Good Monday everyone. Today is usually a day when many of us have a long Thanksgiving holiday weekend hangover. Between the days off work and the tryptophan from the turkey still racing through our veins…  we need a little excitement to get keep us awake. It looks like mother nature is going to provide us with a weather wake up call in the coming days.

Low pressure will be winding up to our west later today on it’s way toward the western Great Lakes for Tuesday. This will pull in some deep moisture ahead of a strong cold front that will swing in here during the same time. Showers will increase later today across the west and a few of those will work across the state later tonight. A line of showers and thunderstorms will develop along the front and will come racing eastward Tuesday into Tuesday evening. Heavy rains will be likely with this line and most of the state will pick up a general 1″-2″ of rainfall. The GFS looks the part…



That is another good soaker that will push our rain totals for November into the above normal range for just about everyone. That will be an impressive feat considering how dry things have been the past several months.

Cold air will come racing in behind the front Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning and this is likely to change the rain over to a period of snow. This will especially be the case the farther east you live. Snow showers and flurries would then swoop in here for the day Wednesday.

While this isn’t a big deal… I decided to put together a map to show how I expect it to all play out in terms of the flakes…



I will update that a few more times between now and then so make sure you check back.

Here is the GFS snowfall map for those interested…



Wednesday will see temps struggling to get much above freezing for most of central and eastern Kentucky. Gusty winds will make it feel like its in the low and middle 20s for much of the day.

The action may not stop there as I am keeping my eye on a sneaky little system for later Thursday into Friday. This may bring a period of light snow and flurries in here during this time. The European model has been gung ho on this for a few runs now and it is beginning to show up on the GFS, as well.

In the longer run… we find some issues with how the models are handling things. Shocking! Some models like the European bring a system across our region this weekend into early next week. This would be a mix/rain to snow setup for this area. The GFS does not have this feature and instead tries to bundle everything into a big storm for the early and middle part of next week. While I think there is a very good chance we get a big storm across the eastern part of the US toward the middle and end of next week.. I don’t think it comes about the way the GFS is showing it.

Here is how the European looks for both systems…



The possible big daddy…



This should be fun to watch play out. As I said… mother nature is going to going to keep us awake a lot in the coming weeks.

Have a great Monday and take care.