Good Wednesday, my windy weather peeps. Another cold front is on top of us today and this will cause winds and showers to increase. Temps will do just the opposite and will drop like a rock overnight into Thursday. I’ll take a look at that and look way down the road. Why? Because that’s what we do on the blog. 🙂
Let’s start with a breakdown of what to expect with the system moving in today:
– Gusty southwesterly winds will boost temps into the upper 60s to near 70 for some areas of central and eastern Ky.
– Rain overspreads the state from west to east. Western Ky will see rain much of the day. That arrives into central parts of the state by late afternoon and then during the evening in the east.
– Showers will do their thing Wednesday night and will exit early Thursday.
– Winds will be rather gusty into tonight and may hit 35mph at times.
– Temperatures will drop into the upper 30s and low 40s by Thursday morning and may stay in the upper 40s for highs.
After this… seasonal weather returns for the weekend with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s with dry conditions.
Changes are showing up for the last half of next week. Several model runs are trying to go toward a pattern that could lead to a much colder scenario.
The GFS is rushing the cold in here by late Tuesday and Wednesday…
Yes, it does show some flakes in here around that time. Do I believe it? Let’s just say I need to see that show up for several more runs before I do. The new European Model is actually kinda close to showing a similar setup.
There is a little more model support for a greater amplification by the end of next week into the following weekend. Check out the height anomalies on the GFS Ensembles…
The Canadian Model is jumping on the extreme solution of cutting off a big storm in this area…
The European Model had shown something similar over the past few days. While possible, I am not sold on that at all. I think this may be a situation to where the models are jumping the gun in seeing something that I do think happens late month.
Speaking of late Month. The CFS V2 is trying to put snow on the ground during the final week of November…
The same runs have an interesting look during the first week of December…
As always… take it all with a grain of salt.
Have a great day and take care.
What kind of big storm are the models showing?? Snowstorm, or severe?
If that plays out, don’t you think that’s an awful lot of North America to have snow on the ground this early?
I’ll believe it when I see it. (Ibiwisi)
Ibiwisi…..as well….
I have my salt shaker sitting on my desk at work 🙂 But doesn’t mean I can’t hope!
Thanks, Chris. Guess that means I will need to wear a sweatshirt to the football game on Saturday afternoon. Sounds like a perfect day for football to me. The maps and scenarios you are showing for next week mid week are kind of wild looking for this time of year. I am kind of like you…got to see a lot more before I would come close to believing it.
I do remember last time we got a pretty good early snow in my neck of the woods though. IT was on Thanksgiving weekend, and we got about 4 inches. But that has been along time ago. Would be nice to see that again. As far as today goes, got the rain gear ready, and the wind breaker on as well. Forgot to bring my kite though. 😉 Have a great, safe Wednesday, everyone!
As advertised, the cold front is on its way. The KY Mesonet shows some toasty 74 degree temps in the eastern part of the state. In comparsion, 57 is already a popular figure in far western KY (where the rain is). There are a few wind gusts of 30+ including Simpson County (along the TN line) and Franklin County.
Meanwhile much of Missouri, northernwestern Arkansas and northeastern Oklahoma are already in the low 40s. Iowa has some 30s. Brrrr
But as Coffeelady mentioned, at least there will be decent pigskin wx coming up! 😉
Coffeelady routinely says what I and others need to state more often: Thanks CB for all your hard work!
The attack of the leaves is upon us today, that wind is really laying down the leaves, bring us some snow Chris we need our fix 🙂
So far all the forecasts for a mild first half of November are not really panning out. At Lexington, the average November temp through yesterday was only 1 degree above normal. On average, November is usually mild early and chilly late.
Lexington Averages:
November 1: High 62, Low 42
November 15: High 56, Low 38
November 30: High 49, Low 32
Still very warm in the east. 70 in Paintsville KY.
Yet it’s now cooler in western KY and western TN. 44 in Paducah, 50 in Memphis. Much farther west, even Oklahoma City is now down to 38.
Rain about to end along the Mississippi River. Most areas in the west have seen roughly .25 to half an inch of rain. The lightning map has indicated a strike every long once and a while throughout the day, so it may not be your imagination if you thought you heard thunder.
Everybody please be careful on the wet roads!