does anyone know how the roads are between here and there?
I have some pics on Jim Caldwell and Brandon Robinson’s facebook pages.
Chris, you got another one correct. Hard to tell how much snow here in SE Lex. with it blowing around so much. I’d say anywhere from 3-4 in. Thanks for all you do, Chris.
I checked out your pics a little bit ago.. It looks like you got a lot!! I haven’t got to measure yet to see what I do have, but I definitley got my snow!!! 🙂
Thanks Chris myself along with many others rely on your forecast. You have often made me look like a genius on weather until I tell them where the real forecast came from. I hope you don’t forecast ICE for this next system HATE ICE!!!!
Tommy
I thought you were in NKY?
I finally caught up with you lol i have drifts upwards to a foot in places
🙂 I’m right there with you both, close to 7″ !!!!!!! here on the hill in my area of knox co. and its still coming down like gangbusters….I’m lovin it!!!
roads are hooooooooooooooorrrible
Good morning everyone! It looks amazing outside! I shovelled the drive and walk before I went to bed last night and there is easily another 2″ on it this morn! Add that to the 3″ measurement that I took close to midnight and it brings my total in the Marehaven area of Lexington to nearly 5″! It’s still coming down as I type and I am headed North to the snowy slopes of Perfect North!
Good morning everyone! 3″ when took my reading last night (1130)… Another 2″ on my shovelled walk and drive! Good stuff! Close to 4 1/2 to 5″ I would say! No time to measure… headed North to do some boarding! Looking good in the Marehaven area of Lexington! Guess I learned my lesson about doubting the forecast of Sir Bailey!
7 inches now in Middlesboro. Still snowing.
We now have 7 inches in Middlesboro and its still snowing.
it is horrible in London this morning — roads are the worst shape I have seen in years – I don’t know if the road crews don’t know how to clean them or what!!!! I am hoping this Wed-Fri is snow or rain — I DON’T want ice – that would totally suck!!
Well, we’ve been up since about 5:00 here, and it’s a sight in Lexington. It’s drifted everywhere. Our street and parking lot in our complex is a mess. My husband found an even area out back to measure the snow. He got about 6″. The wind is still howling. Our cat is upset over the wind, bless her heart. Main roadways in Lexington are slick in spots. Road crews clear them, but snow blows back into them afterward. I-75 is moving, but doesn’t look good. Traffic is moving slowly. Everyone, please be careful if you have to be out. Otherwise, don’t be.
Sorry for the double post. Didnt show the first one earlier.
9 inches on the ground here. Wouldn’t doubt it if we winded up with close to o a foot.
Just measured a 2 foot drift.
Wow! Just wow! I woke up and opened my back door to look outside. Normally I have to step down a few inches to go out onto my back deck. This morning when I opened my back door, there is a wall of snow a few inches above my door step. I don’t know how many inches we have, but it’s at least 5 to 7 inches on my deck.
And the snow is still coming down.
When I came home from work at about 1:30am here in Corbin it was very slick and dangerous. Thank God for fresh fallen snow… and believe it or not where the road crews had already been was worse than the area that was fresh snow.
Your the best Chris. Thanks for all you do.
thats why i believe they shouldn’t scrape the snow because you can get some traction but not much on snow if they leave nothing but ice then there is no traction
8in and still snowing!
Does anyone know how the roads are in Louisville?
Chris is in the zone so far this winter. I think has been pretty much spot on so far. I have 4 inches on the west side of Lexington as of 7am.
Just drove from in from Harrodsburg Rd area near Jessamine Co. line. Harrodsburg Rd. wasn’t too bad and New Circle was a lot better than I expected.
At least 3-4 inches here. Roads were in surprisingly good shape around 3:00 when I went to work, but am getting reports that things are real bad now. The snow is heavy and blowing, and it is not showing on radar.
Chris you nailed it right on the head got a good 5in+ here in London and still snowing to beat the band. pretty good snow drifts to gotta love it. Thanks for the work you do your great.
The wind last night was howling and that meant one thing — we are stuck! Our driveway is over half a mile long and the drifts settle in spots that make it impossible to drive through in our 4-wheel drive autos. How does one hire a snow pile? There are no listings in the Paris phone book.
No ice storm, please!
