Good Monday, weather weenies. The fast start to winter continues as we tracking another light snow system into the state later tonight and Tuesday. This is all part of a very harsh winter pattern for much of the country. I continue to see a pattern ripe with cold and snow chances through Christmas.
We have some troubles before we get to tonight’s light snow. Freezing drizzle is likely in several areas to begin the day and this may cause additional travel troubles. With temps dropping below freezing across the central and west, slow down and take it easy while driving.
Current temperatures
The next wave of moisture approaches the state quickly later tonight into early Tuesday. This will be a fast moving system that will be primarily light snow for all. How much falls depends on the speed and placement of the heaviest axis. The NAM continues to show the best chance…
The GFS is a bit more disjointed with the moisture…
I can see this putting down a couple of inches and prompting another round of Winter Weather Advisories for many. A snow map should come your way later today. Yippee.
This will be followed by an arctic front that arrives later Wednesday. The air behind this continues to show up colder and colder on the models. I see the GFS high for Lexington is now at 23 degrees for Thursday. If there’s snow on the ground… watch out out!
We have another weekend system to track and we will have to keep an eye on the phasing potential with this one. Updates on that coming later today, too.
I mentioned things beyond that were getting my attention. The pattern for next week into Christmas has a ton of potential for huge cold shots and big snow events across the country and our region. Check out the evolution of this deep trough on the European Ensembles for early next week…
That’s pretty darn wicked and a heck of a winter signal with a negatively tilted trough axis. The same run goes on to show this for the weekend leading up to Christmas…
This is a heck of a winter pattern going on across the good old USA.
Enjoy the day and take care.
This will produce a good snow in EKY and SEKY.. Lex will be try
Dry… As in not much to talk about lol
Hi Lincoln! Would be nice for southern KY to see some snow. We have seen barely any so far, so a good ground covering would certainly be welcome. But I just don’t get my hopes up too much because then if it should snow, it will be a pleasant surprise. 😉
How bout sending some snow to Athens tn…for this former ky. Boy…lol. .
You can have my sloppy slush if it snows here :p
After all these days of rain, a touch of snow would be nice. Have a great day everyone!
Hey are those blue, purple and white colors that blowtorch that one guy who complains all the time was talking about?
No its not January yet
That’s me, and yes, the blowtorch is coming. Mark my words, January temps will be well above normal for the area.
Your about the only one thinking that
What a joke. He says just wait til January for the blowtorch. Lol. Only way you are going to get burned this January is if you stand too close to the fire. They have TROLL written all over than. Mr blowtorch, this is the Freeze Misor. I’ll see your blowtorch and raise you 2 icebergs! Touche!!!
Them (not than). I can’t type. Must have been blinded by the January Blowtorch! Sounds kinda like the name of a wrestler. Maybe we can set up a match between the January Blowtorch and the Swath monster. All proceeds can go to charity.
That’s ok, I’ll be here all throughout January to remind you of the big blowtorch that we will be experiencing. And, for what it’s worth, December isn’t really setting the history books on fire. The wintry precip has mostly been focused on north central KY, where it always, and where is the cold air??? This is absolutely wimp stuff compared to the December of 2000. Now that’s true winter weather. Anyways, I digress, the blowtorch warmth is only a few weeks away. Don’t cry, but I told you fellow weather weenies so.
I for one hope you are right about a warmer than usual January considering the alternative her in SW KY will be cold 33 degree rain. I’ll be more than happy to see a warmer month if it also comes with significantly less rainfall.
I know what you mean. Our backyard is just a sponge with standing water in places. If this the future of winter here, I’m moving, LOL.
Actually Bryant,I hope you are right and I’m wrong. Heck,I can’t even get it to snow at my house. I do have some outside chores to do,so I hope your right. Maybe for a week at least. Seriously, where are you getting your information from?
really, above normal snow……. remember the first snow for parts of the state we’re recorded back in October. You’ve go to be insane
Kind of curious about the weather system tonight since there hasn’t been much talk about it. TWC says only a dusting can be expected in Lex. Any new news on tonight’s system?
