Good afternoon gang… I will have a new post up and running here in a bit. I have been tied up today with work related issues and am just now getting around to looking at the latest data. Wow… some of the models are getting VERY close to putting us in the line of fire for the weekend storm. Regardless… Sunday through Tuesday is going to be wicked around here with snow, wind and bitterly cold temps.
I will have a fresh update out in a bit. Take care.
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What a way to tease us. 🙂 I was still hoping for snow showers this evening. Can’t wait for the new post, really does sound exciting.
Curious to hear what the latest models are saying….Thank you Chris for all that you do !!!!
Can’t wait to see it. Hope ii snows like crazy but won’t get my hopes up to much
Already know the drill for Somerset. Rain mainly changing to some leftover wrap around snows, MAYBE 1-2 inches at best. Tell me I am wrong Chris.
Can some of you guys explain what its looking like for southeast Ky?
Bring it on, snow,wind,snowdrifts…lol..and a foot of snow…:)
thanks for your weather center chris its the only one i trust. i wish you were back with 27. jrw
I just looked at the 12z gfs forecast for this weekend. It appears it is going to rain for about 22 hours before it turns to snow. The nws in Lou. is going with an inch or less at this time. I have no access to the Canada or the euro model. I do not see what Chris is seeing. I cannot wait to see his update.
nws is down playing the system and a southern track looks likely.
nws is down playing the system and a southern track looks likely.
i can’t wait i have about 95 more hand knit easter bunnies to knit before easter i know I have 4 months to do it in but I could get a lot of them done if i am snowed in for a few days plus I could get that assembly line on them i need haha. bring on the blizzard
along with Chris, Joe bastardi had this to say on his blog just a bit ago!!!
TUESDAY 1 P.M.
WINTER TO WALLOP PLAINS TO APPALACHIANS IN SAT-MONDAY PERIOD.
A monster of a storm is coming, and much of the I-80 corridor from Nebraska to western Pennsylvania may experience periods of closure this weekend or early next week. The storm will be a life threatener for these areas, and while I can’t detail every single flake or gust, suffice it to say, the monster will gather strength on its way east, and severe blowing and drifting and enhanced snow downwind from the Great Lakes over the eastern sections of the area hit will make this one of the wilder pre-Dec. 15 events in many years for the areas hit.
Would a southern route give us a better chance for accumulating snow?
O.K. Your killing us already!!!…lol..
yes we could see a foot if this track happens
now your really stirring the pot!!!!!!!
Sounds more to the north of us. We need about 100 miles more of a push south, unless I am looking at things wrong.
Does Joe work for accuweather. If he does, take what he says with a grain of rock salt.
the blocking is to far north to get a anything to move right for most of KY with this storm. the usual backside 1-3 at best and that be it. WISCONCSIN,michigan up into canada best bet for THE MONSTER snow.
one thing for sure its going be a MONSTER of a SNOWSTORM UP NORTH AND NORTHEAST.
In a strange twist, the GFS is actually the snowiest model of the bunch this time. It takes the low across KY. The Euro, Japanese, etc. take the low well north of us. So if you want snow, cheer for the GFS. And yes, NWS JKL used the “B” word in their last AFD. I told ya’…somebody somewhere closeby is going to get a Blizzard Warning out of this puppy…
henry from accuweather just updated a new map at 2 pm that shows “THE BIG DADDY” including louisville area….wave3 has already gone out on a limb and put amounts of at least 4 to 6 inches and mentioned 12 inches for louisville should DGEX model pan out, its on their blog on wave3.com
E SYSTEM/S COLD FRONT LOOKS TO SWEEP THROUGH QUICKLY SUNDAY
MORNING CHANGING ALL LINGERING RAIN TO SNOW. THIS WILL BE SHARP
TRANSITION TO MUCH COLDER AIR AND SNOW AS THE DEEPENING…ALREADY
DEEP…LOW PASSES THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY WIPING OUT ANY DIURNAL
TEMPERATURE TRENDS DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. A BRIEF DRY SLOT LOOKS
POSSIBLE FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON…BUT THAT WILL LIKELY FILL QUICKLY AS
THE COMMA HEAD/WRAP AROUND AREA FORMS/MAGNIFIES OVER THE REGION IN
RESPONSE TO THE STORM HITTING THE EAST COAST AND LIKELY BOMBING.