LOL…we have a 3 month old pomeranian pup…and i literally had to go shovel out a trail an a potty zone this morning…lol…he didnt know why he kept disappearing when he tried to walk…hillarious..!!!
just keeps on hittin in Knox Co.Have probably gotten several more inches since 2 am.Looks like we might have 6 to 7 inches total.Please be careful out there!
Hoping for the Lake Michigan snows to roll through Johnson County….how is it looking guys?
yep, got just over 7 inches in my yard in the Bimble area…
4 and 1/2 inches of snow in nicholasville third st area and still snowing hoping ups can deliver my package so i have something for my daughter to do today. i sense another 22 inch dusting? lol stay safe all
Not officially measured yet and I’m not sure I will be able to with all the blowing snow, bit it appears to be around 6 inches of snow jn southern Pike county.
have at least 6 inches in the camp ground area of Laurel county and still snowing.
NO ROLO THIS MORNING????…. I told him not to stick his tongue on that flag pole…LOL..someone’s gonna have to go thaw him out and give him a hot cup of coffee….WAKE UP ROLLEEE-POLEEEE!!!
Great to see you on here! I always valued your forecasting skills on Eastern US Weather forums. We have about 9 inches here in Leslie County this morning, my elevation is 1420 ft.
I can not tell what snow we have. Some areas the snow has blown it off to .5″ and others there is up to 6″. My guess is 4″ to maybe 5″, but not sure. Suggest the “not sure” is the same for most here- unless you took measurements from several areas and NOT drift areas as part of your measurements 😉
Some may have more on average than they realize and some probably have less. Slippery, regardless!
Big time drifting in Lawrenceburg as well. My driveway (which is only about 25 feet long) had spots with 1/2 an inch and spots with a foot or more. My best guess–3 or 4 inches
Main road are fine. Secondary roads could be slick. Side streets snow covered… If you drove in last years snows you will be fine
Just measured snow on deck in Lou. 1.5 inches…that is 1 inch more than I called for early yesterday as I did not think we were going to get any snow at all.
12″ drifts in my driveway this morning too. December has been SUPER Wintry so far. It’s kind of amazing. Wind chill was 1°F this morning. Roads very slick. Keeping an eye now on the ice storm threat…
def a system that was downplayed by the nws. wasnt even 10 percent chance on the spc over 4 inches and we got here in london got an average 7 inches and the majority of that was within a 12 hour period so should have been a winter storm warning, but hey they models where showing it.
4-6 inches in frankfort
I am not sure what sure what we have, but if people think they have a foot of snow- no harm, no foul 🙂
Unless we were relying on getting actual data, of course…. I guess if we were global warmers, we would all be reporting back less than 1″ or cold rain. 😉
The Rolocoaster averaged a lot more down slope action than up slope for predictions on this event, so he probably hit the ground pretty hard 😉
His billy goat is probably licking his cheeks to try and wake him up. 🙂
Im alive TIM, I feel like BAD BLAKE in Crazy heart.lol
been out killing rabbits all nite spotlighting.
6 inches here in Magoffin County.
Looks like we got about 4 inches here in Crab Orchard which is in Lincoln county. Can anyone in Knox county, especially around Artemus or Trosper tell me how much you all got?
You ever notice how the south and west ends of Louisville almost always get less snow than the east and north? Im in the NE corner right by Oldham/Jeff line and ended up with ani average of 4″ here after measuring 8 spots that were not impacted by drifts or very little by them. I remember last year waking up to 3″ of snow and just 10 miles sw ,at my sons school, they had a dusting lol. We were like wow…that’s pretty messed up. That’s why the “official totals” for the metro should be an average of the area in each region, not the airport!! That spot seems to ALWAYS have the least amount of snow. Go figure…
I don’t understand what we are doing wrong in Carter Co. We got a dusting.
Hard to measure with so much blowing/drifting, but my best guess is 4-6″ in Wilmore. Still snowing. Chris, you have definitely been the man thus far!
im in bimble and we’ve got 6-8 right now and its still coming down…just took my wife to work and in downtown Barbourville, there is probably 5-6 just by estimating…
We have about 4-5″ here at my house in lawrenceburg depending on where you measure.
NWS..in JKL has added a few more counties to their WINTER STORM WARNING NOW!!
URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
843 AM EST MON DEC 13 2010
…LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS EAST
KENTUCKY…
.SNOWFALL AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS…ASSOCIATED WITH A STORM
SYSTEM MOVING INTO NEW ENGLAND…WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST
KENTUCKY THROUGH THIS MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE HELPED OUT
IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN BY UPSLOPE NORTHWEST WINDS. SNOWFALL RATES
WILL DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE DAY.
