Good Saturday to one and all and welcome to the last day of this amazing run of Indian Summer across the state. A cold front swinging through the region later today into Sunday promises to put an end to the highs in the 70s. It is November after all! 
This slow moving front will be in western Kentucky today and will have a line of showers with it. That line will push into central and eastern Kentucky tonight into Sunday. Not a lot of rain will fall from the clouds… but we will take whatever we can get. You can track the drops here…
We will see a heck of a temp contrast from west to east across the state today because of the whole clouds/rain verses sun battle. Temps in the east will push close to 70 while the far west stays in the 50s.
Current Temps
Highs for Sunday and Monday will be much colder with low to mid 50s across the board. There is a small chance for a leftover shower for Monday.
This brings us to our Tuesday storm that is looking stronger and farther westward on the latest model runs and that is a good thing. It’s a good thing because the rain chances will REALLY ramp up for the entire state Monday night through Wednesday morning and the totals could be pretty high.
The GFS rain numbers during this period…
How great would that be to get a big time soaker? We will see how this plays out over the next few days as the trend is for the stronger storm.
That stronger storm is likely to help out the winter lovers later next week. Not only could the rain end with a flake of snow mixing in early Wednesday… but the stronger low forces the next system diving in from the plains to dig deeper into the region. This deeper and stronger solution is something I talked about in my last post as something I was watching for. Low and behold… the models jump right toward a MUCH colder solution that can produce some snows around here.
GFS Thursday Afternoon
That is a serious shot of cold blowing in with falling temps for Thursday. Taken as is… the model shows rain and snow changing to snow early Thursday then continuing into Thursday night…
The Canadian Model approves of this message…
That is an interesting setup because IF it happens like that… parts of the area could be looking at the first snowfall of the season. Again… that is still 5 days away so it is only in the IF category right now.
Oh yeah… Thanksgiving week into that holiday weekend still look cold and possibly wintry…
Enjoy your last day of Indian Summer… the weather is about to take a turn toward the wintry over the next week.
Take care.
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Great Chris!
I really really need an ALL day moderate rain with low clouds. Normally I wouldn’t be to fond of that but it has been so BORING weather wise….I honestly don’t remember going through such a long stretch of nothingness in the weather world……If things balance out like I keep hearing; what could possibly be the balance to this drought?……..Obviously flooding or blizzards. That seems logical
I like your logic!!!!
Anyone up for a little trip to Minnesota?
http://cse.umn.edu/dashboard/webcam/
So, this is not related to Ky weather, but in south Ga, where I’m originally from, it has been quite a cold Fall. For instance, this morning it was about 14 degrees cooler in south Ga than here in Lexington. It’s been like this for the past few weeks. Low temps have been the same, if not cooler, in south Ga than here in Lexington. Craziness.
Thank Chris!
Sure hoping we get at least a shower out of this.
BRING IT ON CHRIS! Let’s let winter take center stage!
Everybody knows we can’t have any mention of snow until ROLO shows his hide!!!:)
anything but flooding would be fine
Could really use some of that rain for our forest fire around Owlsley Fork and Redlick. The front has taken forever to get here and then it just keeps breaking up. At this rate, we may not get any rain to help the firefighters