Good Saturday to one and all. We continue to watch another powerful fall storm system rolling from the plains into the Great Lakes this weekend. This will bring the potential for a high wind and severe weather outbreak to much of our region on Sunday.

Ahead of the severe potential, today’s weather looks pretty good. We will see temps surging well into the 60s on a gusty southwesterly wind. I still can’t rule out a scattered shower going up as the day wears on. Regional radar will help you through the day…

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will begin to develop later tonight as the storm to our west cranks up. This action will likely be around early Sunday before clearing skies take over by early afternoon. Any sunshine we get will help destabilize the atmosphere and that may aid in the development of a line of storms just to our west.

This line looks to come racing eastward during the late afternoon and evening hours. Damaging winds will be the primary threat. There is enough shear to get a quick tornado spin up or two… especially in the west and northwest. It appears the greatest threat for tornadoes may be just to our north, but it will be a very close call.

The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded our region to a MODERATE RISK for severe weather…

That’s pretty ugly and means you really need to stay weather aware Sunday into Sunday evening.

Looking farther down the road… all signs point toward huge changes that may lead to some winter fun and games. Check out the blocking showing up on the GFS Ensembles…

GFS 2That’s pretty darn impressive and can lead to a lot of cold and snow chances later this month and into early December.

I will have updates on the Sunday severe threat as needed. Have a great day and take care.