Good Monday afternoon everyone and thanks for all you do for the blog. Snow showers and snow squalls have been common across much of the state this morning and those will continue into the afternoon and evening. The snow is going along with arctic temps that have us in the deep freeze. Oh yeah… make sure you read this entire post. 
The NWS in Jackson has been downplaying the upslope flow for their forecast area for many days now. Well… they are now on board to what we have been telling the folks across southeastern Kentucky… a few to several inches of snow will fall through Tuesday. For this reason… a Winter Weather Advisory is now out for southeastern parts of the state…
A lot of those areas have already picked up a fresh inch or two of snow since Sunday morning. Another 1″-3″ will fall with amounts a little greater than that in the highest elevations.
Any one area across the state can get in on a quick half to one inch of snow through Tuesday as snow showers and squalls will continue. You can track them here…
Remember… snows don’t show up on radar very well to begin with… especially the low moisture content flakes we have out there now.
Temps are the other big story as a lot of areas struggle to get out of the teens this afternoon. Combine gusty winds and it will feel close to ZERO at times.
Current Temps
Wind Chill
As we look toward the weekend… there will be a major winter storm take aim at our region from Saturday through Monday. I am growing more and more confident of a storm that can deliver a wintry mix to possible heavy snow and wind. There is an increasing chance the blog may go into the first Winter Storm Threat mode of the season very soon. Behind this storm may come a major blast of arctic air that could make today look mild.
I will have more updates as needed so check back. Have a great Monday and take care.
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tx CB, right now Models are crazy. euro shoing a GREAT LAKES CUTTER, GFS shows a track right over louisville then it bombs out to the east. anything we get in S AND SE will be on backside of storm IMO, but we got 20 plus model runs left for this BIG STORM to play itself out.
the 12z gfs look NICE though for KY SNOW!!!!
I am so glad that I found this website. I moved from Columbus, Ohio to Salyersville, Ky last year. I started my search for an accurate, fun website to track weather and there is no better website than this. It amazes me at how accurate Chris is. He figures things out faster than the NWS. Thanks Chris for all you do!
I may be dumb for asking this question, but does this storm include Louisville, I keep seeing the line below Louisville.
And Henry with Accuweather has us in the wintry mix area. Ughh, I just want snow!
Chris, Don’t forget your buddies in Central KY
welcome aboard!!!…you’ve found the HOTTEST weather blog!! in the region…one big happy family..lol..alot of us have been here for many years now…so welcome aboard.
Moderate snow falling in my area of knox co. right now it has steadily increased in intensity all morning, got around 1″ or 1.5″ or so on the ground here on “winterwonderland hill”..lol..just enough for the kids to be outside sled riding…:) hope we can get a couple more inches, since they’ve already cancelled school tomorrow in Knox co….:(…lol.
this weekend storm has a ton of juice. right now i like a classic lexington miss with hopkinsville to maysville line points northwest getting mainly snow and a ton of it with area south of their doing freezing rain/mix game and southern and eastern ky doing rain.
GFS model Sunday, looks like we (Louisville) might start out with a mix then finish with a good amount. If its cold enough, we should start and finish with snow. At this point its looking good to way beat the last one we had by a mile. Precip/Temp models for Sunday
http://weather.unisys.com/gfsx/6e/gfsx_pres_6e.html
http://weather.unisys.com/gfsx/6e/gfsx_500p_6e.html
I’m LOVING this track!!!!
Thank you so much RS, I hope its alot.
It’s a nice set up and high end 4-6 inches would not be out of question. I’m a hurricane tracker not a snow tracker so we’ll have to see.
check this run out from the 12z gfs for Dec. 22nd…looks cold and at least snow flying in the air…could be a white christmas this yr..
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_pcp_372m.gif
OOOOOOOOH I love winter threat mode!!
Hey MikeM! How was the parade?
Thanks RS. We love hearing from the NWS Louisville!
Hope the weekend storm takes a track for good snows across the Ohio Valley area! And btw I love the blog and how it is always updated to keep all of us informed with the most accurate and latest weather information! Keep up the great work!!
It is insanely C O L D outside. Even for January standards.
WHEN WILL THE LVILLE NWS BEGIN TO DISCUSS THIS WINTER STORM IN THEIR AFD?
Probably 24 hours before it strikes.
They’re usually very good about discussing future storms. Given the model consistency with this I’d be surprised if it weren’t in their discussion by tomorrow. Just my opinion though.
We just made it up to 6°F (Wind Chill)! Woohoo! Heat wave!
I miss the El Nino years when it stays in the 70s until January.
The NWS in Jackson Ky, is discussing this weekend storm on their Forecast discussion.