Wow! We actually get the chance to see some snow falling instead of heavy rain? Now, that would be a switch, for sure! (A nice one, I might add) Sounds like fun and games are ahead, for sure. Whether we get snow for Christmas or not (and a Christmas snow would be nice) it is sure gonna FEEL like Christmas anyway, with the cold temps. Thanks, Chris. already looking forward to the next update, to see what you are THINKING may happen! 😉 Have a great, safe Monday, everyone!
It is snowing in Burgin.. not showing on the radars.
Buenos dias, todo el mundo. Gracias, Chris for keeping us informed.
Interesting how much of the country is cold.
It’s often that the east is warm and west cold – or vice versa. But this pattern has had much of the lower 48 being frigid except for the far southeast. While we are having wintry conditions here, normally warm places like Phoenix and even Death Valley are forecast to have lows below freezing in the 20s. The wx sure has not been boring as of late 😉 .
True, but a few days ago I thought it was forecasted to be REAL COLD this week…KYT 7 day …I personally wouldn’t call that REAL COLD.
http://gray.ftp.clickability.com/wkytwebftp/NEW7DAY-HD600_WEB.jpg
So the bait for “a pattern ripe with cold and snow chances through Christmas”….I don’t BUY! Maybe for 1/2 the state, but Madison Co. Has been so RIPE, its now ROTTEN!
POSITIVE SIDE: WHO DEY BABY!!!!
they have warmed the temps but it “should” have been expected as the snow cover that the models were depending on did not show
Stand out in the cold rain for a half hour, or do I like I did on Saturday, go hiking back in the Laurel county section of the Daniel Boone with my Labrador, then you might get cold. other than that, it’s the usual hype and shock and awe.
compared to normal temps for this time of year for late fall..yes I would consider that “real cold”
66.9% of U.S. with snow cover as of December 9. Highest percentage since 2005 when over 58% was covered on this date. It was easily the highest percentage within the last 10 years.
Be that as it may, it doesn’t change the fact that at my house we currently have 0% snowcover…;-)
Seems like with every storm system that sweeps across the country, the fence line between rain and frozen precip is draped right through the middle of KY.
tonite system looking week, but iff the upper low up NWEST is what supposed to intensify the light snow just to our west. not sure it catches up
Andy correct the temp depend on snowcover, if we get 2-3 incjhes tonite and in morn we get down to low teens at nite
what u expect Bailey to say the BLOWTOTRCH is coming for rest of month. themn there be 200 hits not 200,000 like he trrecieved other day.
trying make Jan look like it might even be cold when he winter outlook said a WARM JAN.
What does he gain by all of the hits on this page? It’s not like he has a thousand pop up ads or side bar ads that are paying him thousands every month. He runs this site not because he has to, but because he wants to put out the weather for all of us to read and discuss. The way some of you act, #1 I’m not sure why you even come here if you think it’s so “hyped” all the time. You obviously are smarter than anyone here, so why waste your time? And #2 by the way some of you act I wouldn’t blame Chris for shutting down this site and leaving us with nothing.
And while I’m at it, Rolo, you are the biggest hype machine of anybody here. Everytime there is a chance for snow in the forecast, you come on here preaching about how it’s going to be an “old skool” storm and we’re all gonna get a load of snow. Then 30 minutes later you come back and said sorry folks all rain, nothing to see here. So for you to say all Chris does is hype is like the pot calling the kettle black!
Rolo is a veteran of the boards, his nickname is Rolocoaster, but he’s like the rest of us, we’ve seen true winter storms hit Kentucky, and what we’re getting “aint” old “skool.” LOL
yea JAN will be average ore towards 40 degrees instead of freezing.
