Good Thursday, weather weenies. Normal weather is a thing of the past as another wild temperature swing takes center stage this weekend into early next week. We have everything from gusty winds, mild air and thunderstorms to arctic cold and snow showers. All of that will be wrapped into a 48 hour window.
Temps today will warm into the high 40s and low 50s with a few high clouds streaming in. Those clouds will thicken up on Friday and I can’t rule out a stray shower. Southwesterly winds will really kick up on Saturday as readings make a run toward 60. A small shower chance will be with us again.
Gusty winds will become a bigger player by Sunday as a storm system rolls from the plains into the Great Lakes. That will drag a cold front in here by Sunday night…
Highs will go well into the 60s Sunday as showers and thunderstorms increase in the afternoon and evening. A few strong storms will be possible as wind gusts approach 40mph with the passage of the front.
Temps will take a big tumble on Monday as our readings go from way above normal to well below normal…
Highs Tuesday will be in the 30-35 degree range and may hit the teens again by Wednesday morning. Can this northwesterly wind flow deliver a few flurries or snow showers by Tuesday? It’s a possibility.
I’ve already talked about the Thanksgiving week setup possibly turning wintry. What about December? The latest CFS v2 shows a cold month…
Have a great day and take care.
Seems there could be a lot of cold air this winter compared to last. Question though is does this area stay in the “transition zone” for big events. The transition zone being- most of the bigger systems moisture is gone by the time the cold air gets here.
Will the majority of areas finally buck the trend?
What we need BubbaG is the cold air to get entrenched into the Southern half of the eastern US before the bigger systems arrive. Then we just have to watch for track of the storms. We are all overdue for a cold winter. Hopefully it plays out in our favor….I really can’t recall three straight winter seasons without measurable snow here in Louisville.
I can’t either since Louisville of all places has had measurable snows
For anybody interested, I found this cool device known as the “worlds smallest weather station” that you can connect right into your phone! It can detect wind speed, wind direction, wind chill, temperature, relative humidity, and even pressure! As a weather enthusiast, I’m definitely getting one. Check it out, it’s called the Shaka weather station. Its new and they’ll be shipping the first products in January.
Thanks for the update, Chris. We just can’t seem to get a normal weather pattern around here for some reason. Hopefully, it will make for us maybe getting a good smack down snow at some point this winter. At least we can hope. In the meantime, stray shower on Saturday? How good are those chances? Football game, you know! 😉
Everyone have a great Thursday!
The snow in the shade appears it will make it into a 4th day here in Lawrenceburg.
I think this snow had staying power because of the high water content when it fell, so it was pretty much turned to ice which is harder to melt, still cool for November though!
Unfortunately, the Storm Prediction Center is having increased confidence of severe wx this weekend.
The SPC is now being more blunt in their updated Forecast Discussion by saying that supercell t-storms with a risk for tornadoes will be possible on Sunday for parts of the middle Mississippi Valley and the lower Ohio Valley. Thus, almost all of KY and most of central and western TN could be in the crosshairs.
While the models of course will be tweaked before Sunday, time to get ready now for this potential threat. Among other things, make sure your wx alert radios and other early warning devices are working; this is especially true for those in mobile homes.
Of course, Chris Bailey, other tv mets, the NWS, SPC, etc. will be on top of this potentially dangerous situation.
Yup, Sunday looks potentially ugly. From SPC:
A 90+ KT 500 MB JET STREAK NOSING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY…COUPLED WITH STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY WARM SECTOR 850 MB FLOW…PERHAPS IN EXCESS OF 70 KTS ACROSS PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES…WILL CONTRIBUTE TO VERY STRONG DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS AND SHEAR. IT ALSO APPEARS INCREASINGLY PROBABLE THAT THIS WILL
COINCIDE WITH AN INFLUX OF SEASONABLY HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AT LEAST AS FAR NORTH AND EAST AS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY…CONTRIBUTING TO
SUFFICIENT CAPE FOR VIGOROUS STORM EVELOPMENT. SUPERCELLS WITH A RISK FOR TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE…PARTICULARLY IN EARLY STAGES OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT…PERHAPS AS EARLY AS MID DAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI INTO LOWER OHIO VALLEY VALLEY.
I guess our power will go out- again. Meh.