THE MOST INTERESTING PART OF THE FORECAST IS SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY. MODELS ARE MORE STRONGLY SUGGESTING A MAJOR STORM SYSTEM
WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ALTHOUGH THE TRACK IS STILL UNCERTAIN…THE
GENERAL CONSENSUS IS FOR A TRACK GOING UP THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS
WOULD BRING RAIN FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY UNTIL THE SYSTEM PASSES. THINK
WE WILL SEE PRECIP SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY…BUT DO NOT WANT TO GO
LIKELY OR CATEGORICAL IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD YET. HAVE HELD MAX POPS TO
50 PERCENT EACH OF THESE PERIODS. ONCE THE SYSTEM PASSES…EXTREMELY
COLD AIR IS EXPECTED TO FLOOD SOUTHWARD. WE COULD SEE SYNOPTIC SCALE
PRECIP CHANGE TO SNOW FOR A TIME BEFORE IT BECOMES MORE CONVECTIVE
AND UPSLOPE IN NATURE BY MONDAY.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/jkl/
lville nws just updated afd with lots of details on this weekend storm saying it will be a mjor storm across the area but still say the low will track toward the lakes, they explain why also, does chris bailey not agree with their explanation?
moderate snow with whiteout conditions has been blowing through knox co. in the past hr or so..picked up 1.5″ of new snow since 2pm!!!! wow…what an impressive snow squall…once again CB nailing it to the wall, with his twitter update!!!
Snow coming down hard and furious here in east Laurel County 1/2 in since this morning I hope the next systems brings more
rain to a tad snow at end as far as the BIG SATORM GOES this weekend for SE EASTERN KY.
once again nothing majior will happen in these parts.
so we are 0 for 1 as far as a BIG SNOW this winter.
Just had a look at the Jackson weather web site looks like bad news for us for this weekend I hope there wrong 50 for a high on Friday wow what a turn around.Chris say it isn’t so..
Measured 7 inches just now, with 2 of those inches falling today.
Rolo before Chris says ne thing about it u r excited about it then he says he might go into winter storm threat and you sour up… What has changed your mind??
I missed the parade this year. Actually was at BLuegrass Hosp and tried to catch the end of it. It started at 4:30 and must not have been very long.
i think he looked into his magic ball…or magic bottle…..he has no idea bout this weekend as much as i do. and thats not much….its just what i read on here..but rolo must own a waffle house…he waffles all the time
Whatever happens, just don’t give us a repeat of Dec. ’04! (Unless the axis of heavy snow moves about 100 mi. to the east!).
I strongly agree with LMK and thouroughly enjoyed reading their FD. The funny thing about this storm is that areas in northern indiana that are getting 10-20 inches of lake effect snow now are probably going to get even more snow from this storm. This is fairly typical….1-3” snow work well for ky but this thing is so massive its going really hammer alot of people from central missouri into the northern ohio valley and lower lakes. i may go snowstorm chasing for this one 🙂
I give em’ opening their blinds to see whats happening… OOHHH! I’m thinking outloud again. For the record I called this six days ago… I’m just saying and I’m a lawn guy. HHAAAA, haaaa,ha!!!
I love reading this blog in the winter, thanks to all who make it interesting and Chris Bailey for keeping us well informed. I was just wondering, how is the storm this weekend suppose to play out for Laurel Co? I cannot read the maps and don’t understand any of the jargon contained on them, I would appreciate the help in gaining some understanding, thanks.
Just woderin Tim, where did you hear there was no school in knox co 2marro? I havent heard it yet & havent seen it yet!!
He is pesimistic about many winter storms, however, how many times in the last decade has a MAJOR snow event hit central ky?? I could count the amount of times on one hand. We will get snow out of this system, but for LEX and most of central and eastern kentucky it will be light accumulations with higher totals in southeastern ky as the lake effect and higher snow ratios kick in as the low moves eastward. This far out there is no way to predict specifics and amounts for this weekends system.
i know ONE THING, its cooooooooooooooooooooooooooooolllllld.
glad I went out of the goat and pony buisness. one less worry in thisweathar.
a stroll down memory lane, watch the 87 title game, how many of u remember BOXHEAD RAWLINGS number 54 for the CLAY COUNTY TIGERS?
Will the snow showers pop up out of nowhere or will they be seen on radar? Correct me if I’m wrong but it looks to be only snowing south of Johnson County….is this true?
dude i am number 54
lord why do u rednecks give a fellow redneck hwll over posting his thoughts, I just tell it like it is from a novice perspective. now iof u live in the northern part of state and westward along the river u might get a DECENT STORM.
the fact is my AREA, S/SE KY will not get no majior SNOW this weekend.
geesh. now as we get closer the NW trend begins and we as in S/SE KY will get the upslope snow behind the system. hey 1-3 inches floats ur boat, then that awesome. I BE VERY,VERY happy for ya.
now redneck ole ROLO all u want to, I post what im thinking/seeing and im sorry if it wrinkles ur tail feathers ok.
now on a side note, for a 6-6 team KENTUCKY comes out great, we play on JAN 8TH at noon vs pittsburg. the ONLY College game that day. GREAT FOR RECRUITING on NATIONAL TV. uk 34 -pitt 13.
you can see it now on tv.
Rolo I love what you have to say just keep your thoughts a coming i have learn on this blog you don’t have to say much to get in trouble……..
Welcome aboard! And I totally agree with you about Chris!
Rolo, I also love to hear what you have to say!!! Keep on talking my friend!