Good afternoon, friends and neighbors. It’s a cold, blustery day as we get set to close out our weekend. Some very light snow and flurries continue to flutter by and that trend will carry us into the evening. This is when we focus on a fast moving light snow maker diving in from the northwest.
This will sweep across the northern half of the state overnight and Monday morning and can put down a very light snowfall. This would generally be coatings to an inch or so, but the timing could impact the morning commute. Here’s a look at the areas most likely to see very light accumulations…
Yet another system digs in on Tuesday and may throw some light snow into parts of northern and eastern Kentucky.
I have no changes on the end of the week into the weekend setup. The models have been all over the place in trying to figure out what happens. Told you they would be useless for a while.
This is why I try not to forecast the models and try to forecast the pattern. The pattern continues to suggest this…
I put that out a few days ago and see absolutely zero reason to change it.
Have a great rest of the day and take care.
put a small circle around chance and put likely everywhere around the circle and you will have the December summation of winter weather in central ky.
well there goes the Clipper option the majority of us we’re hoping 2 b r savoir this winter. near misses from the north near misses from the south.
nothing but frustration and Agony.
why at this time of the year I am always humming the Anne Murray song Snowbird.
that song goes way back it’s an old country standard I hate country music but that song always sticks in my head.
Well, we all know what winter battleground will mean for us in CKY…rain or ice…
Richmond south will be cold rain…. Since there will definitely be no snow for Christmas, I’m just hoping for sunshine instead of rain.
Imagine that. A week away a the NWS in Lou have a strong storm system coming through here Fri/Sun time period. Hope this artic air can push down to the Tenn./Alabama line. Give all of us in Ky a crazy weekend. Looks like the set up of the storm two weeks ago. We are 0-2 on on these systems. Hopefully third one is a charm.
I think North Central Kentucky has done quite well in snowfall most of the past few years. 2004-2007 were weak years. Since then, only 2011-2012 was bad–only saving a grace a 5 inch “surprise snow” in March. 2010 was a year to remember. Over a foot of snow in January of 2010 and then again in December of 2010. In fact, 2010 is one of the snowiest years’ on record for Lexington.
A lot of ankle biters melted by the next day. I want a real reason to go to Krogers.
I just had snow on the ground in the shade for a week. The rain finally got rid of it (and all the salt, thankfully) I think though most of us remember the winters in the 90’s–lots of large snow storms! I wouldn’t mind a return to those kind of winters! 🙂
1998 most of all
I guess Kris & Barb are the only winners here if that graph is accurate.
It’s easy, just substitute “COLD RAIN” for “Winter Battleground” in the last graphic & you’ve got your complete & totally accurate Winter Weather Forecast for central Kentucky.
BTW, did you now that Kentucky Winter translated into Latin is Koldius Rainius?
BigPoppaSnow (who’s hoping Stuart Sheppard will return to Lexington & bring along another “we’ll be lucky to get a dusting” forecast)
We FULLY understand that CKY will not get anything according to you all!. It’s not needed in every single post. Come on now. Old news!
Hate to tell you I told you so, but I told you so. This is probably the *best* winter has to offer. Savor it. January will be obnoxiously warm. The blowtorch will reign, especially with all indicators moving AWAY from a colder pattern. Again, sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but someone has to buck up against model propaganda. Speaking of which, where are the blinding snow squalls that were hinted at several days ago? All I see is mud and low clouds. Winters here stink, and will continue to stink. Montana anyone?
Hey, you leave our dreams alone! We are getting at least three big snows this winter and the Cats are gonna win it all! Yeah, baby!
Please go to Montana. I’m sure a lot of people here will take up some money to help you with your moving expenses.
Papa, you’re more negative than I am. At least I’m being honest about the long range pattern. If you can’t handle the truth, oh well.
Long range pattern?? Have a hard enough time going 3 to 5 days out. The prophet of long range forecasting Bryant has spoken and guarantees a blowtorch in January. You go right ahead and think that Bryant and I’ll think reality. Everyday in January it will be 60 degrees. That means no teens, 20’s, 30’s, 40’s, 50’s for highs all 60’s. So the end of January I expect to see a average of 60 degree temps or better for high temps for the month statewide for Kentucky.
I stand behind my blowtorch theory. I guarantee average high temps in January will be 57 degrees, with less than 2.0 inches of snow in Lex, 6 inches in Covington. Trace amounts of snow for Jackson and London
I don’t consider 57 degrees to be a blowtorch temperature. Since it is winter, perhaps. But, in general, not so much. However, we are holding you to your word. Every day in January, it will be 57? Ok.
57 average would be a blowtorch–average high in Lexington is in the lows 40’s.
Where is your scientific theory to back up your prediction, Bryant? Until you can give us reason to believe you are right, you will receive the same criticism everyday.
Right now I think you are just going out on a limb with your prediction in hopes that it backfires and you get buried in snow.
If the Christmas week snows don’t work out for us in Lexington, then I’m done with it too. Trying hard to be positive. I know it’s tough to forecast winter weather here in Fencetucky. Thanks for all you do and everyone have a great evening.
On a positive, snow gets real old after a few days. Thinking of the times in the late 70’s, late 80s and the early & mid 90’s several events stayed waaaay too long. Especially when I was little in the 70s. We thought it was cool the first week and then we were out of school another month. Same thing happened in 1981 and 82 (East KY).