KYZ069-111-114-116-132200-
/O.UPG.KJKL.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-101213T1700Z/
/O.EXA.KJKL.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-101214T0000Z/
JACKSON-LEE-OWSLEY-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…MCKEE…BEATTYVILLE…BOONEVILLE…
MANCHESTER
843 AM EST MON DEC 13 2010
…WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW…WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
* LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS MORNING BEFORE
TAPERING OFF BY MIDDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW…STRONG WINDS
WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW…GREATLY REDUCING
VISIBILITIES.
* TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 4 TO 10 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA BY
MIDDAY.
* SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS THIS MORNING.
GUSTY WINDS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES DOWN TO BELOW A HALF MILE AT
TIMES…AS WELL AS LEAD TO WIND CHILLS BETWEEN ZERO AND FIVE BELOW
ZERO.
Just wanted to say THANK-YOU for all your hard work and dedication to this site. Right now, at my home in Knox Co. it appears we have 8 inches of snow and its still coming. The mountains are beautiful. I am still hoping for a white Christmas; I can’t remember having one in awhile, it would be nice. Keep up the good work Chris!
Where is CB getting the NAM freezing rain totals map?
We got an easy 6 inches here on the north side of Somerset and it’s still falling. My scientific measurement is my dog’s stomach is six inches off the ground and she can’t walk anywhere in our yard and not get high-centered. 😛
CoffeeLady may be snowed in down south of us, haven’t seen her post yet.
Thanks for the reply Tim. I dont know where Bimble is. Are you close to Artemus?
Storm total for Lexington as of 7 A.M. was 4.2 inches. I would say that is fairly represnts most of Central KY, plus or minus an inch.
December now has recorded 7.1 inches of snow. The Top 10 list starts at 8.2 If we get another 2.3 it will be the snowiest December in Lexington since 1967. This is pretty impressive, I think!!
I’ve got over 5″ in eastern Pulaski Co. Still snowing pretty good here too.
wow they finally woke up today, most places already have 4-10 inches, should have been a winter storm warning in the first place from somerset on over
Well, I woke up shocked when I looked out my bedroom window! The dogs had made tracks and the snow that looked rediculously deep! I went out and measured and it differentiates so much, I have no idea how much we got down here in Berea (421) I measured an inch in one part of my yard, and the numbers went up to 9″. So lets go with 4-6? My husband got up at 3:30 and said he could see the road. By the time he went to leave for work at 4:30, he said he didnt see the road from here to Nacco in Berea. 421 is still snowcovered here and looks to be dangerous, unless you know how to drive in the snow. Take it easy out there, and enjoy! Chris, thanks so much for the blog. My mother-in-law makes fun of my husband and I because we live by the blog!!
which ones ;)sorry
We have about 4 inches so far here in Donkey Holler (Woodford Co.) and it’s still snowing!
Now THAT would wake him up. 😉
All that can please chime in…..what are your thoughts of the system on Wednesday? Snow? Rain? Ice? Also what is the likelihood of the track?
Dear local mets:
You are now zero for two this winter and CB who is not a local met is two for two.
What forecast methods are you using?
Do you all just regurgitate what the national weather outlets say and put your own slight spin on it?
As far as snow forecasts, I now have ZERO confidence in your efforts. It is ironic that we get FAR better outlooks and near event estimates from a met NOT EVEN IN YOUR MARKET.
Local mets- no soup for you!
yes about 4 miles apart…
Chris right on the money again for the most part. Our local news people here in Lexington have become essentially worthless. It’s amazing all three stations dropped the ball yet again.
Well we finally got in on some snow here in western ky…..I’d say 2-3 inches which is our first official snowfall of the season…..YEAH!!!
Close to 12 inches.
Drifts over 2 foot.
I’ll be getting some pictures here in a few.
We had huge snow drifts in Millville this morning when I left for work. Cool to see someone else from Millvile and not know them – Lisa what section of Millville…we are up past the Millville School…Tia
Wow!! @ The Pikeville cam
I’ve been following this blog for a long time, but this is my first comment. I just want to say “Amen” to Bubba G’s last comment. When I want to know the weather, I don’t even consider the local stations anymore. I go straight to CB and have told everyone I know to do the same.
sigh…the after affects of a snowstorm is kind of like Christmas morning right after the last gift has been opened..lol..your all excited about what you got, but sad the expectation of it is all over…:(…
…………….