It’s true that this week’s cold was described a couple weeks ago by some maps as “frigid” and I saw words like “near zero” being thrown around, but now that we’re here, a few days with highs in the twenties do not a cold snap make. If the rest of this winter plays out like last week, PLEASE let me have the “blowtorch warmth.”
Exactly
Nice to see I have some folks who agree with me. Guys/gals, there has not been a true sustained arctic outbreak in years, maybe decades. These models are useless junk when it regards winter weather. And, no that’s not a knock on Mr CB, as you are only good as the tools that you’re given. I reiterate, a few days in the 30’s does not make a true cold outbreak. The warmth rules again.
I hope eastern and south eastern KY gets their snow tonight, some folks down that way really freeking out on their lack of snow, Frankfort still has about 1 inch of Ice and snow on the ground, models are showing a split band of snow north and one south east, deck duster here tonight?
You mean snow is going to go north of cky and south of cky..What?????
You don’t say
DOME I guess?
Below is forecast discussion from NWS Jackson. 1-3 inches of snow.
.UPDATE…
ISSUED AT 1130 AM EST MON DEC 9 2013
15Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS THE PESKY BOUNDARY JUST TO THE EAST OF THE
CWA WITH SOME LINGERING DRIZZLE STILL DOTTING EAST KENTUCKY THIS
MORNING. ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF WAVES IS POISED TO RIDE UP THIS FRONT
AND SPREAD PRECIPITATION BACK OVER EAST KENTUCKY. THE MODELS HAVE
BEEN COMING IN HEFTIER WITH THIS EVENT OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS AND
SEEM TO BE NOW ON TRACK FOR AN ADVISORY LEVEL SNOW FALL ACROSS OUR
CWA STARTING AFTER MIDNIGHT AND LASTING THROUGH NOON. HAVE UPDATED
THE POP/WX AND SNOW AMOUNT GRIDS TO REFLECT THIS UPTICK. ALSO NOTE
THAT THE HIGHER RESOLUTION NAM12 IS SUGGESTING A BIT OF A WARM NOSE
AROUND 725 MB EARLY IN THE ARRIVAL OF THE PCPN SO THAT SOME SLEET
WILL BE A POSSIBILITY AT ONSET. WILL BE ISSUING AN ADVISORY FOR THIS
EVENT SHORTLY HIGHLIGHTING THE SNOW AMOUNTS FROM 1 TO 3 ACROSS THE
AREA GENERALLY…WITH SOME LOCALIZED AMOUNTS NEAR 4 INCHES. THE
HIGHEST AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO OUR SOUTHEAST ZONES.
OTHERWISE…THE CURRENT FORECAST FOR TODAY/S WEATHER IS ON TRACK SO
MADE ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO OUR NEAR TERM GRIDS…MAINLY TO TAPER OFF
THE DRIZZLE QUICKER. UPDATES TO THE ZONES AND A WSW WILL BE ISSUED
SHORTLY…GRIDS HAVE ALREADY BEEN SENT TO THE NDFD AND WEB SERVERS.
Yep the models have been stronger but who can trust these things..On a side note when we get a tweet about Garth Brooks back on tour it don’t look good for winter weather ahead IMO..lol
Makes me reminisce of the 1990’s, when ole Garth would come to lexington, I was thinner and Kentucky got the big ticket storms. Now it’s all hype and more hype.
South east KY here comes your chance WWA 2-4 inches tonight!
lol..GFS in the long long range showing -24 degree’s on the 23rd right on top of Ky..
Better than nothing, Todd. Ankle biters is all we get, but oh well, beats the flooding rains that we’ve had. I took our Lab out hiking in the Daniel Boone here in laurel county, and was amazed at how the creeks were swollen, even the tiny drainages had turned into torrential streams. With that, the dark cloudy skies, moss, ferns and hemlocks, it felt like we were hiking in Oregon.
Teacher’s singing Haleluya…
Won’t take much to shut em down here. Just a good spit in the road wil shut Jackson and Clay down
What does it look like for areas like Lex tonight into tomorrow morning?