Good Saturday everyone and welcome to the calm before the winter storm. If you have anything you need to do outdoors this weekend… today is the day for you. Our weather will go downhill from here as a winter storm lashes the region with snow, high winds and bitterly cold temps the next few days.
After looking at the latest data… I feel good with the forecast we have out and see no reason to change anything at this point. That may change later today as I take a closer look at how this thing shapes up in the final hours before it moves in.
Here is another breakdown for you…
– Today will feature increasing clouds and temps well into the 40s. Rain will push into western Kentucky this afternoon.
– Rain will move eastward this evening into the wee hours of the morning. Cold air quickly moves in changing the rain over to a period of snow overnight into early Sunday morning. This can result in a slushy inch or two of snow for some.
– I do expect a lull in the snow for many areas Sunday. The timing on this lull all depends on where you live. Don’t freak out if it isn’t snowing outside your house at some point during the day.
– Backlash snows will really kick in from west to east Sunday afternoon and evening. These snows should come down at a good clip. It is from later Sunday afternoon into Monday that the bulk of our snows will fall with this storm.
– Snow showers and squalls will then continue late Monday into Tuesday morning for the north and east.
– Temps will drop quickly Saturday night into Sunday morning with readings dropping through the 20s Sunday. This rapid temp drop will lead to a freeze up of moisture from the prior rains.
– Highs for Monday and Tuesday will stay in the teens as lows dip into the single digits for Tuesday and Wednesday.
– Gusty winds of 30mph from later Sunday into Monday will create blowing and drifting snow and wind chills below zero.
– Travel from later Sunday through Monday will be tricky at best.
Let’s get to a few maps. The first item up for bids is what the GFS is showing in terms of the transition from rain to snow and the backlash snows moving in…
My previous snowfall map continues to look good and I have no changes…
I will put out an updated map later this afternoon with a Last Call For Snowfall map coming your way late this evening. I am sure I will make some changes as we get a look at radar and how the last minute trends are setting up.
I am already looking ahead to the period from late Wednesday through Friday for a potential winter storm threat. This would be for a nasty mix of snow and ice which you can see here on the GFS for Wednesday evening…
In looking at this next storm… watch for the models to trend colder as we get closer. They have a history of trying to dislodge low level arctic air much too quickly. Let’s see if that holds with this system as well. Regardless… keep an eye on this one as it has some big potential. Beyond this next storm… more cold air with snow chances would then take us into Christmas week.
First things first and that is our current storm. Keep checking back for updates and have some good winter chat in the comments section.
Have a great Saturday and take care.
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First…..?
Wow- first!…….. Not as cool a feeling as I thought. Jaded already ;( ๐ ๐
Seriously though- CB, we appreciate the dedication ๐
Beddy bye now ๐
Goodnight.
Agree with Bub. Thanks for the dedication. You are definitley a MET who does the job simply for this. The thrill of it! I am from Harlan county and my meteorologist, Jim Caldwell looks to be in agreement with you. A lot of ppl see the high totals for my area, but what they dont know is that is just for higher elevations. Even though I sit in the 4-8 inch range, doesnt mean I am going to get 4-8 inch. I bet witha few friends on totals for my area and I banked on 3.8 inches for Evarts, KY. which lies just outside of haran. Now Black Mountain, which lies just three miles to the east of me, I would bank on at least 8+, it sits nearly two thousand feet higher than me. I think this is why it is so hard for mets to forecast this region. Good luck on the forecast, which i think will be very accurate, and thanks so much for the frequent posts. Us bloggers sit here waiting for new posts and you deliver. Although, I think most of us forget there is only so much info you can give us without repeating yourself lol. but continue the updating and we will keep up the reading and blogging.
Harlan* (typo)
I agree! If there’s anyone that ever goes above and beyond,it is Chris..he does it for us as much as anything else..and that speaks volumes..I for one am holding out for the higher totals for my area..we tend to get higher, not sure why, but when it’s 3-6, we tend to get closer to the 6 or even more..I’m excited to see how this turns out..Not too excited about the potential for a nasty “ice storm” though! I’m in Morehead..Rowan County right on the Fleming County Line..
haha, it’s late or early however you want to see it..u are entitled to unlimited typos at this hour haha..