Time to get geared up for the next one..:)
still snowing
18*
6-8″ on the ground, (im on a hill though)
downtown Barbourville…4-6 by the way it looked around 8:30am..
WAY TO GO CHRIS!!!….HUGE THUMBS UP FOR THE GREAT FORECAST WAY IN ADVANCE!!
WOW Jared – we have family and an old home place in Letcher Co. I just can’t imagine…I am sure it is beautiful.
anyone wanna chat about their snowfall come on over…
http://www.everywherechat.com/chatnow.php?defaultRoom=WeatherCenterChat
I’m hoping that the roads will be clear enough on Thursday so I can make it back to Knott Co. from Morehead State for Christmas break. If it keeps snowing like this, then I don’t see how I could get home.
Good job, Chris! Good forecasting in advance, especially compared to most of the other meteorologists around.
welcome aboard the chat box…and AMEN ON CB FOR WEATHER!!
Went to bed last night at around 11:00 p.m. with 1/2 inch in yard at house around 4 miles out of Manchester. Woke up this morning and around 6 inches laying in the yard and still snowing. Chris, you are some kind of weather forecaster. Thanks for all the hard work and for sharing what is an obvious gift with us.
I personally think Winter Storm Warnings should have been issued for more counties!!..at LEAST 2-3 more couties to the west of where they are now…..You would think by now they would learn and know the geographical area’s of east and s.e. ky.!!! when you sitting with anywhere from 5-10″ of snow on the ground…IMPACT!!! IMPACT!!! IMPACT!!!…travel is HORRIBLE here s.e. ky. right now the road crews are giving it all they got just to keep the MAIN roads clear…like 25E north and south…you can forget the side roads right now…they are a mess!!!
12:00Z NAM continues to show BIG icing problems Wednesday night/Thursday morning with the Bluegrass counties getting hit hard. It does take the surface freezing temps. above freezing during Thursday afternoon, which is good.
ewwwwww. (:
10 inches here in Leslie County on the ridgetop
well lets see…9″ of snow on the ground
cold air locked in…moisture wed/thurs……hmmmmm
I did see on TWC snowfall map of 3-6 for east ky… and a swath of 1-3 moving into west, and southern ky.. on wed….:)
I measured the snow on my porch about an hour ago, and it’s showing 5 inches of white, fluffy snow (East Point, Johnson County).
My parents live about 3 miles down the road from me, and Dad says he thinks they may have 2 1/2 inches.
I can’t get over how much it differentiates from area to area!
CB, thanks for all the updates, your dedication to keeping us informed is, well, amazing!
I do hope you get to sleep sometime. 🙂
if i looked at it right WC had us shaded in WSW hmm
WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW…WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL
7 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.
* LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS MORNING BEFORE
TAPERING OFF BY MIDDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW…STRONG WINDS
WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW…GREATLY REDUCING
VISIBILITIES.
* 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH TOTAL
SNOWFALL OF 6 TO 12 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY MONDAY EVENING.
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day3_pice_gt_25.gif this is the spc puttin most of ky in the 10 percent chance of seeing .25 of ice for wednesday thurs system
imagine that!!!… well on my way to the upper half of that scale…:)
20 inches of snow on KY160 (Black Moutnain) using graders with chains to clear it.
Yup, NAM and GFS are both consistently showing this to be a serious ice storm for the LEX area… 12Z NAM is scary looking Thursday morning.
Hey man, bought a 2002 Wrangler with a 3″ lift and 32’s.
are the models trending colder
http://sphotos.ak.fbcdn.net/hphotos-ak-snc4/hs1190.snc4/154225_469730243586_687893586_5870005_7806810_n.jpg
My car in a massive snow drift.
We’re actually in Hilltop Meadows subdivision, the “suburbs” of Millville.
We have about 6 inches in Clay County. It is still snowing here. Does the storm for Wed-Thurs. look like ice, snow or rain for Clay. Does anyone know? I hope Chris has some ideal about this storm later.
So what does the 12 Z Nam show for Lexington? Geeez, ice. Crap.
