Good Thursday afternoon. The day started off on a super duper cold note with lots of teens and single digits. We even had our first sub-zero reading of the year…
That’s some cold stuff!
The next system is still on schedule to work into the state late Friday into Friday night. This will have rain and snow with it and there could be enough snow for a quick slushy accumulation at the start. Here’s the GFS snowfall through Saturday morning…
The best chance for some slush will be across the north. Even there, a switch to light rain is likely on Saturday. That goes back over to light snow Saturday night with snow showers for Sunday.
In my last post, I talked about the growing chance for major cold for Christmas week into the New Year. For fun… look at the numbers from the European Ensembles controlled run for Christmas Eve morning…
Ouch!
Have a good one and take care.
Brutal cold without snow is worthless. I bet the south gets a good snow with that setup. The storm track will be suppressed. If it stays that cold then warms up enuf to rain…..I am done with this garbage. Bring on spring!!!!
Look another complaint winner winner chicken dinner
Where? Stating an opinion or fact is not complaining.
“Brutal cold without snow is worthless”
“I am done with this garbage”
Sounds like complaining to me. This blog would be so much better without the Andy Rose’s, Bubba G’s, Bryants, etc. that act like they know everything and always complain. They should start their own blog if they think this is so easy. Keep up the good work Chris!
YOU’RE a towel!
I bet you like Nickleback.
http://www.livememe.com/i98a15t
Andy, read what Joe T said. ( Im done with this garbage bring on spring.) I sound like a broken record saying this but here it goes anyway for the people who have selective reading or hearing. IT’S STILL FALL NOT WINTER!! There are some people on here that are done with winter before it even gets here, incredible!
prelude, the broken record is common here so it is ok. No snow, just a cold rain. And when the cold gets here the moisture is gone. And the dome and the fences will set up.
As for cold I will say that all the forecast I saw for an above average November and December temperatures wise is are not holding up. Seems we have been below normal for a while. And if all these cold temperatures hold, even if they are not quite as cold as early forecasts, it will still be colder than normal. Thinking the snowpack building up across a lot of the country is having effect on the air staying colder as it moves south. Might be something to look at for January and February which are usually the worst winter months here. But weather is so unpredictable. Could be 70’s today and snow knee deep tomorrow.
That is part of the broken record too, “It is still fall not winter”. 😉
THEN the snow for most folks comes in sparing batches and we wonder why most system moisture falls before freezing temps hit. All part of the same collection of broken records.
Supertramp had a song about it. It’s Raining Again.
We need to update to CDs or MP3 🙂
go away…and I am buying the Nickelback Double set CD for christmas. Great band.
I have no response for such a vile purchase. You have truly lowered the bar.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meteorological_winter
Cloud-cover in Knox County meant this morning was not as cold as yesterday morning, but it’s got plenty of bite today. Only 31 degrees with 5mph winds out of the south at 12:30.
Thanks CB for the update. I wonder if the southeast ridge will still be in place during Xmas. If so storms will continue to track up the apps and not south and up the east coast. I see a very wintery pattern setting up for the end of the month. Will have to go through possible thunder storms end of next week. Blowtorch highs in the 60’s. Hope this weekend system is an overachiever.
I don’t think those temps will verify without a snowpack. Look at the difference the snow covered ground made this morning.
Hoepfully we get snow on Christmas! Also I think Chris should do Podcasts or video forecasts. I think that would be cool. I enjoy this blog a lot and read what you crazy weather people have to say everyday 😉 Thanks for all you do Chris!
Well the models made a drastic shift from a couple days ago where they were showing “Blowtorch” temps leading up to Christmas..Now cold cold and very cold…Models have been doing this a lot..Shows a heat wave then backs off..If we can keep an active southern stream we could get lucky with a system running up the apps…This pattern is ripe right now for the Ohio valley, we just need something to develop and the ridge out west to retrograde a little more to the east..Would be a shocker to me if someone in the Ohio valley don’t get a big snowfall before before the middle of Jan with this type of pattern
We need this low Friday night to track about 75 miles further south to get KY a decent snow, as of now it looks like the snow packed fields of Indiana and Ohio get richer!