Ice is definitely worse than snow to me.
Please no ice storm!
Thank you Chris for your continued hard work for us.
OH BABY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! THIS MODEL FORECAST HOLDS NO CREDIBILITY AS IT IS SEVERAL HUNDREDS OF HOURS OUT, BUT WHAT IF THIS PROVED TO BE TRUE? THIS THE THE GFS VERY EARLY ON CHRISTMAS DAY………http://wxcaster4.com/gfs/CONUS_2P5GFS_1000-500_SLPPRPTHK_348HR.gif
what does that mean exactly for our area (mine is Morehead/Rown County) sorry I have trouble deciphering some of the models ๐ I know it looks like a lot of precip,but does that mean all snow??
It means anyone in this area would be getting hammered on early Christmas Morning.
update from JKL. They are lowering snowfall totals.
THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THE FORECAST IS THE SNOW AND THE BLOWING SLOW
WHICH WILL ACCOMPANY THE SYSTEM. BECAUSE OF THE SURFACE LOW
TRACK…THE AMOUNT OF SNOW WILL BE LIMITED…BECAUSE THE MAJORITY OF
THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS RAIN OUT AHEAD OF THE ACTUAL COLD
FRONT. THE SNOW WILL START FALLING AS THE COLD AIR BEHIND THE FRONT
MOVES INTO THE AREA. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY…BECAUSE
THERE WILL BE UPSLOPE SURFACE FLOW AND VERY UNSTABLE AIR DUE TO THE
PROXIMITY OF THE UPPER LOW. IT WOULD NOT BE TOO SURPRISING TO EVEN
SEE A LITTLE GRAUPEL AS THE UPPER LOW PASSES ACROSS THE AREA ON
SUNDAY EVENING.
DID NOT MAKE ANY MAJOR CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. MAINLY
TWEAKED THE TIMING OF THE FRONT AND ALSO SLIGHTLY LOWERED THE SNOW
AMOUNTS BASED ON THE LATEST QPF ESTIMATES. THE TEMPERATURES WERE
TWEAKED A LITTLE AGAIN BASED ON THE TIMING OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
WILL CONTINUE THE WATCH AND THE SPS THAT WAS ISSUED ON DAY SHIFT AS
THERE WERE NO REALLY BIG SHIFTS IN THE MODELS.
I sure am looking forward to an update. What time does the next runs come out?
turn out the ilghtasaaaa t hew party overrrr, ansd alll bysted weather cast must come to a eeend..
folks my 4-8 is a BUST it will be rain thru well into sunday morning.
No snow? I live in Burgin.
Thanks Chris for the continual updates. You are the best!!!
WOW, this all sounds exciting!!!
go get some coffee or go to bed rolo
ANDY I aint been in bed.lol
been playing poker all nite.
today word is,, or comment i should say
upslopesucks.
hey bubba get ur tail out of that hole and start posting.
TIM u 2 buddy.
today song is , she got the gold mine and i got the shaft by the late great JERRY
Louisville nws talking about probably having to put out a wwa for tomorrow and tomorrow night and even mentioned some areas could get a warning. Could get interesting.
thats why i said go to bed or get sum coffee and like Mad Maxx says from John boy and Billy
Quit ruining my life ๐
Rolo don’t bring me down….I feel like I’ve been on a roller coaster about this storm system and its starting to get better lol…..I can’t take much more ๐ Hoping for a foot of snow and another later in the week!