Got put into moderation so trying this again:
http://sphotos.ak.fbcdn.net/hphotos-ak-snc4/hs1190.snc4/154225_469730243586_687893586_5870005_7806810_n.jpg
12+ inches plus higher amounts in drifts.
4.4 here now i guess it snowed more overnight…CB nailed this one AGAIN
oh come on trent no ice please talk to the ice gods and snow gods. if the power goes out i will have a very unhappy autistic daughter on my hands and doesn’t look like i can make a craft store run either. how bad are we talkin for wednesday and thursday?
Looks like my previous post went through anyways. lol
just remember, though, with snow cover on the ground, temps are probably over estimated. and can i have a link to where the total ice on the nam and gfs is?
This next storm epitomizes the difficulties of snow storms around here. There’s plenty of cold air and southern stream moisture, but warm air wants to eat it away and give us the worst of all worlds, sleet and ice. The Decemeber 2004 storm still makes me mad.
Great picture – I wish I could get that way to see the top of our mountain. Bet it is great. Never been there when it snowed. You make me jealous seeing the big drifts.
probably over 10 inches east of good ole Hindman ky….Still snowing and wind is Howling…I would guess some parts of knott co. will get over a foot before it quits…Also would like too add that we stayed overnight in lex. friday night and the station we were watching said east ky would not get any snow..lol…Wish i could remember the station…Glad my brother told me about this Blog,chris has just added another fan….
folks this weekend has my attention, we could get a thumping, check out the models.
looking like rain with a little mix for wed/thursday.
im not worried bout ice CC, for us u gunchester. rain. with some mix.
Good afternoon everyone, Looks like Eastern Ky got hammered : )what will the system coming to Kentucky do on Wed/Thursday? Will it be a Ice Rain or Snow event? And is there another system coming through during the weekend?
anyone other than me think LMK may issue watches for the next storm today or tonight?
thats not funny rolo no way it will be warm enough for all rain and some mix
Accumulating snow or not? What about ice?
Robbie:
This is the snowiest December in Central Ky since 1989. It will probably end up the snowiest since 1967. What would make you happy?
Well, hello, fellow snow lovers! Just now getting tha chance to post, and read some other posts, as well.
ChrisB, I have about 5.5 on the ground at my house. Roads are not in good shape and we still have snow falling outside, to go along with the winds…
(My measurement was taken in a sheltered spot, so I feel pretty confident with it.) As usual, Chris hit the nail on the head! (Was there ever any doubt, seriously?) 😉
Waiting for the next update about the storm threat for later this week.
I have really enjoyed reading the comments this morning! Sounds like we all got a decent snow, for the most part! Can’t wait to see what is next on the KWC winter weather train!!! Stay safe and warm, everyone, and have a GFREAT day!
Thanks Chris for all that you do. I appreciate all the hard work you do in order to inform readers the best you possibly can. I love the snow and i’m glad that eastern Ky got plenty of it this time around. We got around 8 or more inches here. Thanks again.
12z runs out, shows an absolute MESS for wed./thurs…and 12z gfs shows a snowstorm on christmas day!!!
still snowing
18*
approx. 9″ here on my hill top with drifts over 14″ !!! wow…
Good Afternoon Chris!
Down here on the border,we have 19* and about 6 inches of snow!! Since I don’t have to go out in it,..it is beautiful.For all of those who do go out…please be careful.Stay safe and warm bloggers!
Thanks Chris B for all that you do. I appreciate all the hard work you do in order to inform readers the best you possibly can. I love the snow and i’m glad that eastern Ky got plenty of it this time around. We got around 8 or more inches here. Thanks again.
dude i know that was so close areas along the ohio river got 12-24 inches
When you say mess Tim what do you mean? A lot of ice and snow or rain?
I think the NWS needs to quit and just let Chris forecast from now on. Giving the correct accumulations and forecast after the snow has already fallen doesn’t do much good, NWS! Great job Chris!
I’m just saying it’s tough to get a pure snow storm here. Even with cold and moisture, we often have to worry about mixing. It may be the snowiest December, but Louisville just has 4 inches for the month and two on the ground. With the activity in the eastern third, it’s frustrating to see near misses. The pattern won’t last forever.
http://ready.arl.noaa.gov/data/forecast/grads/nam/panel9/plt22.gif
They have NAM surface charts too. If the temp. at 2M stays below 32 Thursday, we’re in big trouble.
