Good Sunday, folks. We have a few flakes flying by today as colder air pours into the bluegrass state. I will have a longer update coming for you guys a little later today, but I wanted to drop by for some thoughts to get you started out.
We have a couple of snow showers and flurries working across central and eastern Kentucky today. This action will be more prominent early in the day and may put down a rooftop duster or two. Highs today will range from the mid 20s in the north to the low 30s in the south.
Your friendly tracking toys…
Current temperatures
Watch for some slick spots early in the day.
A fast moving disturbance sweeps in from the northwest later tonight and Monday morning. This may produce a swath of light snow and flurries as it dives in. The GFS shows this well…
Another weak system crosses the Ohio Valley on Tuesday and we will need to see how far south the light snow can get with that one.
After a mild up later in the week… the winter battleground returns for next weekend. I will get into that with an update coming later this afternoon.
Enjoy the day and take care.
Chris I have lost all faith in winter weather its not your fault weather is just silly
Exactly….This would be wonderful if it ever panned out. These “models are underplaying the cold” and phantom snow showers are nuts.
What happened to the maps that showed snowfall on Sunday for all of Ky.? They vanished just like all the others lol. It’s really getting old.
NWS in Jackson saying just heavy rain this weekend. They have been right 100% so far this winter weather season. Hard to go against them when we have been forecast 4-6 inches or 3-8 inches so far in this very early winter season. ( Even though we are not in winter yet.) Meteorology suggests we have been in winter for 15 days now and the NWS has the upper hand. Bailey is foremost my #1 source of weather though. Love the blog. I know locales are impossible to forecast, but the snowfall totals so far have been an epic fail. So far, as a regular viewer and a regular commuter, I have to say the NWS has done a way better job forecasting the totals. Less Hype and more realism. Not to say more than one areas were forecast correct. Im just saying, according to the blog, we should’ve had 2 or more 3 inch plus events in harlan county and have seen so much as a dusting so far.
Moved up a few days and now showing a washout..Maybe we can get some good thunderstorms…If its gonna rain at least give us thunder..
Thanks Chris for the update.
We’ll I guess the blog will go into cool down mode for the next few days. Give everyone a chance to pack away there winter clothes and pull out the spring time gear. Sharpen the mower blades and condition then trimmer. The blowtorch is a coming and we better get prepared. Oh yeah don’t forget your waders, going it need them next week.
Waders gave been out since the flood last week 😉
Bjenks give it a break good grief. Its still fall beginning of winter is this Saturday. Give up on winter before winter arrives??? Yeah might hit 60 on Friday, good its been pretty cold and wintery the past 10 day’s. Temps are going to fall once again this coming up weekend and into Christmas with more wintery precipitation. This whole blow torch theory that Bryant has instigated is ridiculous and a shame that alot of you guys have bought into.
Bjenks what’s your theory behind giving up on winter before winter begins? Is it because some has missed the autumn snows the last couple of weeks? Anybody getting snows this early in the season it’s considered a bonus.
Prelude….sorry but I was just being condescending. It is what many other people on here do so I figure I would just join in. If you have read my past posts you will see many of times where I have stated cool down people it is only fall. Give winter a chance. Also stated that we will have a very wintery pattern over the next several weeks (after the T-storms later this week).
Believe me I am the last person on this site that has written off a winter that has not even begun. THINK SNOW!!!
Any snow before January 1 is a bonus in my book. I have not bought into the whole blowtorch theory. I am a firm believer in trends, the fence and even the dome. Been following KY winters for over 30 years it is what it is. We are situated in a bad part of the country to get sustained cold with systems moving through. Just does not happen in our neck of the woods.
le sigh…….
Thank you for the updates, Chris! Have a wonderful day!
basically the only way that the whole state can participate in a decent snow fall is from a clipper system. we need some blocking which will allow them to travel further south then normal.
I really do not need a model to know how the next system is going play out.
I am wondering two things: Will a lot of us get a snow beyond a few inches and will the Cats beat a top 25 team this year?
Or for that matter the season.
Then answer to both are NO. I see the cats as only a slightly better “team” than last year. And until we can get a trend buster there is no since in betting against it. More days missed again this year because of high water than snow for my kids.
Can the Cats do it–sure. Will they do it, not sure. At this point, I’m just hoping they beat Belmont next Saturday. On the snow question–I believe there has been a short-term climate change that has changed the storm path around here. I’ve had two 5 inch plus snows since 2008 and they have both been from clippers. And in fact, the best snows I’ve had since 1998 have both been in Early March! If it is snow you are looking for, clipper mania is the best bet.
I agree any s.west system will pick up above normal temps from the gulf water.
Which allows the fence to be built on I-64
Yep, ice is usually the big player for any other frozen systems. If not from the north, it is a Vanilla Ice tour of Kentucky.
If KY somehow does not beat a top 25 team, it will be another year of perhaps missing the dance. There have already been a lot of unranked teams beat top 25 schools and not even January. They would get the at large bids as long as they keep mainly winning.
Kentucky so far has no resume to play in the Dance. Zip.
NIT baby!!
Out in the 2nd round of the NIT
Deja vu, since recall us discussing this last year at about the same time along with our snow chances for winter. Neither panned out…. Surely not two years in a row- for both?
Every year for the past 16 has been Deja Vu, with regards to weather in central Ky.