Yea, the 06Z run of the GFS has a classic snow system for the Upper South during this time frame; if this were to occur as depicted, the Nashville area would be buried
Rolocoaster now going dowwwwn! With such oscillation in the electronics world, a capacitor would be used to help straighten you out. ๐
Either that or a new Billy goat : )
Am I dreaming or did the nws forecast only include a half inch for wayne county? Is this changing or what
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-
LESLIE-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…FLEMINGSBURG…MOUNT STERLING…
OWINGSVILLE…MOREHEAD…IRVINE…STANTON…FRENCHBURG…
MOUNT VERNON…MCKEE…SOMERSET…LONDON…MONTICELLO…
WHITLEY CITY…CORBIN…WILLIAMSBURG…BARBOURVILLE…SANDY HOOK…
WEST LIBERTY…PAINTSVILLE…CAMPTON…SALYERSVILLE…PRESTONSBURG…
BEATTYVILLE…JACKSON…HINDMAN…BOONEVILLE…HAZARD…MANCHESTER…
HYDEN…INEZ
527 AM EST SAT DEC 11 2010
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE LEADING EDGE OF A POTENT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
NEAR DAWN ON SUNDAY. DURING THOSE EARLY MORNING HOURS…RAIN WILL BE
TURNING INTO A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW AND THEN EVENTUALLY TO ALL SNOW.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
A POTENT WEATHER SYSTEM REMAINS ON TRACK TO BRING ACCUMULATING SNOW
TO THE AREA FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. LIGHT TO MODERATE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED…PARTICULARLY LATER SUNDAY AND INTO THE
DAY MONDAY.
IN ADDITION…BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BRING
MUCH COLDER AIR INTO THE AREA. THIS WILL BLOW ANY SNOW AROUND…
LIKELY REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO BELOW A MILE AT TIMES AS WELL AS SEND
WIND CHILLS DOWN TO NEAR ZERO DEGREES.
AT THIS POINT…IT LOOKS LIKE BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH EAST KENTUCKY FROM SUNDAY INTO THE DAY TUESDAY. THE
HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE FOUND ON THE RIDGES WITH LESSER
TOTALS IN THE VALLEYS. ADDITIONAL LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO THE DAY TUESDAY
Thanks for the update,Chris. Is looking very interesting. I still think the bigget concern is for flash freezing. All that rain, and temps dropping like a rock are ingredients for a really slick situation. Looking forward to your next update, and thoughts. Have a GREAT Saturday, all.
I am going shopping! ๐
LMK has this to say in their morning discussion:
GIVEN THE TIMING OF THE ONSET…LIKELY WILL SEE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES POSTED BY THE DAYSHIFT FOR A MAJORITY OF THE REGION
STARTING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY. FORECAST
TOTALS FOR THE EVENT…FROM TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY…RANGE FROM AN
INCH IN THE SOUTHWEST CWA…TO AROUND 4 INCHES IN THE BLUEGRASS
REGION. SHOULD THE GFS SOLUTION CATCH ON IN OTHER MODELS…CANNOT
RULE OUT A WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
I like this post….I really want 4 inches in my area (South Mercer)
Same here in my area (Anderson county)
Does anyone know how thing are looking now? Snow ? No Snow? lol
We’re getting snow… regardless the amount… in early/mid December that’s awesome. I predict a White Christmas for Central, Eastern and Northern Kentucky. We shall see.
that means we would all see very heavy RAIN because that purple line is the freezing line and it goes north of kentucky
Once again HERE WE GO WITH “””CRITERIA”” issues!!!..check out this map..almost the entire state of Tn. is under a Winter weather adv. or winter storm watch…and ky..is playing UNO over in the corner somewhere!!..not everyone is weather savy like we are on here…for example, we know what possibilities lie ahead with this system. BUT!! just every day folk driving down the road listening to the radio and take their NWS forecast with guts and glory, at this point THEY HAVE NO IDEA HOW SERIOUS they situation could get!!.. come on NWS…WAKE UP!!!
http://www.weather.gov/
If I’m not mistaken, it appears as if the low is centered in Iowa. If it is, is that further south than it was forecast to be? That is what I understand of it, but I’m not totally sure.
speaking of Iowa the entire state with the exception of 4 or 5 counties is under a blizzard warning!!
The low moving a diffrent direction Good for us or bad?
Not really sure why NWS Wilmington got rid of the advisory for nky.