ACCUMULATING AND BLOWING SNOW WOULD THEN WALLOP THE REGION THROUGH
THE APPALACHIANS AND WELL WEST TO NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW FALL FOR THE CWA IF
EVERYTHING COMES TOGETHER SIMILAR TO THE 12Z GFS. BUT EVEN IF THE
LESSER ECMWF SOLUTION PANS…OUT EAST KENTUCKY CAN STILL ANTICIPATE
ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOWERS…BITTER WIND CHILLS AND AN ARCTIC AIR
MASS LIKELY COLDER THAN ONE THAT HAS BEEN PLAGUING THE REGION SINCE
SATURDAY. WITH THE UPPER LOW PARKED NEARLY IN PLACE AND CONTINUED
UPSLOPE FLOW ANTICIPATED INTO TUESDAY…SNOW SHOWERS AND BITTER
COLD…ESPECIALLY FOR THIS TIME IN DECEMBER…WILL CONTINUE AS WELL.
Jared…you forgot the most important paragraph …lol…
the one teacher and kids will LOVE..PARENTS WILL HATE!!…
NWS:
COMBINED WITH THIS WEEK…WITH THE WAY IT IS SHAPING UP…MANY KIDS
THROUGH EAST KENTUCKY MAY BE HARD PRESSED TO GET MORE THAN A HANDFUL
OF SCHOOL DAYS IN BEFORE CHRISTMAS. THIS WEEKEND/S SYSTEM AND THE
COLD AIR THAT FOLLOWS DEFINITELY BEARS WATCHING…PARTICULARLY FOR
THOSE SENSITIVE TO THE COLD AND SNOW
Can’t wait to hear your thoughts Chris!! So exciting!!
Based on the NWS Forecast it seems to me that we clearly need to wait for more model runs and let the models come into better agreement one way or the other. It is just way too early to tell where the storm track will be. Just my take!
yea exactly THALFS, its agreat and amazing thing to watch models leading up to BIG DADDYS.
I went from seeing 1 -3 inches this morning to not knowing what the hell going happen as I TYPE for easter/se ky/
I LUV IT!!! er ANDY ROSE AT TIM? I miss BERNIE and VINNY TO!!! get ur tails on the blog.
VINNY SHOULD BE PUMP UP AFTER THIS WEEKENDS STEELERS GAME!!!
That is NOT the real Chris. Fake Chris will soon be banned if he keeps that up.
I do have to say reading/and looking at numerous reports and models this thing is starting to look like a SUPRISE. meaning maybe for once the models come to our liking as we get closer and not the other way around. cant wait till tomm nite and thursday runs and things will bwcome clear.
about JOE BASTARDI, he is a OLD SCHOOL WEATHER guy that has my respect. NO WEATHER MAN is right all the time, but JOE is as good as they come.
Been posting all day my friend! 🙂
the JMA model is OFF DA HOOK!!!
the GFS is indeed looking better with the cold air as well!!!
I know TIM,
Its only Tuesday and I can not believe you already unloading FUD. There are several pieces that have to come together in order for us to get nailed. Considering what the GFS is doing in the upper levels…makes me believe that the surface reflection is suspect. Yeah, its going to snow alright on Sunday. How much? Pure speculation at this point.
I’m afraid I know the answer, but I’ll ask anyway. what are the early thoughts for the Monticello area?
I see there is another KP on the blog. When did that happen? I’m the Bourbon County KP. As for this snow, as long as we don’t get the drifts like we did last February, I’m okay with whatever happens.
Oh, and NO ICE STORM!! 🙂
MJ.. I don’t think it is likley thats actually Chris posting…. He needs to set some form of user registration to prevent people from using his name.
I can’t wait for the update. I want a winter storm and a day home with the kids would be nice. We all move so fast.Snow slows us all down. COME ON SNOW
18z gfs FASTER and weaker with low moving from paducah thru northern ky
You might be right, because the same post was sent a minute later. However, be rest-assured that no one is taking this storm lightly or downplaying it.
Dang moderation. OK, well I see the same post was done a minute later. Just be rest-assured that no one is downplaying this event…as the post suggests.
that run still gives central and east ky. a decent snowfall !!..:)
Considering CB already stated mainly rain for Saturday, which is the bulk of moisture for the system, “big snow” does not appear to be an option.
Folks may be getting hyped for a few inches and zero temps. North KY may get smacked, but not seeming to be the rest of us, unless some dramatic trend south.
Not many posts tonight- seem the moderation issue is killing posting efforts.
I would like to Receive more updates on these