Back then we did not have 10,000 channels, game systems, or the world wide web. We had CABIN FEVER!!!!
Christmas snows in KY are rare, our big snows are usually between January and March, any snow before that is bonus.
Reading the NWS info about next week, they don’t have a clue until midweek what may happen, so I think the battleground map Chris put out somes it up great for now, they do say what ever falls will be very heavy??
Already acquiring cabin fever here in WV.
Why weren’t you in the last Men in Black?
You are the most annoying person I’ve ever witnessed that frequents a weather forum.
Ah, salary dispute- got it! 😉 🙂
Seriously? Out of all the other frequent flyers here, you choose Bubba??? You must not be around much.
The dude has the mentality of a 4th grader.
Oh no. Sometimes he uses Rey big words that I have to look up. 😉
Really big words.
Yep, I have a science degree and an MBA, but my wife says the same thing as Rip Torn 🙂
A science degree? The science of hating Nickelback? 😉
Hey at least there is the chance of some sort of system(s) that are going to move through here with the chance of wintery weather. Will it be rain/sleet/snow or ice the potential looks real leading up to Xmas. Better than sunny and cold.
I’ll take the sun ANY day of the year to rain even if it is cold.
Give me sun!!
Horses make a huge mess of everything in the mud. 🙁
Lovin it, keep the snow north please.
As we have asked in the past: Why do the models ALWAYS overstate snow for Kentucky (especially central) but NEVER understate? Something is not adding up. It is kind of improbable for it to always be just in one direction. Nope, makes no logical sense for models to do that. The only mathematically logical means is if the models are biased and never corrected for said bias.
They NEVER understate….. Think about that………. ………. …… ….. … .. .
I can remember snow events where the models under-stated the final snow counts. The Dec 22, 2004 snow-plosion in western KY started as a lightly modeled event. 22″ IMBY and my community was shut down for a week. It’s happened other times too.
Hence my, “especially central” note. We have had zero understate an outlook (key point- model outlook) and 1/100 for western Kentucky.
Does not add up.
Chris gets irrititable whenever someone criticizes the models.
Never an understated snow call in the Madison county in my 9 years here. Not one. Soooo many overstated amounts, too many to count. My question for years is how can the models always make the same mistake, again and again, year after year and to self correct? Any wisdom on htis would be appreciated.
It really is sad that, based on the trends of the past few years, there is more potential for Middle-West Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and even Southern Texas to receive a significant snowfall than there is for East Tennessee and the Southern 2/3 of Kentucky. When you think about it, you just have to sit back and laugh in disbelief. It’s really quit preposterous, don’t you think?
The herald leader has a picture of my old kentucky home in the paper this week surrounded by snow. Have to wonder if that was during last weeks fluke or 16 years ago.
i’m looking forward to another shot at snow.
don’t give up folks. plenty of winter to go.
thank you Chris.
Well if the Gfs pans out it’s Armageddon for all of Ky..I would not wish that on the devil himself..Of course its 7 days away so no worries..
WKYT’s own outlook though has 40s and 50’s mid week through the weekend.
Well of course BubbaG they will not mention something that’s a week away and has little chance to verify..But OMG if that happens were in big trouble..
That blowtorch heat was sure a killer today. Phew!
I was shocked the NWS didn’t issue a heat advisory.
Made it all the way to 33 in Lawrenceburg! I’ve got the A/C running 🙂
Seen Bryant beside the road today selling Toaster’s..
He was also selling snow blowers modified into blow torches.
I love these comments….you guys are hilarious. Bryant of course is trolling, looking for these very responses but should it turn out that his trolling comes to fruition….you guys are gonna be the ones that look silly because he’s sure to really rub it in. (btw, I’m on your side on this guys and hope his sources….probably “inaccuweather” are totally wrong as they usually are).
I’m counting on Bryant responding. That is what I’m hoping for at least. Maybe he’ll do the 2014 Men Of Blowtorch calander and be Mr January.
Wow Bryant is really going out on a limb saying ky might be mild in January, what’s next, it might get cloudy in January for a dew days! He is a weather wizard!
That’s what his nickname was in high school on the chess team. The Blowtorch.
Yea,His old girlfriend said he was ‘Hot” in high school..
That’s too funny Readyfor snow. I almost Torched my shorts.
His old Science teacher also called Mr.Bunsen Burner..
Him..lol
Lol
Drove all the way to the mountains of south central WV to remind myself what snow covering the land looks like. It was truly beautiful!
When I left Fri afternoon for WV, the LEX area forecast for Sunday (daytime) was blowing snow/snow squalls. I figured that would make for some nice scenery driving back today across the state. Oh well.
Good to see things around the ole blog haven’t changed a bit. 😉
Did you see Rip? He is pretty mad at me right now. Cabin fever will do that to you! 🙂
I missed that! I just went back and read it. MIB reply was inspired, sir.
I love Rip Torn! He was also great as the “pirate” captain in the movie Summer Rental 🙂
Looks like Indianapolis to cinncinatti gets the baby clipper tonight those poor folks up that way need some more snow 😉
Talk about adding insult to injury for us central kentuckians. Look at this map.
http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=213861
Looks good to me keep all of that snow in indiana and ohio
No bring some of that snow here.
Barb loves mud evidently 🙂
Snowing in greenup