Here is a perfect example…SCOTT,CAMPBELL,CLAIBORNE counties all BORDER …WHITLEY,McCREARY,WAYNE,BELL counties in Ky…NOW here is the forecast for those counties in TN…
SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-SULLIVAN-MORGAN-
NORTHWEST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-NORTHWEST CARTER-LEE-WISE-SCOTT-
RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ONEIDA…LA FOLLETTE…TAZEWELL…
SNEEDVILLE…ROGERSVILLE…KINGSPORT…WARTBURG…GREENEVILLE…
JOHNSON CITY…ELIZABETHTON…JONESVILLE…WISE…NORTON…
GATE CITY…LEBANON…ABINGDON
439 AM EST SAT DEC 11 2010
…WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING…
A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.
* TIMING: PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS RAIN…THEN CHANGE TO OR MIX
WITH SNOW LATE SATURDAY NIGHT…ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. ALL THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS
SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY AFTERNOON…AND
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.
* ACCUMULATIONS: TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 4 AND 10 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA…AND THE HIGH KNOB AREA
WILL LIKELY SEE HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE NORTHERN CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND
NORTHEAST TENNESSEE…INCLUDING THE TRI-CITIES AREA…IS EXPECTED
TO SEE 3 TO 6 INCHES BY LATE MONDAY.
……..
and in KY…only county with advisory is BELL!!….perfect example of CRITERIA GONE WILD!!!!!!
I live up in Elkhorn City, in Pike County. We have had a watch since yesterday evening.
Issued by The National Weather Service
Jackson, KY
4:07 am EST, Sat., Dec. 11, 2010
… WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING…
A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.
* RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND THE SNOW WILL FALL MOSTLY CONTINUOUS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY.
* LOCATIONS ABOVE 2000 FEET WILL LIKELY SEE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS IN THE 6 TO 12 INCH RANGE BY MONDAY EVENING… WHILE LOWER ELEVATION LOCATIONS SUCH AS HARLAN… MIDDLESBORO… PIKEVILLE AND WHITESBURG WILL PROBABLY RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES.
* THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT THROUGH THE WATCH PERIOD… PARTICULARLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND LOW WIND CHILLS COULD BE LIFE THREATENING TO THOSE CAUGHT FOR TOO LONG OUT IN THE WEATHER AND UNPREPARED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
morning all it seems the weather forecasters here are still down playing this thing. if the low is moving south and the jet stream goes below ky/tn think what that will do to snow totals just stay safe this weekend sounds like a get the hot chocolate and build a fire weather this weekend.
here is the gfs snowfall map
http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=MRX
6-10″ along the tn bordering counties …looks like advisory criteria to me…
CB did say he was confident his snow map would change, as more data came in. Of course, he did not say in what direction……
On a positive spin, if the GFS blows up this close in, that would suggest the projected ice storm for Thursday may be bunk as well….
Sorry, that is all the good spin I can make ATM.
This is the first time I’ve posted, but I am an avid reader. I’ve got a good feeling about this storm. I think Chris is spot on with his forecast. Apparently so does NWA:
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=lmk&storyid=60847&source=0
Everyone do your snow dance!! ๐
So on that map of next weeks storm what do they colors represent? Blue, red, pink and green??
Red= ICE…Pink=SNOW…Green=Rain…Blue=RAIN/SNOW mix.
Thank ya!
I thought that the rainwas not supposed to move in until later today…we are already seeing alittle bit of very light precip, and the radar is filling in very quickly from the southwest…any thoughts, anyone?
Does the nam have any display of snow totals? I see the snow totals for the gfs.If it does can someone give me a link.
Here in Morehead it has been dark and cloudy all morning, now the sun has come out.
I know they are saying about the models and I hear the forecast, but I also know from experience in the past, it ain’t over “till the fat lady sings” ๐ Doesn’t look like we are to get rain till really late tonight, by the time the cold air will be right on it’s heels, or catch up to it..bringing the snow totals up significantly.this has already been one heck of a late fall and December, So as much as I would love to see a surprise foot of snow haha..can’t really complain about what wev’e gotten this early in the “season”! ๐ Thanks so much for answering my earlier questions..I was guessing that map for Christmas looked like rain and NOT snow for us..but wasn’t sure..
waffles for rolo
You’re right. Rain was not to begin until the afternoon from what I recall.