Come on Mother Nature spread the snow love, some folks are hogging all of it!
Don’t worry Todd–Clipper Mania is coming to a city near you! Those have been our best snows. I still remember March 4, 2012–the biggest snow I’ve seen since March of 2008.
March snows have been the best for the last few winters, sadly they melt the following day though!
That’s the only problem. But they are beautiful snowfalls! I think the one in March 2012 may have been the best “snowman” snow I’ve ever seen.
Interesting take from Dr. Postel of TWC on this weekend storm, he just showed a computer model run that has most of ky in snow for the majority of this event, northern half 1-3 inches, he said the system will get colder as in moves from Missouri into KY, Indiana, Ohio!
I’m sure this will change but interesting that they have a more optimistic chance of snow than the local METS are saying at this time!
Models struggle with artic air and try to scour out to quickly. Tomorrow will be interesting see how cold it gets tonight see how much sun we all get before clouds increase. Temps tomorrow are forecast to be in the upper 30’s to lower 40’s for highs. If clouds build in quicker temps will struggle to get out of the 30’s. I agree if temps don’t recover quick enough tomorrow especially for the areas that have a snow pack I can see it staying a all snow event of 1-3 inches.
Alright well its pretty obvious we can’t all agree on the winter aspect of weather. However being that said that we can agree that the summer months in the Ohio Valley can be hazy hot and humid. Can I get a amen? Or a hot tub either one works.
As an ordained minister, I’ll give you an amen–and an agreement I do not like summer.
We need to get some cheese to go along with all the whine on this blog.
The January blowtorch will spare no one, not even the northern kentuckians and Louisvillians who frequent the blog. Prepare for an early spring and 60 degrees in January. it’s coming.
Seems you have a 50% chance of being right…a long-range weather model and a couple bucks will buy you a cup of coffee. So, if we have a colder than normal January, what are you going to say?
Spring in January? Even in 2012–which was one of the warmest January’s on record–we had days on end of windy, cloudy days. I didn’t see any trees bloom either? Now, later that year we had an extraordinary warm spell in Mid-march (80’s for highs, 60’s for lows) and that did bring an early Spring. Do you really think we will get true spring weather in January?
Yes, from reading the big dog pro mets, we can expect record highs quite frequently in January, with prolonged stretches of dry weather. I say bring it on, it beats cold rain, flooded yards and watching the upper Ohio valley get the good stuff.
I’m not a betting man but I’m going to track this. Here are the warmest January’s on record for Lexington (by average temp)
43.9 (1890)
43.7 (1950)
42.7 (1932)
42.5 (1935)
42.2 (2006)
I would say we don’t crack the top 5
This isn’t facebook or a sports blog.
Thank you weather pastor Bryant for that enlightening message. Even though I think its just a bunch of hippity hoop la.
I find it incredible that all these Negative Nellies apparently have nothing better to do with their time than to criticize someone who uses his time productively. If the forecasted weather doesn’t happen in their backyards, the whining begins! That’s about as far as they can see, I reckon.
http://i.imgur.com/xTAOKyY.jpg
Frankfort has had snow on the ground for 6 days in a row with a little more snow on the way, if it survives any rainfall some of this might be their for a second week, last time snow lingered that Long in December probably 1989?
This similar to December 1989. I think we never had 3 or 4 inches of snow at once. When the real arctic air came, it dropped us to near -20!
This season Richmond has had snow on the ground for a total of about 6 hours. That 1/4 inch hung tough, fought like a man and finally succumbed to mother sun…
Asking for a large thumping snow in Kentucky is like asking for palm trees/cocoanut trees in Kentucky. The climate just does not (or no longer) bears that type of product. What amazes me is that people still believe there is a high chance for an unbelievable thumping, mulitiple times a winter (hyperbole). Although I will say that nothing is impossible, it just doesn’t seem like, meterologically, that large snows are not the product of winter here. When I see people complain about “the dome”, or “same ole’ KY,” or whatever, to me its like saying, “Same old summers, why can’t we grow cocoanuts, (or pineapples, or some other tropical fruit.)” The climate is not reiable to produce those outcomes.
