Good Tuesday to one and all. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the increasing prospects for a period of snow across much of the state for Thursday night into Friday morning. This is something we have been talking about for a while and things appear to be coming together for just that.
A STRONG cold front blows through here during this time and much of the precipitation looks to be along and just behind the front. The models are finally catching on to just how cold this air behind the front really is and show it catching up to the precip shield. That means a rapid change to a period of snow from west to east.
The NAM is on board…
Don’t get too caught up on the snow map as that will change from run to run. What it is saying, though, is the cold air is going to catch the rain and change it to snow. It may actually snow hard for a few hours in some areas. The ground is warm so accumulation would be hard to come by. That said… if it snows hard enough… it could coat some elevated surfaces as temps will likely plunge to below freezing by Friday morning.
I will have another update later tonight so check back then. Have a great evening and take care.
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There that forecast is much better. We may see some snow yet
Here’s the NAM output valid 5AM Friday:
http://ready.arl.noaa.gov/data/forecast/grads/nam/panel2/plt22.gif
And here is the surface temp. valid 5AM Friday:
http://ready.arl.noaa.gov/data/forecast/grads/nam/panel6/plt22.gif
Looks like a rain/snow mix on the NAM right now. Man, check out that temp. gradient though!
Precip. type valid 8AM Friday:
http://ready.arl.noaa.gov/data/forecast/grads/nam/panel9/plt23.gif
NAM isn’t as aggressive with this system as GFS though. I wouldn’t live and breathe by this run.
Does this also mean parts of southern Indiana(French Lick) could see some snow showers Thanksgiving night?
Does this also mean parts of southern Indiana (French Lick) will see some snow shower activity Thanksgiving night?
Nothing to do now but wait and see what the next three runs bring together. By tomorrow afternoon the models should have a good handle on this system.
Flurries. We’re talkin’ bout flurries. Flurries, people. We’re talkin bout’ flurries.
I HEAR THE TRAIN A COMIN’!!! ITS COMIN ROUND THE BEND!!…SO DON’T LET IT CATCH YOU ” WITH YA PANTS ON THE GROUND” !!!!….LOL>>:)<<<<....LOL!!!! WHRE IS ROLO AT SOMEBODY NEEDS TO WAKE HIM AND BILLY THE GOAT UP!!! OR THEY MAY MISS THE SNOW TRAIN!!…
Oh I have to post this just for the FUN OF IT because tomorrow it will be different…lol…
My accuweather 15 day forecast for Sunday night dec. 5th: SNOW 4.1″ low of 25. Monday dec. 6th: SNOW 8.4″ high 36. Mon. night SNOW 0.6″ low of 17. so lets see hmmmm that would be a grand total by Tuesday morning Dec.7th of…almost (((( 13″ )))) of snow!!!…LOL…boy thats wishful thinking…lol..tomorrow it will be sunny and 50 for the same period…lol..
Has anyone else noticed that CB seems to give more updates throughout the day whenever the word snow is mentioned? I don’t mean lots of snow, just snow period. 🙂 I think someone is excited that his favorite season is here. Keep up the good work.
So, do we go with the gfs or the nam? I had a dream about this event a couple of weeks ago. Had a friend lost in a snow storm trying to get to my house for Thanksgiving. Could it be coming true? One has to wonder. Thanks for all you do Chris. GO CATS!!!!!
just for the fun of it..the 15 day accuweather forecast is giving 13″ of snow for Dec. 5-6th…LOL…tomorrow it will be sunshine and 50…:) gotta love those 2 week away snowstorms…already showing up…
Sure thing, you gotta love ’em. However, Frank Straight did mention a big snowstorm showing up on the models around the 5th of December. hmmmmm…..
Well, could we actually see our first snowflakes of the season on Friday? What a wonderful way to get into the Holiday mood! Too bad I will be spinning my wheels at work 🙁 Friday AND Saturday….oh well, I can watch it snow, if it does, and still enjoy it.
As for the storm on the 5th of December…that is waaaay too far ahead to be wondering about now. I will take it as it comes, and see what happens…
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