I, too, wonder what this means for all of us. I’m hoping it means far more moisture and more snow!
Towards the top of this page you will see nam snowfall and gfs snowfall link. There are also 6z and 18z options for both. The ones that just say nam and gfs is the 00z and 12z runs.
http://www.wxcaster.com/models_main.htm
Man, the blog has been asleep today!!!! Wake up everyone!!!! ๐
Here is the 12z NAM snowfall map
http://wxcaster.com/gis-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=JKL
Dang that puts me right in the ice…
From Kevin Harned, wave 3 Louisville at 11:00 am
The latest tracks, now with more surface and upper air data, have shifted a little bit south. This may increase the forecast snow totals & wind speeds. We could be in near blizzard conditions during the day Sunday.
A blizzard means that the following conditions are expected to prevail for a period of 3 hours or longer…
* Sustained wind or frequent gusts to 35 miles an hour or greater; and
* considerable falling and/or blowing snow (i.e., reducing visibility frequently to less than ยผ mile).
I’m in working for Andy today… and Brian Goode is working with the National Weather Service today. He says that a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY will be issued for tonight’s rain to snow event… with additional advisories or warnings possible for tomorrow. A WINTER STORM WARNING will be issued for places that are expected to receive 5 or more inches of snow. I’m still watching for the possibility of a flash freeze… with the low a bit farther south I would expect the cold air to arrive sooner… if the wind is not able to dry the pavement fast enough… we could be dealing with slick areas developing rapidly as the temperatures fall overnight.
It looks like all the models put lower totals for the Lexington area. Snow Dome may not be up and running but could it still be thinning totals?
Jake
NWS out of Louisville might be the first office to go out on a limb they feel confident about issuing a WWA however its not out of the question that they might consider issuing a Winter Storm Warning they want to see a few more model runs.
depends on the track of the vort max which should move somewhere from the southern ky pkwy to 1-64. where it tracks totals near 4 inches in 24 hours are a good bet.
12z GFS is still showing a MAJOR ICE STORM for Kentucky next thursday….Central Ky and points north would see a mega ice storm if that run verified…. not good at all
concern still high over an ice storm wed-thu for the region.
Gotta love when the pattern gets real active like this, gotta hate ice storms though
All things constant, folks north of Kentucky River would appear to be the most at rick if the system pans out.
I think they will eventually issue a winter storm warnings for several counties. Just my gut telling me that.
Not only could they be at “rick”, but risk too. Spelly belly.
Low seems to be tracking more south as I speak.
Looks like less totals for everyone and the heavier stuff more extreme east s/e in the new GIS map.
Update coming soon.
See the snow DOME over Louisville. All around is higher than us…I guess we will start tracking the next system up here!!!!
Seriously….Louisville is an island where snow is not allowed.
Wave3 met out of Louisville he updated his blog to include now possible Blizzard conditions for Louisville the storm track his track further south than expected he’s watching this trend right now with the boys from the Louisville NWS if they put a WSW there giving possible totals of 6 inches in the Louisville Metro, as long as the low continues to track further south. Basically the cold air would get here much more quickly with a further south track more wind more snow= growing concerns.
You can’t pay attention to that. Its the overall trend of accumulation. Entire state is in the 2″-4″ range except the mountains.
Yeah, but still going for a general 1-2″ snow amounts around the Louisville area. If the current track holds true, the blizzard conditions would be more for south central Indiana into Ohio. Might as well get used to the idea that the majority of snow will fall from backlash (comma portion of the storm) and snow showers/squalls. With rates of 10:1 or 15:1, a dry snow can pile up pretty fast in a squall. Unless things change dramatically, look for a Winter Weather Advisory for most of the state, except for the west, which will see little and the higher elevations along the VA border which will probably be elevated to Winter Storm Warnings later today.