Good, you’re gonna’ need it. 😉 I’m rolling a 2005 Jeep Liberty with the diesel engine and Grabber AT2 tires..and it performed flawlessly this morning.
How can people call a 1/2″ of ice a “small storm”? This could be bad.
Got about 6 inches or so here in Morehead from what I can tell. Good job CB
P.S. I told ya’ eastern KY was the spot that would get hammered by this storm.
23 in Pikeville snow is coming down good blowing everywhere I would say in my yard there is 6-7 inches of snow and more on the way,my latest email
BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-KNOTT-PERRY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF.MIDDLESBORO.PINEVILLE.HARLAN.
PRESTONSBURG.HINDMAN.HAZARD.HYDEN.WHITESBURG.INEZ.
PIKEVILLE
932 AM EST MON DEC 13 2010
.WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING.
A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING.
* LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING
& INTO THIS AFTERNOON.BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF BY
EARLY THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW.STRONG WINDS
WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.GREATLY REDUCING
VISIBILITIES.
* 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
EVENING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION BY THIS EVENING WILL RANGE FROM 8
TO 15 INCHES.
* SNOW & BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS THROUGH THIS
MORNING & INTO THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY NW WINDS WILL
REDUCE VISIBILITIES DOWN TO BELOW A HALF MILE AT TIMES.AS
WELL AS LEAD TO WIND CHILLS BETWEEN ZERO & FIVE BELOW ZERO.
no worries for S/SE KY wed/thursday.
Other than me, does anyone think any NWS’s will issue watches this afternoon, or tonight?
Ryan I have about 6- 7 inches what do you have?
Should the louisville area expect ice or snow for this next event and will it be bad?
Maybe more then 7 and still falling.
Will have an update soon on the Winter Storm Threat Wednesday – Friday.
Thanks Chris it seems somebody is already downplaying whats to come.
Thank goodness, i really need my update blog fix BAD!!!
Great, another ice storm. with the snow in place temps will likely stay below freezing. This should be interesting…..
You were right Wxman.I am worried about Ice in the next storm.
YES!!!! I’m so ready to hear about htis one. Thanks for the hard work.
Wow what a cool pic,I am moving to your county of course I am not far.
still snowing here in knox co. as well..6-12″ for this area… wind is blowing it around so much its hard to get an accurate depth now…6-9″ is a good bet throughout the county though with higher amounts around as well…
Hey Chris! Thank you for all your hard work and dedication to this blog. I’ve spent more time on here the past few days than on facebook, and that’s saying A LOT! Currently I have about 7 inches in my part of Harlan county and it’s still coming down good. I have family and friends that have totals nearing one foot (and these are not the high elevation areas of Harlan) Snow is still coming down steady too. If it keeps it up I know that we could see another 3 inches before our warning expires. Anxiously awaiting your thoughts on the upcoming storm! Thanks again!
Any chnace of snow for Central ky off of lake Michigan today/night?
Hello to all, I just took some measurements here in Hueysville, which is in Floyd county, we have any where from 5 to 9 depending on where you measure in my yard, with a solid 6 on my truck earlier this morning, before I cleaned it off. The side roads are still pretty bad, but highway 80 heading towards martin from garrett is in pretty good shape, it is getting to 80 that is the fun part, but if you are like me and you have a 4×4 you should be in pretty good shape. Oh and by the way it is still snowing. Great job on the call CB you are the man!! Have to give my brother a ride to work in a little bit, so I will let you guys know how the road conditions are when I get back, until then everybody stay warm and enjoy the snow.
9 inches here in viper in perry county
boy does’nt this local forecast for knox co. seem lovely for the next sytem…blah!
Wednesday…Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30s. Light winds. Chance of snow 20 percent.
Wednesday Night…Cloudy with a chance of snow and freezing rain. Milder. Lows in the mid 20s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Thursday…Cloudy with a chance of snow…rain and freezing rain. Highs in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Thursday Night And Friday…Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of snow showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s
well based on the track record with this last system it doesn’t much matter what the NWS says lol
funny I was thinking the same thing as I was posting…
HMMM…this is the forecast for Nashville,…seems alittle far south with that mess, for someone in ky. to NOT get a decent snowfall…cant wait for chris’s update…
Wednesday: Snow likely before noon, then snow, freezing rain, and sleet likely. Cloudy, with a high near 33. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday Night: Snow, freezing rain, and sleet likely. Cloudy, with a low around 33. East southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Thursday: A chance of rain and sleet. Cloudy, with a high near 44. North northwest wind between 5 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Can’t wait for Chris’s update on the Wednesday mess!!
no school for anderson county tomorrow.