I say all that, to say lets enjoy the weather we have, and not worry about the weather we can’t have.
Well, you have to admit that there are times even in past decades where the winters were mild. In years before those times there where big snows and in times after. Seems like weather is my cyclical. So the climate could once again produce those things. Look at the snow in the plains and the fall weather so far. I have watched weather across the country for years and it seems that the snow has been a little low in a lot of places, maybe the cycle we are in. Not so much this fall and temperatures as well have already been pretty low in a lot of places. That snow could have an affect more far reaching by keeping the air much colder as the fronts sweep south. Just have to wait and see.
The ones who keep being negative……….Just look at it as therapy to them. Just people bummed venting their frustrations……:)
Ohio Valley winter is hard to take. Little snow, almost always cloudy and dreary. I for one enjoyed the sunshine today. I say soak it up. Three solid weeks of a persistent cloud bank is coming to a town near you soon!
NWS in Louisville put a special weather statement out, saying basically they don’t have a good hold on the low level cold air yet as the next system comes in, across the river in southern Indiana Winter weather advisory going up, will they move it south??
Winter weather advisory for Harrison County Indiana just received the text.
Tracking another winter system again and its not even winter im starting to lose count.
Maybe with one of these “winter” systems will actually deliver snow to the majority and make people happy.
How much of the state had snow? Seems like everyone I know had snow with the last few storms at some point and they are pretty scattered across the state. I understand not everyone did but there are a lot of people in those areas that did. Some of those areas are pretty big. Saw some snow cover maps and it seems like a decent portion of the state had snow on the ground.
Couple of snow cover maps I saw from today:
http://www.weather.com/maps/maptype/currentweatherusnational/uscurrentsnowcover_large.html
http://www.intellicast.com/Travel/Weather/Snow/Cover.aspx
Don’t know how good those are good but they follow with what I saw in the NOAA maps. And yesterday the NOAA maps showed even more coverage for KY: http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/snow_model/images/full/Midwest/nsm_depth/201312/nsm_depth_2013121105_Midwest.jpg
We (the collective users) should have a wager and make this more interesting.
If there’s snow on the ground where people live on Christmas day, then they do not post anything remotely negative until Jan 1st. If there isn’t snow on the ground where they live, the ‘Stepfords’ around here agree to stop complaining about the complaining until Jan 1st.
Personally, though I do sometimes poke fun, I enjoy seeing both perspectives as it makes this place much more interesting to read.
that would make a great bet!!!
Sorry guys, I couldn’t convince the “Northern KY snow fence guys” to not put up the fence again. ;-p They constructed it along the north side of 71 to Trimble County before crossing it back over into Indiana north of Louisville this time, and then up to the 71/75 split and straight east from there into southern Ohio. They don’t want anyone below that getting snow just yet. 😉 LOL
Still have pretty good cover at my house in Burlington, looks like it will be filled back in and built back up on Saturday. Sending snowfall wishes south to you all.
I had snow on snow this week and am forecast to get more snow tomorrow night on top of that. Snow on snow on snow?! Don’t remember the last time that happened. Not trying to rub it in for those of you who haven’t seen much white, but I gotta believe a “winter” starting out like this will eventually give all of KY a snow thumping.
I’ll go on a limb and say the NWS in Louisville will include the county’s that border the Ohio River in the WWA by tomorrow evening if not before
wow! things got a little crazy in here while i was away.
a lot of posts for a quite weather day…
sure was cold this morning, hope we get a few shots at snow in the next week or two.
Something I noticed. Since early this week, confidence has been really high for whatever happens to change to all rain Saturday ….
So think about that…….That’s like five days out….yet confidence is that high……
If there were a winter storm potential five days out, you know how horribly low the confidence would be.
I’ve followed this blog for the last 4-5 years. Used to be, there would be quite a few posts regarding model output and various other prognostications. I believe there were even some actual mets that posted. Unfortunately, I believe those folks have moved on to other blogs/sites due to the negativity of this one. Shame. I miss them.
Some of them got banned due to them bashing Chris on his own blog.