Awesome!!!!! Thanks for the hard work you put in during these really busy times!!!!! ๐
Here is the 12z GFS snowfall map just out
http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=JKL
WASHOUT
Glad we got CB tracking the Winter storm. The guys in JKL and LMK still no update, no advisory, nothing. Yet advisories and watches posted for most of Tennessee. Just another winter day to these guys LOL
Good to go, Chris ๐
SnowGhost here! I’m back for another Winter! Checking in from snow dome central…Somerset, KY.
LOL I KNOW THIS. THE RUN I POSTED LAST NIGHT LOOKED WAY DIFF. I DIDNT KNOW THE IMAGE WOULD CHANGE LOL. BUT LIKE MY POST SAYS, ZERO CREDIBILITY.
If that were the case, CB should then be upping his totals soon, since that would project an even bigger event as you go east.
Are you messin’ around? ๐
Where is the blog link? Wave3 has 1″ to 2″ as their forecast. Not seeing it.
Forgive me but I only had three hours of sleep last night therefore I am little lazy today. But could somebody tell me if the nam & gfs are in agreement with the track of the storm.
Because 20 to 30 miles difference can have a dramatic effect on snow totals.
http://blogs.wave3.com/
Interesting take, but the blizzard conditions would probably set up in southern Indiana if that was the correct track.
Oh, so Prelude was perhaps adding a little personal interpretation to what Wave mets posted on their blog?
THIS is how rumors get started you know. One person takes the words of another and alters the intent.
Blog link will help me know if this is the case here ๐
Thanks! Looks like Prelude interpreted
a little too much ๐
From the blog:
“The latest tracks, now with more surface and upper air data, have shifted a little bit south. This may increase the forecast snow totals & wind speeds. Some areas nearby could be in near blizzard conditions during the day Sunday”
Key words:
May = maybe
Nearby = Indiana
Nevermind folks, nothing to see here ๐
Just joking with you, Prelude, since I ALMOST got excited. ๐
http://blogs.wave3.com/
There’s the link. KH does mention blizzard conditions, but more for southern IN. Still calling for 1-2″ across the Lou area. Probably a case of wishful thinking LOL
There are so many caveats in that Wave3 blog post, it almost cancels itself out.
If they posted like that with bloggers here, they would be eaten alive :O
The wording of that blog post seems to have the substance of simple sugar ๐
Yeah no kidding. If I’m going to miss blizzard and Heavy snow by 30 miles, might as well be 500 miles. I really didn’t see where the blizzard conditions would affect any of WAVE 3’s viewing area. Let the mets and bloggers in Indy and Columbus worry about that. Blizzard conditions in KY or even far southern IN is a bit unrealistic. Maybe they should be more concerned with flash freezing and the potential for 1-3″ backlash snows, since that’s the most probable scenario. Of course, that’s just my take LOL. BTW, where is everyone today?
More like High Fructose Corn Syrup ๐
LOL, I should have read this better, before posting all the junk below.
All Prelude was doing was giving folks a heads-up too, so I do NOT intend on hurting feelings or being rude. Just joking. Rude free zone.
Winter storm warning for parts of North Central Tennessee, and they run all the way up to the border of Kentucky, but nothing from our NWS offices, except extreme Eastern Kentucky.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mrx/
Which Wed-Thrusday this week coming or next week.
I am going to be traveling from French Lick,IN to Martinsville,IN tomorrow afternoon. Looks like that’s going to be a slow and scary drive!
…The fact is that it doesn’t matter how much snow there is, just so that snow is falling with wind & reduced visibilities to meet criteria. That’s certainly possible (mainly north & east of Louisville) late Sunday & early Monday… It was discussed at the NWS today, but since visibility criteria is marginal it’s not been mentioned at this point…
A blizzard means that the following conditions are expected to prevail for a period of 3 hours or longer…
Sustained wind or frequent gusts to 35 miles an hour or greater; and
considerable falling and/or blowing snow (i.e., reducing visibility frequently to less than ยผ mile).
**Chris, nice job on your blog, as always – especially in big events. after tomorrow all focus will be on Wed/Thurs.**
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