For many of you, this is a stupid question. On the Wednesday Night, Thursday Morning and Thursday Night maps in this post by CB, there are four colors represented…red, pink, blue and green. I assume red is ICE, pink is a MIX of precip, Blue is SNOW and green is RAIN. Am I correct in this assumption? thanks
Well, we still have flurries coming down here in Somerset. No more accumulation, but still very pretty to look at. From what I am seeing, I am getting a little concerned about the Wednesday/Thursday system. Chris, will be glad when you update. I saw your comment, hope the post is soon to follow.
Just came back from martin in Floyd co. roads are in much better shape than this morning, but they are still slick esp. on side roads, still snowing here in Hueysville.
Laurel Hill in Pineville has 12-13 inches of snow so far.
POURING HERE IN HARLAN COUNTY. DRIFTS WELL OVER A FOOT. AROUND SEVEN INCHES IN THE FRONT YARD NOW. IM NOT BUYING INTO THE WED, THUR, FRI SYSTEM. THE ONE THAT HAS MY EYE IS A POSSIBLE NOREASTER THUMPING US LATE THIS WEEKEND. A LOT CAN CHANGE BY THEN….
I have a hard time believing that a low tracking across the border with TN will bring icing to Louisville. The NAM does bring ice to the city though.
Given the snow pack that reaches far south, I don’t see how the cold get’s displaced so quickly. I would think farther south reaching cold would force the low more to the south, but who knows.
Not sure what the Euro says, but I like it best in the winter. The GFS is bad.
Can’t wait for the update!
gfs snowfall amounts was a deadeye for this system
TIM that called covering their bases, give all of the above and u cant miss it.lol
well going to rite aid to meet my brother in little while, i dont deserve such a great brother, but i got one and i love him so.
Should have said the GFS is bad outside of 3 days. The Euro owned it on the track of this storm.
Good on ya Rolo be safe
Still pouring the snow in Pikeville blowing snow.Beautiful I have to say.21 degrees.
Schools will be operating on a two-hour delay in Lexington.
I have seen another map that was color coded, but it used different colors..The same area that is blue on this map was the freezing rain area and the pinkish purple area was a snow area, and I think the red area was ice pellets. But like you I’m not sure on a lot of this, and it could’ve just been a different model..I would like to have an opinion from someone who knows!
http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CONUS1_MESO-ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL_84HR.gif. 18z NAM snowfall showing a general 3-6 inches of snow for central ky possibly with the mid-week system.
Wow…wonder about Woodford?
interesting….
weather channel just realesed a special weather statement from jackson weather office, potential for icing event wed night thru thurs, saying at this time potential for between 025 and 050 of ice south of mountain parkway and north of highway 80 havin the greatest chance for seeing these amounts and everyone else recieving minor ice accums. but it all depends on the track of the storm. as we all Know this could change and I for one hope we don’t see any ice at all!
weather channel just relesed a special weather statement from jackson weather office, potential for icing event wed night thru thurs, saying at this time potential for between 025 and 050 of ice south of mountain parkway and north of highway 80 havin the greatest chance for seeing these amounts and everyone else recieving minor ice accums. but it all depends on the track of the storm. as we all Know this could change and I for one hope we don’t see any ice at all!
I don’t want ice in Somerset, let it SNOW or RAIN!!!
Woodford is closed
euro similar to gfs if not a touch colder.
I hope this is the case I would prefer more snow than ice.
When is the next update?
Thanks Chris for your hard work.. I am from Southeastern Ky and I rely on your forecast over any other. You sure did hit this one just right as usual.. Thanks again..
Thanks Chris for your hard work.. I am from South Eastern Ky and I rely on your forecast over any other. You sure did hit this one just right as usual.. Thanks again..
It appears that the nam has a colder solution than the gfs
Come on Chris B. we are all waiting on your what you have to say. Great job on the last two. Lets see if you go 3 for 3, but only if there is no rain.
I want to get excited about the NAM, but Dt at wxrisk.com has an important rule. He put’s no credence in the 6Z or 18Z runs of the models. It has to do with intialization.
I was wrong Woodford has not made a decision